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Siobhán Ryan is one of them with the unenviable task of predicting Ireland's weather. RTÉ

Poll: Do you trust Met Éireann weather forecasts?

Land of a thousand summers.

YESTERDAY, THEJOURNAL.IE PUBLISHED some of the correspondence people have sent to Met Éireann complaining about their forecasts.

One person complained about an incorrect bad weather forecast that cancelled a golf tournament. Another woman planned a barbecue after a good forecast only for it to be washed out. She wasn’t happy.

Do these people have a point or do we just have to accept that forecasting the weather in Ireland is nigh on impossible?

Today’s question, Do you trust Met Éireann weather forecasts?


Poll Results:

Mostly, I take them into consideration (3822)
Not at all, they're really inaccurate (3431)
Not really, but it's a tough job (2594)
Yes, they're right most of the time (2498)

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64 Comments
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    Mute Daire Homan
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    Sep 20th 2015, 10:03 AM

    Somebody at the Journal must have had a barbeque ruined due to a dodgy weather forecast

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    Mute Stephen murphy
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    Sep 20th 2015, 11:15 AM

    They must have been writing a news story, about fine weather?

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    Mute Matty Reese
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    Sep 20th 2015, 5:31 PM

    The hint is in the name, they are forecasts, not predictions. People having bbqs should note the difference

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    Mute Alan Lawlor
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    Sep 20th 2015, 7:50 PM

    People organising bbqs in Ireland in advance need a reality check

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    Mute Daire Homan
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    Sep 20th 2015, 8:23 PM

    I’ll be sure to attend one of your spontaneous pop-up bbq’s then

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    Mute JJ O Riordan
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    Sep 20th 2015, 9:47 AM

    With our geographical location taken into account, it must be very difficult to predict the weather. Especially on the western side of the country. I think it’s unfair to bash Met Eireann over getting it wrong. If we were in mainland Europe and they were getting it wrong, then they’d be ripe for criticism.

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    Mute Jamie Jj Tobin
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    Sep 20th 2015, 10:01 AM

    The system met eireann uses to predict irish weather is it only rains twice a year April through to September and October through to march all their weather predictions is based on this system…..

    33
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    Mute Tom Kelly
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    Sep 20th 2015, 10:25 AM

    The atlantic that gives is so much rain also saves us from -40 winters.

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    Mute Martin Byrne
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    Sep 20th 2015, 10:54 AM

    Temperate maritime climate and some of the most difficult forecasting challenges on the planet. Then there’s the expectation that the forecast is accurate to the square km – they do a pretty good job but the most useful thing is the rainfall radar.

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    Mute thejynxeffect
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    Sep 20th 2015, 10:55 AM

    The weather is hard to predict because of the weather modification programmes going on above us

    18
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    Mute Fheisty Fheisty
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    Sep 20th 2015, 11:54 AM

    Just look @ sky news weather for Ireland on the western side they get it wright.
    Met Eireann forecast is only for tourist.

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    Mute Karol Doran
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    Sep 20th 2015, 12:32 PM

    Wright?

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    Mute Matty Reese
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    Sep 20th 2015, 5:34 PM

    It is a weather forecast not a prediction.
    The weather is too complex a system, with too many variables interacting for anybody to be able to predict with any degree of accuracy more than a few hours.

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    Mute VinHeffer89
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    Sep 20th 2015, 9:55 AM

    Here, what’s the Journal’s vendetta against Met Eireann?

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    Mute Michael Sands
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    Sep 20th 2015, 4:44 PM

    The long term forecast is always wrong… It be better if they had a window to look out in their studio, lol.

    3
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    Mute Symbolism
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    Sep 20th 2015, 9:46 AM

    We only complain if it turns out not as forecast. Who acknowledges when it’s right ? It’s not an exact science.

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    Mute Nosmo King
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    Sep 20th 2015, 10:50 AM

    Jean Byrne always gets it right for me anyway.

    47
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    Mute Beachmaster
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    Sep 20th 2015, 9:51 AM

    I predict a large front forming looking at that pic of the lovely Siobhan.

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    Mute Angry Squirrel
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    Sep 20th 2015, 12:05 PM

    Yep siobhan would get it alright.

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    Mute dj
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    Sep 20th 2015, 9:52 AM

    I haven’t watched the weather in years. Just always bring a jacket with you,just in case.

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    Mute VinHeffer89
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    Sep 20th 2015, 10:32 AM

    I made my peace with the rain years ago. If you accept that there’s essentially always a chance you’ll get wet, it ceases to bother you. Just bring a jacket…

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    Mute thejynxeffect
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    Sep 20th 2015, 10:57 AM

    I’m still at war with rain Vin. I won’t give up that easily

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    Mute VinHeffer89
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    Sep 20th 2015, 10:59 AM

    Move to Galway; you’ll break. They all do.

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    Mute Raymond Dennehy
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    Sep 20th 2015, 10:23 AM

    We live at the edge of the North Atlantic. Met Eireann do a good job but impossible to predict every shower. Don’t shoot the messenger .If the weather’s not to your liking emigrate otherwise invest in good quality rain gear. PS Forecasts for D Day in 1944 was based on irish forecasts.

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    Mute Mike Egan
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    Sep 20th 2015, 9:58 AM

    If you watch the detailed forecast and check the regional forecast it is usually spot on but don’t blame Met Eireann if you watch the forecast on BBC or list to the DJ’s quick summary

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    Mute Eamon Mac Gowan
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    Sep 20th 2015, 10:50 AM

    Just google “yr” and your town/city. You’ll get a perfect forecast courtesy of the Norwegian weather service.

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    Mute Markonline
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    Sep 20th 2015, 11:39 AM

    Yep, have been using yr.no professionally for years. Only use met eireann for rainfall radar, which in fairness is excellent.

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    Mute Darragh Martin
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    Sep 20th 2015, 11:01 AM

    People seem to be forgetting the meaning of the term ‘forecast’

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    Mute Matty Reese
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    Sep 20th 2015, 5:36 PM

    Exactly.

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    Mute Jake Race
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    Sep 20th 2015, 11:02 AM

    You would have to be a complete moron to expect weather forecasts to be 100% accurate all of the time.

    20
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    Mute Adele Sheehan
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    Sep 20th 2015, 9:50 AM

    Irish weather online, on Facebook, he knows what he’s doing. This lot are always off.

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    Mute Malachi
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    Sep 20th 2015, 3:56 PM

    Ha. What mathematical climate models is he using, pray tell? He’s got a couple of supercomputers in his basement doing Met Eireann’s job?

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    Mute Adele Sheehan
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    Sep 20th 2015, 6:14 PM

    I’m not quite sure on that Malachi, but check out today’s forecast, compared to M.E.

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    Mute Rory J Leonard
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    Sep 20th 2015, 10:16 AM

    I particularly like Evelyn Cusack’s weather charts.

    20
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    Mute John O Neill
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    Sep 20th 2015, 9:57 AM

    sky news seem to be fairly spot on

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    Mute Keith Ellis
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    Sep 20th 2015, 12:19 PM

    I only watch the weather forecast to see the gorgeous Siobhan Ryan and I believe every word she says and if she gets wrong, well she’s still gorgeous.

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    Mute Sheila Bedford
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    Sep 20th 2015, 9:48 AM

    i dont think anybody can really predict the weather its nature after all mostly down to luck

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    Mute Martin Byrne
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    Sep 20th 2015, 10:57 AM

    Or science and learning Sheìla. We build models, feed in the data and get a prediction. You’re right in that chance plays a bigger role the further out you try to predict (butterfly effect, kinda) but we do have pretty good prediction from the science so far.

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    Mute John Diamond
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    Sep 20th 2015, 11:54 AM

    The 5 day is excellent http://www.met.ie/forecasts/5day-ireland.asp and resolution on 6 hour forecast is excellent

    11
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    Mute Lauren O'Halleron
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    Sep 20th 2015, 11:42 AM

    The Journal are really running with their only exclusive.

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    Mute alwaysrightokay
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    Sep 20th 2015, 12:40 PM

    they should get mystic meg to do it. Aries you’ll meet a tall dark stranger in the rain, Pisces you’ll be sunburnt on dollymount strand.

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    Mute TellingItAsItIs
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    Sep 20th 2015, 3:29 PM

    My job is often weather dependent and I trust Met Eireann forecasts 90% of the time.

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    Mute Michael Sands
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    Sep 20th 2015, 4:45 PM

    What do you do for the other 70% of the time lol.

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    Mute ErskineChilders
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    Sep 20th 2015, 9:58 AM

    How could anyone trust these buffoons? I remember in the late 80′s they would get the weather forecast for the previous day completely wrong.

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    Mute Dave
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    Sep 20th 2015, 10:40 AM

    Its not an exact science you buffoon. In addition, look at the size of the island we live on.

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    Mute Oliver McLoughlin
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    Sep 20th 2015, 11:07 AM

    The BBC has the most accurate for the south East in my opinion. Always gets the radar spot on.

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    Mute Sheila Larkin
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    Sep 20th 2015, 1:02 PM

    Their long term forecasting is always subject to some change – the N Atlantic can do that alright.
    But the short term / next day forecast is usually grand.
    And the rainfall radar is great for the next hour or so to see what coming at you.
    My Dad use to say: any eejit can bring a coat on a wet day, the smart fella brings his on a dry day :)

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    Mute Sternn
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    Sep 20th 2015, 11:42 AM

    Ok, for nine months its going to rain every day, then in summer it will rain a few days a week. Somebody pay me as that is as accurate as yer gonna get sure.

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    Mute Mark
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    Sep 20th 2015, 10:53 AM

    If I look for a forecast I use Met UK. They have a super computer capable of making 14 trillion calculations a second when it comes to forecasting weather. Second only to Japan I believe. A very good app also. Works very well for me.

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    Mute Ryan Hardy
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    Sep 20th 2015, 12:20 PM

    Accuweather is much better

    5
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    Mute conor foley
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    Sep 20th 2015, 12:17 PM

    The yahoo weather app says it’s raining in swords right now!!! But it’s not

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    Mute Ben Connolly
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    Sep 20th 2015, 10:02 AM

    spin you must be a blue shirter

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    Mute Amy Ni Dhaltuin
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    Sep 20th 2015, 11:03 AM

    They are accurate in the sense that they include every possible type of weather in their reports knowing that they will be right on one of them. Every night they report of possible ‘sunny spells with patches of heavy rain in some places, but with moments of sunshine’. Sure they are covering all their bases! With that attitude they are going to be ‘right’ at some point.

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    Mute colm connolly
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    Sep 20th 2015, 10:40 AM

    I’ve never trusted them , if I want to know tomorrow’s weather I Google it and it’s amazing how often they differ so much but Google’s info is far more acurate

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    Mute gary kelly
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    Sep 20th 2015, 2:27 PM

    Some people have too much time on their hands. They actually take time out to complain to rte about the weather.how sad

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    Mute Noel Cassidy
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    Sep 20th 2015, 3:10 PM

    Always the same..Sunny spells with scattered showers..easiest job in Ireland.

    4
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    Mute casey
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    Sep 20th 2015, 10:35 AM

    Don’t trust any weather report either tv or app I judge the weather on the day.

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    Mute Dave
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    Sep 20th 2015, 10:46 AM

    Thats a nowcast, not forecast

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    Mute Randle P McMurphy
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    Sep 20th 2015, 2:26 PM

    yr.no is a good, mainly accurate site….

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    Mute Garreth Byrne
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    Sep 20th 2015, 5:00 PM

    The overall metro forecasts can be 80 per cent accurate, but changes of wind direction off the Great Atlantic Way can confound predictions in coastal counties, particularly if there are scenic mountains around. Better bring a jacket and brolly when cliches like “bright spells” and “scattered showers clearing in the evening” appear in the commentary.

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    Mute Anthony Fagan
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    Sep 20th 2015, 11:12 PM

    Unfortunately I work outside all year round , met eireann constantly get it wrong , it’s shocking bad , they will say snow, thunder, rain , sun, all in one day just to cover their hole, for those saying it’s hard to predict , it’s met eireanns job to use modern software and satellites and do it properly , other apps like accuweather get it spot on , their saying thunderstorms in Dublin tomorrow afternoon , watch and see :)

    1
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    Mute UP THE IRISH
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    Sep 20th 2015, 1:29 PM

    meant to be hot today and yesterday ?

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    Mute Edmond Mc Grath
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    Sep 20th 2015, 1:58 PM

    Of course the forecast is always correct basically I think the met office have a generic model with the general wording “some cloud some rain wind and sunshine!”Can’t go wrong with that in this country just switch the wording around a little and it’s sorted.

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    Mute David Barr
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    Sep 20th 2015, 4:47 PM

    a dry day with rain in places.

    1
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