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Morgan Kelly speaking at the Kilkenny Arts Festival Ross Costigan/Kilkenny Arts Festival

LISTEN: Professor Morgan Kelly warns Ireland is now 'insolvent'

The economist famous for predicting the recession spoke at the Kilkenny Arts Festival last night. Hear what he had to say…

ECONOMIST PROFESSOR MORGAN Kelly has warned that Ireland could take as long as ten years to recover from its current economic woes.

“Typically when you have a big credit bust like this… You’re talking about a decade for things to recover,” he said.

In a rare public appearance, the UCD academic was giving a keynote speech at the Kilkenny Arts Festival last night. He gave his personal overview of the Irish economy, speaking about “where we came from, where we are, where we’re going.”

Professor Kelly, sometimes nicknamed ‘Dr Doom’ after accurately predicting the economic crash, said Ireland still has “very big problems” – adding that the banking crisis was just a distraction from the underlying issues in the Irish economy. He said that huge mortgage debts and unemployment among Irish people would be a millstone around the country’s neck as it struggled to recover, and that the country was currently “insolvent”. “We owe more money than we can realistically repay,” he said.

Earlier this year, Professor Kelly hit headlines when he called on the Government to default on its debts and implement drastic austerity measures as the quickest route to recovery. He said he had since gone back on this conviction. “Things have got worse, we’re stuck with [the bailout],” he said.

However, he said that he does not believe the Eurozone will collapse due to the current debt crisis. “Eventually it [the problem] will be solved,” he said. “The Eurozone is too complex to collapse.”

Listen to Morgan Kelly’s lecture in full >

Thanks to Kilkenny Arts Festival.

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21 Comments
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    Mute Declan Carroll
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    Aug 7th 2011, 6:21 PM

    Thanks a bundle, B-B-B-Bertie & Cowen. Thanks alot.

    115
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    Mute Tony Stamper
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    Aug 7th 2011, 6:00 PM

    He lays it out based on the figures. Ireland is bankrupt, has been since that traitor Lenihan guaranteed the banks. Once we accept this, then we can start to realistically plan for the future.

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    Mute David Conroy
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    Aug 7th 2011, 8:23 PM

    Ahern did not “appear to” tell Kelly to kill himself – he told him to. He said the same to anyone who didn’t buy into his trickle-down bubble, and now some are being pushed into doing exactly that, thanks to his legacy. A real traitor, who did it all for vanity.

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    Mute Elrat
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    Aug 7th 2011, 6:32 PM

    Hey Declan don’t forget the other muppet McCreavie !

    71
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    Mute Huey
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    Aug 7th 2011, 7:44 PM

    I’m listening to this as I fill out my application for Australian residency

    57
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    Mute Frank McMahon
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    Aug 7th 2011, 8:26 PM

    Morgan Kelly for President please

    57
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    Mute Michael Dolan
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    Aug 8th 2011, 2:44 AM

    The President of Ireland has no function that could possibly save the country. He or she cannot make laws, cannot formulate policy or even make a pronouncement that smacks of politics. The presidency is a gagging order. If you want Morgan Kelly to do something constructive then he should be made a Senator and appointed to a Ministry.

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    Mute Gerard Murphy
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    Aug 8th 2011, 11:23 AM

    And what good would that do?? Perhaps people should remember the painful obvious, this country elected Ahern, Harney, McCreevy because of ? greed? Go back to 2001 and see for yourself what the celebrity economists were saying, when they should have been pointing out the risks of a bubble economy,they did in fact cheerlead the tiger, because they made money from it!

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    Mute Mary O'Flaherty
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    Aug 7th 2011, 8:26 PM

    What a bunch of scrupulous people past and present running this country. They will never be forgiven for selling us out for their own gain. Waiting on my visa for NZ. How sad it is for the people left behind that cannot not leave. It’s history repeating it self…..

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    Mute Sean O'Keeffe
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    Aug 7th 2011, 9:57 PM

    Government doesn’t solve problems; it subsidises them.
    Government isn’t the solution to our problem; Government is the problem. -Ronald Reagan

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    Mute Michael Dolan
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    Aug 8th 2011, 2:37 AM

    Wow a quote from a geriatric right-wing loon who spent a long time in government.

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    Mute Tony Stamper
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    Aug 8th 2011, 7:32 PM

    The roots of this crisis are in the economic approach of Reagan and Thatcher. The problem has been building up for that long.

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    Mute Gis Bayertz
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    Aug 7th 2011, 6:25 PM

    I’m bored, seriously bored

    22
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    Mute Michael Dolan
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    Aug 7th 2011, 7:14 PM

    Wow you need to be a Professor of Economics to give that speech? Thank you for pointing out the obvious.

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    Mute Huey
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    Aug 7th 2011, 8:14 PM

    He pointed out the obvious before and was advised to commit suicide by the traitor Ahern

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    Mute Michael Dolan
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    Aug 8th 2011, 2:35 AM

    Yes but that was before we the sky actually fell.

    Do you think that there was anybody in this country on Saturday morning who didn’t know that most of the country has “huge mortgage debts” and that unemployment is a bad thing. And I’m pretty sure we all realise that the country has been insolvent for quite some time now.

    Morgan Kelly’s the original One Trick Pony.

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    Mute Toureag
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    Aug 7th 2011, 7:11 PM

    Is Dr Kelly a future-teller or what? Wait a min…..how come he got a Prof when he is often wrong with math?

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    Mute Michael Dolan
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    Aug 8th 2011, 2:46 AM

    If he could see the future he would know the Euro is knackered.

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    Mute Spacer85
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    Aug 8th 2011, 9:28 PM

    well, he’s one of the people some politicians wanted to shut up; politicians who thought “as long as things are good, things are good”, the kind who think economies run on good sentiment. basically Morgan was a dissident to the state’s economic policies (i think?), who people like Bertie Ahern tried to ridicule and dismiss.

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    Mute Ann Kennedy
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    Aug 8th 2011, 8:27 PM

    do you understand, fully, what Morgan was paid to stand in front of the droolers and tell them, what they had already knew?
    why would you be an economics professor and stand on a stage to be lauded to hear what we had heard for er, how long? I mean, do economics professors not get paid enough either?

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    Mute Elrat
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    Aug 7th 2011, 6:32 PM

    D

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