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Euro Notes and Coins via Shustock

Central Bank revises GDP forecast upwards

They also revised upwards last year’s figures.

THE ECONOMY IS set to grow by 2.5% this year, the Central Bank says.

In their bulletin for the third quarter of the year, the Central Bank says that GDP will grow by 2.5% this year. It says that the economy will grow by half a percent more than originally thought on the back of a strong performance in the export sector and a stabilisation in domestic demand.

It goes on to say that the economy is recovering in a stronger way than previously thought.

“[National accounts data] suggest that the on-going recovery in economic activity is showing a somewhat stronger trend overall than previously signalled by national income and expenditure data.”

It says that banks’ balance sheets are being “gradually repaired” and says that exports, particularly in the pharmaceutical sector, had rebounded well since late 2013. It adds that employment numbers should help to boost household incomes, which will impact positively on spending.

The Central Bank also revised upwards its numbers for last year by half a percent, showing the economy grew by 0.2% rather than the 0.3% fall previously thought.

Read: Drugs and prostitution will be used to measure Ireland’s GDP

Read: The economy grew by 2.7% in the first three months of the year

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18 Comments
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    Mute Barry Somers
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    Sep 26th 2019, 2:57 PM

    It’s a joke of an industry,
    Many of the people I know who worked in it have left because creches want them to have degrees but they’ll pay them barely over min wage with next to no chance of any increases.

    The money is made by the creche owners and certainly not the staff, the staff work crazy long hours with feck all pay.

    The industry badly needs to be taken under the department of education

    279
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    Mute David Corrigan
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    Sep 26th 2019, 3:18 PM

    @Barry Somers: A lot of industries in Ireland operate that way. I know people working in manufacturing jobs taking home 329 euro for a 40 hour week. No pension, no benefits and no hope.

    102
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    Mute Bruce Van der Gutschmitzer
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    Sep 26th 2019, 3:21 PM

    @Barry Somers: with it being 1800/1900 for two kids in Dublin then you know it’s not going to the workers

    69
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    Mute Barry Somers
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    Sep 26th 2019, 3:31 PM

    @David Corrigan: do they also have degrees to work in that industry though?

    Even call centres pay more then child care and you don’t need a degree to get the call centre job.

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    Mute David Corrigan
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    Sep 26th 2019, 4:21 PM

    @Barry Somers: No they would not have degrees to be honest with you Barry. 40 hour week working in an engineering environment.

    6
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    Mute Derek Durkin
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    Sep 26th 2019, 2:56 PM

    Yet we are up there with the highest child care costs in Europe.

    107
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    Mute Derek Power
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    Sep 26th 2019, 4:54 PM

    @Derek Durkin: on account of the insurance costs. The creches have to pay the ever increasing insurance premiums and then the government comes up with another new standard they have to adhere to which costs more again. While the fees are high, the creches aren’t exactly sitting on mounds of money.

    21
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    Mute Niall O'Neill
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    Sep 26th 2019, 5:43 PM

    @Derek Durkin: Yep, it’s only about 120 euro per child per month in Sweden. But we prefer to cut income taxes which makes services private at high cost to the individual, marvellous capitalism that destroys the family unit and only benefits the rich. https://sweden.se/society/10-things-that-make-sweden-family-friendly/

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    Mute Artugal
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    Sep 27th 2019, 3:13 PM

    @Niall O’Neill: hey, the powers that be in this country have been trying to destroy the family unit for hundreds of years.

    Remember our leader is of the opinion that you can get your rich parents to pay for it, or if you don’t have them you can leave.

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    Mute John Horan
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    Sep 26th 2019, 2:56 PM

    Why does it come as a surprise to childcare workers that it is poorly paid? I have no kids and know nothing about kids, but I know it is and always has been a poorly paid job.

    68
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    Mute Chris Judge
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    Sep 26th 2019, 3:08 PM

    @John Horan: But it shouldn’t be so low that those working full time cannot make ends meet. If you work full time you should be able to afford to live, no matter what your job is.

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    Mute David Corrigan
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    Sep 26th 2019, 3:19 PM

    @Chris Judge: I agree 100%.

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    Mute Craic_a_tower
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    Sep 26th 2019, 3:21 PM

    @Chris Judge: Whether it should be or not isn’t really the issue. On a personal level why would you go into an industry knowing it is badly paid. As for no matter what job it should be a wage that you can live on is a new concept. Many jobs were only ever supplementary incomes worked part time. To change that whole nature will take a long time

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    Mute Chris Judge
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    Sep 26th 2019, 3:44 PM

    @Craic_a_tower: Who cares what the reasons are – someone has to do it, so why question those who do?

    It’s looking after kids, which is a very hard job and I respect them for it. They should be paid a decent salary.

    I’d assume the main issue is the insurance costs for running a nursery/creche drive prices up, so very little of the money they make goes to the workers.

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    Mute Craic_a_tower
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    Sep 26th 2019, 4:34 PM

    @Chris Judge: it seems fair to question people who complain about poor wages in a sector where everyone else knows it is poorly paid. There are people doing it on those wages.
    Do you worry about landlords getting a decent return? Did you run to their defence when renting at a loss?

    3
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    Mute John Horan
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    Sep 26th 2019, 4:52 PM

    @Chris Judge: then don’t sign up for the job. The market will soon adjust when there is nobody willing to do the job

    6
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    Mute Sorcha Ní Shúilleabháin
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    Sep 26th 2019, 7:39 PM

    @Craic_a_tower: I assume people go into childcare because they see it as a rewarding job that they like and think they would be good at. Isn’t this what everyone should be doing? Pay is a seperate issue.

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    Mute FlopFlipU
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    Sep 26th 2019, 4:11 PM

    The answer is to go on strike and then see what happen they could bring the country to a standstill

    58
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    Mute emul8ter25
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    Sep 26th 2019, 3:52 PM

    Where is the money going? The creche fees in this country are outrageous.

    61
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    Mute David Walsh
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    Sep 26th 2019, 3:54 PM

    A sure fire way of not retaining and attracting quality staff,

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    Mute Niall O'Sullivan
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    Sep 26th 2019, 4:04 PM

    @David Walsh: and you have to jump through hoops to get the job to be paid peanuts..qualifications, Garda vetting, first aid training etc forget it, sure it not even a living wage and a lot of them end up going on the dole during summer if creches/montessoris and they become seasonally unemployed. It’s a mug’s game.

    44
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    Mute Siobh
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    Sep 26th 2019, 6:23 PM

    As a preschool teacher I can say how undervalued the industry is in this country which is why I’m currently emigrating to Australia where it is valued and recognised in wages! I do it for the love of the job but it’s getting ridiculous here. I’m at the top of the scale in this country (plus the pay cut we had to take in the recession due to cut in funding) and it’s a joke!

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    Mute Stevie Doran
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    Sep 26th 2019, 10:50 PM

    @Siobh: “I do it for the love of the job”
    “So I’m going to Australia because they pay more”

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    Mute Fergus
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    Sep 26th 2019, 6:18 PM

    Helicopter parents don’t help litigating when their kid falls over or bumps into something. Insurance companies will use that as justification to increase the premiums.

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    Mute Paul Dooley
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    Sep 26th 2019, 4:10 PM

    Childcare is a good career in the uk

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    Mute Niall Donnelly
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    Sep 26th 2019, 6:41 PM

    Bring in a sectoral employment order

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    Mute Nicky DeBurca
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    Sep 27th 2019, 9:39 AM

    Time for the Department of Education to wake up !! This is Early Years Education…not a babysitting service. Some of my friends are teachers, I have more qualifications and training than they do. As pointed out above we also, cook, clean, advise etc…

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    Mute Kath Noonan
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    Sep 27th 2019, 9:31 PM

    It’s the same in a lot of jobs in Ireland, workers are struggling to make ends meet. I work in a multinational and several people in my area head to a second job after work. This is what FF/FG have done to our country. Cost of living WAY too high – people are no longer ‘living’, they’re merely existing.

    2
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