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Independent TDs and activists protest against the sale of IBC mortgages earlier this year. Laura Hutton/Photocall Ireland

Irish mortgage arrears tracked by Fitch are higher than ever

A new report from Fitch also says that price rises in Dublin are fleeting.

THE PROPORTION OF Irish mortgages tracked by ratings agency Fitch in arrears of three months or more has reached a new peak.

A report on the mortgage market by Fitch shows that among the mortgages that the agency tracks, the proportion in long term difficulty increased to 18.4 per cent in the first quarter of 2014.

This is only a minor increase of 0.1 per cent on the last quarter of 2013, but a climb of 1.7 per cent when compared to the full year statistics for last year.

Fitch tracks several portfolios which contain more buy-to-let loans than the market average, suggesting that the arrears issue is more apparent in the this section of the market.

Analyst Sanja Paic told TheJournal.ie that there may be more arrears in the pipeline, especially among buy-to-let properties.

Fitch said that the main driver for the large proportion of arrears remains the huge drop in income levels compared to the heavy burden imposed by the size of mortgages taken on during the economic boom.

Dublin price slowdown on the horizon

The recent growth in house prices in Dublin is unlikely to be a long term feature of the housing market, the agency said.

“The recent growth in house prices in Dublin, although unlikely to persist in the long run, is putting pressure on affordability.”

This trend is expected to be short term and is unlikely to reach levels seen at the peak of the market.

Analysts warned, however, that there needed to be more supply on the market in order to keep a lid on house prices.

Solutions expected to increase

The report’s authors say that they expect to see more restructuring, mortgage write downs and enforcements as a result of revisions to the code of conduct on mortgage arrears last summer.

The revisions allow banks more leeway in dealing with non co-operative borrowers.

Fitch analyst Ketan Thaker said that he expects repossessions to rise, but over a long period with no immediate uptick in prospect.

Pressure from the Central Bank on banks to find sustainable soluitions for mortgage holders makes more debt write downs appear “inevitable”, the report finds.

Fitch is forecasting GDP growth of 1.6 per cent for 2014, improving to 2.2 per cent in 2015, with unemployment set to fall to 11.8 per cent this year and 11.4 per cent by the end of next year.

AIB explains why its home repossessions tripled last year>

Just four mortgage deals have been completed by the Insolvency Service>

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31 Comments
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Symbolism
    Favourite Symbolism
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    Sep 27th 2014, 4:46 PM

    Is this a wind up ?

    368
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    Mute Jim
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    Sep 28th 2014, 9:55 AM

    On the other hand I’d love to have the money to buy it

    5
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    Mute Barry Doyle
    Favourite Barry Doyle
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    Sep 27th 2014, 4:45 PM

    Just like and share to be in with a chance to win one.

    206
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    Mute Antonov Merinov
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    Sep 27th 2014, 5:37 PM

    Not for me.
    I couldn’t tell my boss I was late because of my watch.

    49
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    Mute Willy Moon
    Favourite Willy Moon
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    Sep 27th 2014, 4:47 PM

    Don’t see any reason there to pay 1.1m for a watch, save the money and ask someone the time, or if you can pay that type of cash for a watch why the fu*k would you care what time it is

    180
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    Mute family guy
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    Sep 27th 2014, 8:59 PM

    I honestly think a finely made watch is beautiful. I feel naked if I don’t wear one on a night out. I think a watch and ring is the only jewellery a man should wear. I do have a watch fetish but have never spent any more that 500 euro on one. Any more is just silly. But sure if you are loaded why not.

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    Mute Francis Foley
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    Sep 28th 2014, 7:35 AM

    I agree family guy, I wear my watch all the time and feel naked without it.

    8
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    Mute Tony Skillington
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    Sep 27th 2014, 4:36 PM

    Does it have a calculator though?

    149
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    Mute fall out boy
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    Sep 27th 2014, 4:44 PM

    And all it does is tell the time

    70
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    Mute Mick Jacobs
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    Sep 28th 2014, 1:30 AM

    does it have a sexy voice..??

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    Mute thetruth
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    Sep 27th 2014, 4:36 PM

    Ill have 2

    50
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    Mute eftwopointoh
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    Sep 27th 2014, 6:13 PM

    One for each wrist?

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    Mute thetruth
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    Sep 27th 2014, 6:16 PM

    Oh yeh. I’ll be unbalanced if i don’t

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    Mute HARRY MARKOPOLOS
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    Sep 27th 2014, 7:05 PM

    Another upstart of a company.
    Established no doubt, to separate new money easterners from their cash.
    Well if they’re foolish with their dollars.
    Maybe they deserve to be shafted.

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    Mute jock
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    Sep 27th 2014, 10:19 PM

    Your a boor.

    10
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    Mute HARRY MARKOPOLOS
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    Sep 28th 2014, 11:41 AM

    Fact are booring.

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    Mute Bevin Reilly
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    Sep 27th 2014, 5:09 PM

    My auld Casio will do me. Best 15euro I ever spent.

    40
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    Mute neuromancer
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    Sep 27th 2014, 7:18 PM

    I’d rather have a Veyron.

    37
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    Mute Joseph Siddall
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    Sep 27th 2014, 7:24 PM

    But not the cost of running it. They would financially cripple you, which is why the vast majority of those on the market have hardly been driven.

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    Mute skin flint
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    Sep 27th 2014, 11:25 PM

    You think the running cost is why the majority of veyrons are not driven in public…?

    15
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    Mute Joseph Siddall
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    Sep 28th 2014, 9:27 AM

    Skin, no, not the sole reason but almost certainly a contributory factor.

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    Mute Declan McArdle
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    Sep 27th 2014, 11:57 PM

    Four sprung durch technik?

    36
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    Mute Peter Grimes
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    Sep 27th 2014, 4:53 PM

    Time is your worst enemy, why would you pay 1.1 Million, for a watch, and half the world’s Children starving, it beggers belief.

    36
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    Mute Niall B.
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    Sep 27th 2014, 4:46 PM

    300 watches = 1 children’s hospital

    34
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    Mute Conor
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    Sep 27th 2014, 5:11 PM

    But you can’t wear the other 299 watches on your arm now can you.

    28
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    Mute Keetabix
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    Sep 27th 2014, 4:48 PM

    Do the ladies really judge a fella by the piece on his wrist?!

    25
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    Mute Kitty Prendergast
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    Sep 27th 2014, 5:11 PM

    To spend that much on a watch you’d have to have a piece for a head…

    21
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    Mute Art Vandelay
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    Sep 27th 2014, 5:26 PM

    It’s not what’s on his wrist that they care about, it’s the distance from the wrist to the tip of the middle finger. So shallow…

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    Mute Darragh O Meara
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    Sep 27th 2014, 7:30 PM

    I’ve got 200 of these unwrapped which can’t be sold. Like and share to be in with a chance to win one :)

    14
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    Mute Mary Lyons
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    Sep 27th 2014, 5:42 PM

    Well it would also have to bring me my tea and toast up to the bed in the morning as well if I paid that price for it!!!!!!

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    Mute Darach Malone
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    Sep 27th 2014, 6:02 PM

    Does it only work when tethered to an iPhone 6?

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    Mute gkrell
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    Sep 27th 2014, 4:49 PM

    what is a power reserve function? and how is it powered?

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    Mute John Mc Donagh
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    Sep 27th 2014, 4:51 PM

    Looks like the strap is extra!

    9
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    Mute Sean Smith
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    Sep 27th 2014, 5:53 PM

    If I could afford this I would care what time it was

    5
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    Mute The Guru
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    Sep 28th 2014, 2:37 AM

    Saw a watch that cost $350,000 in a shop the other day. It’s made from authentic pieces salvaged from the Titanic! Some people…

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    Mute Conor Dunne
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    Sep 28th 2014, 1:25 AM

    Watch yourself….

    3
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