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One of the many number 1's likely for Boylan. Laura Hutton/Photocall Ireland

Boylan, Crowley and Ming looking good: What the exit polls say about the Euro vote

No counts yet but we can make some predictions.

SINN FÉIN COULD take three European Parliament seats and Fine Gael four as Labour face a whitewash according to the latest exit poll figures.

RTÉ’s exit poll shows that Sinn Féin’s Lynn Boylan, Fianna Fáil’s Brian Crowley and Independent Luke ‘Ming’ Flanagan are pulling in the biggest first preferences shares in Dublin, South and Midlands North West respectively.

In Dublin, Lynn Boylan is polling at 24 per cent, clearly ahead of Fine Gael’s Brian Hayes and Eamon Ryan of the Green Party at 14 per cent.

Fianna Fáil’s Mary Fitzpatrick is polling at 12 per cent, way below the party’s national share of 22 per cent according to to the same poll.

Ahead of any facts coming in as yet, three sitting MEP’s could be in danger of losing out in the capital. Nessa Childers (11 per cent), Emer Costello (8 per cent) and Paul Murphy (7 per cent).

In the South constituency, sitting MEP Brian Crowley leads the pack in the exit poll at 26 per cent, ahead of SF’S Liadh Ní Riada at 17 per cent. FG’s three candidates of Seán Kelly, Deirdre Clune and Simon Harris are lining up behind them in the four seater in that order.

FG’s strategy of running three candidates to win possibly two seats was a source of debate within the party and how their transfers work out between them will prove crucial when the European results are released tomorrow night.

A number of the party’s ministers including Frances Fitzgerald and Phil Hogan have both said that their party is well in the hunt for two seats.

In the final geographically vast Midlands North West area, Independent Dáil deputy Luke ‘Ming’ Flanagan appears to be mirroring the success of Independents nationally, garnering 20 per cent of the vote.

The exit poll shows sitting MEP Maireád McGuinness running at 16 per cent with SF’s Matt Carty at 13 per cent. FF’s Pat ‘The Cope’ Gallagher and Marian Harkin appear to be running neck-and-neck at 11 per cent.

If you add FF’s Thomas Byrne into the mix, there are five candidates within six per cent of each other meaning that the picture is far from clear before the votes starts coming in.

LIVEBLOG: Local election results 2014 >

Read: Independents’ Day: Exit poll shows non-party candidates topping the poll >

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79 Comments
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    Mute Pauliebhoy
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    May 24th 2014, 1:30 PM

    That’ll be handy for Ming being closer to Amsterdam

    707
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    Mute Paddy Mac
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    May 24th 2014, 1:49 PM

    First we send Dustin to represent us in Europe, now we are sendin Ming!! We are some craic!

    163
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    Mute Fluich It
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    May 24th 2014, 1:51 PM

    Ming will have two pensions now..do you think he will give one of them up?

    111
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    Mute Munchma Quchi
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    May 24th 2014, 1:54 PM

    Delighted for Ming. The blueshirts will be crying into their bacon and cabbage this evening at the thought of him romping home in the European elections.

    348
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    Mute Gavin Okeeffe
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    May 24th 2014, 1:55 PM

    He gives half of his wages now to charity in fairness

    434
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    Mute Stephen Power
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    May 24th 2014, 2:09 PM

    As far as dustin and the euro vision well who really gives a wicked crap.
    Now as far a Ming goes, well he’s a very educated person with a hell of a lot more to offer than the vast amount of Fine Gael Fianna Fáil or labour arse holes that have been shafting us for decades. The more Ming flanagans we have the better. Sensible people that are in touch with ordinary people and the problems facing them every waking second.

    345
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    Mute Larry L'Oiseau
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    May 24th 2014, 2:12 PM

    The ‘blueshirts’ to use your pejorative term will be delighted, as he will be useless in Europe because his vision extends as far as sods of turf and ‘glasses of p!ss’. (His words in our national parliament)

    He is now out if the way and the byelection is an opportunity locally to win a seat or blood someone for the next election.

    It is ironic that someone who is anti-EU is seeking to take a role there, amongst the hundreds of other members, and shouting, barracking and schoolyard tactics don’t really work there, because it is a more mature parliament than the Dáil.
    He will disappear into the EU oblivion …

    66
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    Mute Darragh Mcnamara
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    May 24th 2014, 2:16 PM

    Yea better to have some dope blaming the irish for the crash at a world economic forum..aka enda

    97
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    Mute Etienne de Montfort
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    May 24th 2014, 2:47 PM

    Is there two Ming Flanagans? I thought we were talking about the one who thinks that not being allowed to cut turf is comparable to the holocaust

    44
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    Mute Seamus Dunleavy
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    May 24th 2014, 3:47 PM

    You don’t get a TD’s pension until you are re-elected. Lots of digs towards Ming here for no good reason, if he was in it for the money would he be putting 60% of his td salary into 3 separate charities every year since he was elected.

    132
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    Mute seamus mcdermott
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    May 24th 2014, 4:04 PM

    Bothers you, does it?

    Good.

    19
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    Mute Kev Flanagan
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    May 24th 2014, 5:58 PM

    Yes , he already donates half of his wages

    43
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    Mute Kev Flanagan
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    May 24th 2014, 6:00 PM

    It’s a figure of speech. Laws are made by men and laws change.

    10
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    Mute michael fennessy
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    May 24th 2014, 8:50 PM

    U will have to wait till he recieves his pension before we will know that.50 percent of his pay already goes to charity.sad comment u need to try harder

    21
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    Mute Premium Gamerz
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    May 25th 2014, 12:31 AM

    Larry you are some narrow minded dope.

    Ming Flanagan has done more for this country than Fianna Fáil, Labour and Fine Gael have put together.

    FACT

    31
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    Mute Norman Hunter
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    May 24th 2014, 1:33 PM

    Poor Lorraine Higgins must be sick, lol

    296
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    Mute Richard Rodgers
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    May 24th 2014, 1:40 PM

    Norman
    That type of comment is nasty and typical of both an unpleasant character and a lack of integrity. At least people like Lorraine and many others who will fail to win a seat in these Elections have put themselves forward within a Democracy to be of service .
    By comparison your behaviour as an armchair warrior is disgusting!

    48
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    Mute IrishGravyTrain
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    May 24th 2014, 1:44 PM

    Lol. No extra gravy for Lorraine.

    242
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    Mute Norman Hunter
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    May 24th 2014, 1:44 PM

    Richie, Lorraine engaged in bullying behaviour by tweeting a photo shopped picture of Ming, I’m glad to say it backfired.Not a good day for the government parties wouldn’t you agree?

    348
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    Mute Wayne O'Fathaigh
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    May 24th 2014, 1:46 PM

    & Ming has a history of engaging in miss Piggy comments he has no moral high ground on the matter. Both are as bad as each other

    48
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    Mute Ross Casey
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    May 24th 2014, 1:52 PM

    That was Mick Wallace

    183
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    Mute Les Rock
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    May 24th 2014, 1:54 PM

    Oh Dicky dicky dicky. Not a good day old bean. But then again I wouldn’t expect someone like to yourself not to see it coming. Head in the sand and all that. 24th may…Independents day

    102
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    Mute Richard Rodgers
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    May 24th 2014, 1:55 PM

    Norman
    I am not engaging with you beyond the comments about candidates who fail to win or lose seats having a very difficult day when the poll results are announced. Your gleeful comments merely highlight you shortcomings in the areas of decency and integrity. I really don’t care how many roving Sinn Fein warriors rush to your defence. That is also unsurprising.

    11
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    Mute Dermot Mc Loughlin
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    May 24th 2014, 2:03 PM

    Lets all laugh at Labour.

    163
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    Mute Les Rock
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    May 24th 2014, 2:05 PM

    Na na na na…

    93
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    Mute Norman Hunter
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    May 24th 2014, 2:14 PM

    Richie, ah must be terrible to see people like Ming romp across the finish line, get used to it more to come.lol
    Btw don’t get the Shinner reference care to explain?

    101
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    Mute Les Rock
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    May 24th 2014, 2:22 PM

    You’d have better chance of finding a saskewatch that getting a reply from Dicky

    42
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    Mute Keith Wizzy
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    May 24th 2014, 2:58 PM

    Just LOL @Dick

    32
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    Mute Quincy
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    May 24th 2014, 3:23 PM

    Let’s all laugh at Richard Rogers (or whatever his real name is )!!! Lol..

    46
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    Mute JF
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    May 24th 2014, 3:41 PM

    Richard, didn’t you say the other day you weren’t even voting because you were not registered… The least you can do now is congratulate the great number of us that did vote.
    If only you were a stand up comedian… Your comments never fail to amuse me

    41
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    Mute Ciarraioch
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    May 24th 2014, 3:45 PM

    Richard Rodgers – The falsie , who insults and lectures us here every day that we should dare to be good Republicans . Total hypocritical Blueshirt FG Troll, whose predictions of the demise of SF , together with all his porkies has come so unstuck !
    However , today is only the beginning . In a few years time SF will be the biggest vote getting Political Party in the whole of our 32 Counties of Ireland !
    The fact that your parties policies has destroyed the Labour Party , your Coalition partners , cannot give you any satisfaction either ?
    I told you weeks ago , that it would be a wonderful day from today for Republicanism and you predicted the total opposite !
    Just shows what a hopelessly smug and inaccurate judge of Politics that you truly are !

    37
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    Mute seamus mcdermott
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    May 24th 2014, 4:09 PM
    16
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    Mute Richard Rodgers
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    May 24th 2014, 5:02 PM

    Seamus
    Aw shucks you have a heart after all.

    1
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    Mute Kev Flanagan
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    May 24th 2014, 6:01 PM

    Considering she personally attacked luke she deserves what she gets

    34
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    Mute Colette Kearns
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    May 24th 2014, 1:38 PM

    God Lorraine Higgins just a big mouth, personal I think she made a show of herself on the Vincent Brown show.

    294
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    Mute Hipster Enda
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    May 24th 2014, 2:43 PM

    Looks like her wiki page has already been updated

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lorraine_Higgins#European_politics

    38
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    Mute galway2007
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    May 24th 2014, 5:10 PM

    She called Ming a turkey and today she get the answer that people would sooner send a turkey to Europe that her
    I think that says what need to be said about Lorraine Higgins

    84
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    Mute Rose
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    May 24th 2014, 9:14 PM

    Glad she’s out big mouths ha ha

    19
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    Mute Denito
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    May 24th 2014, 1:45 PM

    Brian Crowley?

    I just don’t get it.

    182
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    Mute Stephen O Flynn
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    May 24th 2014, 2:19 PM

    Brain Crowley does nothin in cork but the women love him. Pathetic

    90
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    Mute UM
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    May 24th 2014, 6:38 PM

    Brian Crowley – sympathy vote??

    25
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    Mute TifFanny Bush
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    May 24th 2014, 1:34 PM

    People are jealous of Ming ..fact !

    179
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    Mute Jarlath Murphy
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    May 24th 2014, 1:43 PM

    The people have spoken!

    Is the government listening?

    Roll on the general elections.

    177
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    Mute john ferguson
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    May 24th 2014, 1:51 PM

    Fair play to Ming. He’s someone who works for his constituents and the people of Ireland. A lot of of sickened career politicians… And journal readers!!!

    159
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    Mute johngahan
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    May 24th 2014, 1:36 PM

    Looking forward to following Ming’s EP career

    152
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    Mute IrishGravyTrain
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    May 24th 2014, 2:20 PM

    Yes. Like him or not, at least he is able to bring peoples concerns to the table and not told to shut up, do as you are told and follow the party line.

    88
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    Mute Reg
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    May 24th 2014, 1:38 PM

    Looks like Dublin is going to continue to be a Fianna Fail and TD and MEP free zone!

    143
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    Mute Norman Hunter
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    May 24th 2014, 1:49 PM

    All good Reg.

    54
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    Mute SeanieRyan
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    May 24th 2014, 9:26 PM

    A cllr here, a cllr there.

    Does FF need to start a fresh, new ideas, new political vision and reorganization, new name?

    Getting 12% in a Euro election up against mostly unknown opponents and micro parties is not an achievement to boast about.

    We are going to be taking up as many seats as the People before Profit.

    Is there a point at this stage.

    6
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    Mute John Scott
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    May 25th 2014, 10:29 AM

    at least Mary is back in Blackrock well done people of that ward.

    2
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    Mute Willy Moon
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    May 24th 2014, 1:46 PM

    Struggling to understanding personally how FG are getting such high votes, again the Irish will repp what they so,

    110
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    Mute Martin Ryan
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    May 24th 2014, 1:35 PM

    Sinn Fein, going European romping away.

    101
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    Mute Colette Kearns
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    May 24th 2014, 2:14 PM

    Richard Rogers, you are by far more offensive towards Norman, you have called him nasty unpleasant disgusting and lacking in integrity a bit much, people in glass houses ect ect….

    57
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    Mute Les Rock
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    May 24th 2014, 2:25 PM

    Collette I get the same. But I know why. You see Dicky Rogers is aloof. He doesn’t think anyone comes up to his level, when the fact is that he is no where near our level. He’s way below. When we argue with him, he insults us because he is incapable of proper discussion.

    41
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    Mute Shane Walsh
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    May 24th 2014, 1:40 PM

    Whenever I see Mings name mentioned I automatically think of pot smoking hippies..

    42
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    Mute Fluich It
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    May 24th 2014, 1:52 PM

    So does ming

    24
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    Mute Shane Walsh
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    May 24th 2014, 2:01 PM

    But he ain’t a gangster so I like him

    92
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    Mute P O' Neill
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    May 24th 2014, 2:43 PM

    Absolutely delighted with the SF polling so far. The Blueshirts and Fianna Failures got a bit excited this morning with the RTÉ exit poll. Looking foolish now. SF gaining new representation at all corners of the country. Just look at Dublin City council, 15 standing and 13 potentially being elected. Incredible transformation for the party.

    40
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    Mute Etienne de Montfort
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    May 24th 2014, 2:51 PM

    Why don’t you people abstain from the European Parliament like you do from Westminster?

    You want the North out of the UK, you want us out of the EU, so what gives?

    12
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    Mute P O' Neill
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    May 24th 2014, 3:08 PM

    We want Ireland out of the E.U? That’s news to me. Times have changed.

    33
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    Mute Etienne de Montfort
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    May 24th 2014, 3:15 PM

    A Sinn Féin supporter in denial about his party’s history? Hold the front page

    6
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    Mute Dungeon Master
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    May 24th 2014, 4:09 PM

    Etienne you’re just sore because Ronan Mullan and Theresa Heaney didn’t get elected

    24
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    Mute Tom Kelly
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    May 24th 2014, 2:47 PM

    Go minger

    23
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    Mute Ruairi Colton
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    May 24th 2014, 2:09 PM

    Why is the media still talking about exit polls when there are some good tallies available that are showing a trend. Dont think the exit polls are reliable from the tallies ive heard.

    21
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    Mute Sean Baylon
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    May 24th 2014, 5:40 PM

    Great news for the independents.. Now let’s finish the parties off in the GE in 2016.. End the power monopoly.. Give the people back their say..

    16
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    Mute Darren Kennerney
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    May 24th 2014, 2:56 PM

    Bring in Flash Gordan

    14
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    Mute Rory Corbett
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    May 25th 2014, 10:46 AM

    Ming says release war rocket Ajax!

    6
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    Mute deel
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    May 24th 2014, 2:48 PM

    What an outcome !!

    14
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    Mute Garáiste Ó Churáinn-Seisean
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    May 24th 2014, 2:02 PM

    C’mon Marian Harkin

    13
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    Mute Kate Farrell
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    May 24th 2014, 5:36 PM

    I rue the day that Sinn Fein get into government, the Irish equivalent to UKIP

    12
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    Mute John Fogarty
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    May 24th 2014, 2:34 PM

    Lol. What is theJournal , The SF press office. Carthy will have a difficult time getting transfers and only has 13 per cent of the vote. Reaction on twitter is that people clearly expected him to do better. That’s two headlines in a few hours that are totally one sided and pro shinner

    10
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    Mute P O' Neill
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    May 24th 2014, 2:44 PM

    Blueshirts very upset? Carthy has a great chance. Transfers are very unpredictable. A lot of counting yet to do.

    30
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    Mute Etienne de Montfort
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    May 24th 2014, 2:53 PM

    You keep saying “blue shirts” but you all get very upset when anyone points out that Gerry Adams was definitely a Provo, whereas no-one in Fine Gael was a blueshirt

    17
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    Mute seamus mcdermott
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    May 24th 2014, 4:14 PM

    So it was Sinn Fein that fecked the country up, was it Monty?

    15
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    Mute John Ferry
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    May 24th 2014, 6:18 PM

    Big change

    7
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    Mute Gar
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    May 24th 2014, 5:08 PM

    People give out stink about how this country is run, then vote in that Roscommon plank Luke Ming…….

    7
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    Mute Tom Kelly
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    May 24th 2014, 5:34 PM

    They are all planks on fairness, but we need to give the parties a kick up the backside and this is that kick.

    15
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    Mute Padraig Geraghty
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    May 25th 2014, 11:18 AM

    Hope she takes down all her posters quick sick looking at her mug .

    4
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    Mute Christy Brady
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    May 24th 2014, 7:40 PM

    Local Govt needs funding,The National one says raise Ur own in band plus/minus 15 per cent ex property tax. If you raise it ,the property tax payers will not be best pleased,if you lower it the left won’t be able to provide promised services. Hobson’s choice?

    1
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