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CSO analysis of RIP.ie data finds 'pronounced increases' in excess deaths during 3 months

The CSO is using death notice figures on RIP.ie on an experimental basis to track excess deaths.

CSO data CSO CSO

THE CENTRAL STATISTICS Office (CSO) has said that the inclusion of ‘real-time’ CSO data on excess deaths has found that there were “pronounced increases” in the number of death notices in the month of April last year, and January and February of this year.

Official death notices – including the deaths of people who had Covid-19 – can be registered up to three months after the death of a person.

But due to the Irish custom of holding a funeral two to three days after the death of a person, notices on RIP.ie are a good ‘real-time’ indicator of when peaks in excess deaths happen (the average time between date of death and publication of a death notice on RIP.ie is about 1.1 days).

The CSO is using these figures on an experimental basis, and said yesterday that when this RIP.ie data is analysed, from March 2020 to February 2021 provides a range of between 2,034-2,338 excess deaths.

There were significant excess death notices in April 2020 (a total of 3,504 notices), January 2021 (3,919 notices) and February 2021 (3,147 notices).

The average number of deaths was just under 3,200 for January and just over 2,700 for February for the years 2014-2018.

It’s worth noting that those three months were among Covid-19 spikes, when the number of cases in Ireland was high.

Commenting on the results, statistician John Flanagan said: “Most notable are the increases in death notices in April 2020 and in January and February 2021 which stands in contrast to recent years.

“Numbers of deaths notices increased to 3,504 in April 2020 from 2,864 in March 2020. In comparison, the average number of deaths for April for the years 2014-2018 was approximately 2,500, according to CSO published deaths by month of occurrence.”
RIP.ie includes some deaths that occur in Northern Ireland; these were removed in the above analysis.

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    Mute Richard Mc Dermott
    Favourite Richard Mc Dermott
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    Jul 29th 2013, 12:22 PM

    Ah i crashed in tallaght when a horse came bolting from a garden and landed on the bonet of my van with my pregnant girlfriend in the van also van was scrap after it two cameras were looking at the scene i was told they were not working “recession”and was told to take a civil suit against a very well know traveler family to get compensation as you can imagine i was left footing the bill myself so heres hoping these cameras are working poor girl rip and my toughts go out to her family

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    Mute Fagan Fagan
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    Jul 29th 2013, 12:37 PM

    @ Richard
    I’m surprised they didn’t sue you for damages to the horse

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    Mute big shmoke
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    Jul 29th 2013, 12:41 PM

    Dublin bus CCTV cameras are always working & should be invaluable in establishing the chain of events which led to this tragedy.

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    Mute Gillian DeFaoite
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    Jul 29th 2013, 1:00 PM

    ( Genuine question) Do the cameras look out on to the road too?

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    Mute Richard Mc Dermott
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    Jul 29th 2013, 1:20 PM

    I was worried about that aswell but when you drag your horse into a horse box and leave the scene like a hot snot not evening asking about the two injured partys think there claim went out the window but point is i and my girlfriend are ok this poor girl had passed away my heart goes out to her family

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    Mute Sandra Turner
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    Jul 29th 2013, 3:43 PM

    dash cam time

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    Mute Dave Storey
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    Jul 29th 2013, 4:27 PM

    Yes the cameras look out onto to road from several directions

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    Mute Les Hughes
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    Jul 29th 2013, 10:57 PM

    yes and camera in cabcovers door

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    Mute Thomas Cullen
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    Jul 29th 2013, 11:35 PM

    Yes there is a camera where the route numbers are back and front. In all there are 10 cameras on your bus working 24/7

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    Mute Fagan Fagan
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    Jul 29th 2013, 12:12 PM

    With all the CCTV it shouldn’t be too difficult

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    Mute Sacha Mahady
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    Jul 29th 2013, 12:28 PM

    I would not rely on cameras being of any use. Very unfortunate accident. My thoughts are with the families involved. With that rain yesterday conditions got pretty bad at times for driving.

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    Mute Richard Mc Dermott
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    Jul 29th 2013, 12:35 PM

    Youd feel sorry for bus driver must feel real guilt even if it was not his fault road deaths an injurys affect people long after the news stops talking about it

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    Mute Dermot Lane
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    Jul 29th 2013, 12:45 PM

    The rain is all the more reason to drive extra carefully, if conditions ate too bad, pull over and wait. The showers pass quickly.

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    Mute Sylvia Rafter
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    Jul 29th 2013, 9:36 PM

    This is my friends daughter so anyone with negative comments pls keep them to yourself and your small minds . A simple r.I.p will suffice instead of dissecting the situation

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    Mute Maggie Elizabeth Walsh
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    Jul 29th 2013, 2:58 PM

    RIP that young girl, I hope the young man pulls through. Thoughts with both families and also with the driver and passengers of the bus.

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    Mute Sorca O Brien
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    Jul 29th 2013, 8:03 PM

    I live in that area . There has been multiple crashes at that point and deaths as evidenced by the crosses erected at the road side . Conditions were bad yesterday with downpours and if your speed is a little high the bend is fairly sharp to take . Regardless of who was at fault a young girl has died and another young man very unwell . Think of their families .

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    Mute Marie Louise Ni Riain
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    Jul 29th 2013, 2:43 PM

    Poor family of that girl that died a awful tragedy :-( drive carefully to many deaths

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    Mute Laura O'Reilly
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    Jul 29th 2013, 3:16 PM

    This isn’t the first tragedy on that this stretch of road. The road hasn’t been modified since the 60′s I hope the council start considering to look at it.
    A terrible tragedy

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    Mute On Raglan Road
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    Jul 29th 2013, 3:59 PM

    That section of the Greenhills Road does not need any modification. More than likely this crash was due to excessive or inappropriate speed by one of the drivers.

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    Mute Deirdre Meredith
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    Jul 29th 2013, 4:36 PM

    Were you there think of both these of these families before you have decided to make such a stupid comment

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    Mute Deirdre Meredith
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    Jul 29th 2013, 5:08 PM

    That comment was meant for Quinn

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    Mute Laura Purcell
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    Jul 29th 2013, 5:22 PM

    Bronagh, with all due respect, please have respect for the families of that girl and the biy left behind, and dont leap to conclusions. it will already be a painful enough time for them :/

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    Mute Deirdre Meredith
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    Jul 29th 2013, 5:32 PM

    An hour after the crash so don’t just assume police want to question two other drivers who overtook the bus around the time of the accident so I think before any blame is put on anybody wait till all the facts come out first

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    Mute mark420
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    Jul 29th 2013, 2:39 PM

    Seen that crash last night there is no CCTV on that part of road it was outside lidl not at the roundabout were ther is loads of CCTV hope that catch who there looking for

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    Mute Always Be Closing
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    Jul 29th 2013, 7:36 PM

    There by the grace of God.

    May God give strength to the families involved.

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    Mute Matt Connolly
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    Jul 29th 2013, 9:51 PM

    welcome back, changed your name?

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