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THE POPULATION OF the Greater Dublin Area could grow by between 174,000 and just over 400,000 by 2031, according to the latest figures from the Central Statistics Office.
However, they stress that it is “not an attempt to predict the future”.
The Regional Population Projections 2016 – 2031 release details a number of different models by which population changes can be calculated.
Based on data from the 2011 Census, they predict as Dublin’s population could increase by between 96,000 and 286,000 and the Mid-East by 78,000 to 144,000.
This is under the M2F2 Traditional model, which predicts that the population in all other areas will fall due to internal migration, although will increase due to a gradual increase of our overall population by 613,000.
Click here to see a larger version of this image. (Image Credit: CSO.ie)
The figures also predict an increase of around 5 years in life expectancy by 2031, to 83.0 years for males and to 86.6 years for females.
The number of people over 65 will see a ‘marked increase’ in a number of areas, as much as over 100 per cent.
The numbers in the Mid-East will increase by 136.5 per cent, and in the Midlands by 95.1 per cent.
The number of those aged between 15 to 24 years could increase by 52 per cent in the Mid-East region.
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Fantastic piece of journalism
- “Brexit was Johnson’s England project. Northern Ireland an afterthought.”
Johnson reasoned as follows: ‘If I back Brexit, then if Leave wins I can be PM, but if it doesn’t I can still wriggle my way into No. 10. But if I back staying in the EU, Remain needs to win for me to be PM, and if it’s Leave I’m done for.’ In other words, backing Brexit left him with both possible worlds to be PM, instead of just one.
So in that sense he was being entirely rational, except that Northern Ireland wasn’t even an afterthought, since he simply didn’t care. He rode on a wave of what was essentially an ‘English independence’ vote, and ended up shafting all of Ireland in the process. Including even the DUP. It’s hard to feel sorry for that sorry bunch, but to my own astonishment I’ve actually ended up pitying them.
@Mick Tobin: Nice analysis, he even prepared both positions.
@Mick Tobin: Well said. Nail on head.
When Ress-Mogg becomes PM, there will be a tectonic shift.
@François Pignon: oh no !!!Ress-Mogg, worse than Boris….
@Maurice Whelan: It won’t be Moggy but it’s hard to say which way this going to go. Defence secretary Ben Wallace is a frontrunner with the bookies, apparently because he’s seen as the somewhat boring (this is a plus) mirror image of Johnson, a steady hand who’d be pragmatic when it comes to relations with the EU, and hence with Ireland.
Incidentally a name like that might get Scottish nationalists worried. But it could still be Liz Truss, who might be even worse than Johnson (and therefore better for the SNP). We’ll have to wait and see I guess.
@Mick Tobin: The Scots just need the Tories to stay in power. They are so despised in Scotland it won’t really matter who the PM is in my opinion, although someone like Truss would be good for independence.
SNP worst nightmare would be not getting a referendum in this government term and Labour winning the next general election. However, Labour cant win a general election as they can’t win without Scottish votes and the SNP have Scotland sown up. Tories don’t need a single vote in Scotland to get into number 10 and that is the difference. Tories will continue to govern the U.K. for the foreseeable.
He must have forgot that NI politics was Fecked well before Borris came along.
Great article and shows that the press have to write a lot of the pieces through gritted teeth
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