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As it happened: The final Leaders' Debate of the 2016 general election

It’s make or break time for the four main party leaders.

AFTER TONIGHT, THERE’S just one more day on the airwaves for politicians. ’Thank God’, says you.

It means that tonight’s RTÉ Prime Time debate is one of the last chances the four main party leaders have to put their case forward before Friday’s general election.

In short, if the gloves are going to come off, tonight’s the night to start swinging.

Miriam O’Callaghan is the woman in the middle.

Evening all! Welcome to TheJournal.ie’s coverage of tonight’s big four-way debate from Montrose. Rónán Duffy here for the evening to give you the blow-by-blow of what’s going on and what people are talking about.

Political Editor Hugh O’Connell is in the bowels of RTÉ to see what’s going on behind the scenes, catch him at @TJ_Politics.

Our resident QI Elf-wannabe Dan McGuill will be testing statements by all four leaders to see if anyone’s telling porkies. It’s part of our GE16 FactCheck series that you can check out here.

If you want to get in touch, leave a comment or tweet myself @ronaduffy_ or our News Editor @SineadOCarroll.

Tonight’s the big one.

hunger Giphy Giphy

The leaders have been arriving at RTÉ ahead of tonight’s 9.35pm start-time.

Eager to get going, Labour leader Joan Burton was the first to arrive, saying she expects a ‘fair and tough debate’.

Fianna Fáil’s Micheál Martin was next, saying he is ready to lead the next government.

Third, Taoiseach Enda Kenny came along and looked like he was going to bypass the media.

He changed his mind though for a quick word, saying he’s done more debates than any other sitting Taoiseach.

The all-important standing positions.

From left to right (physically not politically) we have Gerry Adams, Enda Kenny, Micheál Martin and Joan Burton.

A lovely set up for Enda and Micheál to get nice and cosy with one another, they might have to soon enough.

It’s worth noting of course that were are missing some leaders tonight.

At last week’s Claire Byrne moderated debate, AAA/PBP, The Social Democrats and Renua were all represented. They’re not here tonight.

Neither are the Green Party, who’ve been left out of three debates now.

The polls have been coming even thicker and faster in this election compared to previous years, but there’s certainly been a pattern.

Fine Gael have been roundabout the 30% or higher mark for the last year or so.

Now, after some wobbles in the last week, they look to have steadied to the ship a tad.

Fianna Fáil will be happy with with how things went in the last two debates and another strong performance from Micheal Martin tonight would make things very interesting.

Gerry Adams and Joan Burton might feel as if they’ve some work to do tonight.

So if you want to know tonight’s state of play according to the pollsters, a Paddy Power/Red C poll published today placed them on the following.

poll

In fairness to RTÉ, very few do a better slow-mo montage.

Prime Time kick-off tonight with some dramatics.

montage RTÉ Player RTÉ Player

Miriam, ready to boss proceeding, tells leaders to debate but ‘not talk over each other’.

She begins by asking Enda Kenny was there some ‘arrogance’ in their Keep The Recovery going slogan.

It’s a good observation, they’ve stopped saying it in the last few days.

Kenny says he accepts that every household isn’t feeling a recovery yet.

PastedImage-42844 RTÉ RTÉ

The Tánaiste pushed on rent supplements says that they plan to spend €4 billion on social housing.

Adams is getting a number of follow-up questions from Miriam, presenter says he is ‘all at sea’ with finances.

He rejects this.

factcheck

Our first FactCheck of the evening.

1,000 families left homelessness last year – Joan Burton

Verdict: Half TRUE, number was 2,000 individuals.

The Department of the Environment’s Social Housing Report for 2015 found that 2,000 people had left homelessness last year.

There is no breakdown of how many of those are families, and 1,000 probably overstates the case.

Gerry is having a bit of a ‘mare here.

When Enda Kenny accused him of not protecting ‘Senator Cahill’, he asked the Taoiseach,

Who’s Senator Cahill?

The Taoiseach was of course talking about abuse victim and Labour Senator Mairia Cahill.

It’s all been very quiet so far, little or no interaction between the leaders.

Gerry has a bit of a stumble while trying to outline his party’s policies on health.

 

Speaking about consultants, he follows it up by asking Miriam if she earns over €100,000. She nods.

He made the same ploy against Brian Dobson last week too, it didn’t really come of this time either.

The debate has turned to mental illness.

Miriam asks Tánaiste how the government has only spent 6% of the health budget on mental health given the problem of suicide.

Tánaiste defends by saying people want schools for their children, she then turns to Adams accusing him of going abroad for healthcare.

Adams was ready for this, says he’s answered a ‘million times before’ and that the procedure he needed wasn’t available on the island of Ireland.

‘It didn’t cost the taxpayer anything,” he adds.

factcheck

FACT CHECK:

The number on trolleys and in wards today is highest on record – Micheál Martin.

Verdict: FALSE

The number today was 511, the number on 9 February was 539. We’re not sure how literally Martin was speaking, though.

According to the INMO, the numbers on trolleys and in wards is up by 8% since 2011, 40% since 2012, 37% since 2013, and 21% since 2014.

They’re onto USC.

Miriam asks the Taoiseach directly whether it’s fair that a couple earning €150,000 will benefit from their proposed USC cut three times more than a couple earning €40,000.

Kenny repeatedly says, ‘everyone will benefit’.

Frustrated, Miriam tells that Taoiseach that he’s obviously ‘not going to answer’

There’s a creak in the studio, and it’s not their policies. Twitter is now distracted.

Can you hear it?

Miriam is now going all Stateside by accusing the Taoiseach of that unforgivable sin of ‘flip-flopping’ on the USC.

Sinn Féin have ‘flip-flopped’ too she adds.

PastedImage-42040

Enda Kenny, who’s been very quiet so far, has now turned his attention to jobs.

He says his party ‘know how to create 100,000 jobs and they now want to create 200,000 jobs’.

factcheck

FACT CHECK

Michael Noonan once said USC was never intended to be temporary – Miriam O’ Callaghan

Verdict:  TRUE

On 16 December 2014, Noonan wrote, in response to a PQ from Fine Gael TD Brendan Griffin:

I should point out that it was never intended that the USC would be a temporary measure. The USC was designed and incorporated in to the Irish taxation system as part of its permanent structure and the revenues collected play a vital part in meeting the many expenditure demands placed on the Exchequer.

We’re onto a break. Miriam suggests we should all go away for a cup of tea.

Something stronger might go down well, is it just us or is this pretty boring so far?

Creakgate aside of course.

Homelessness kicking-off part two. Miriam puts it to Tánaiste that just 28 social houses were built last year.

Burton says this is unfair and not completely correct, that more people have been homed through increased building, and 13,000 through ‘social renting’.

Burton adds that 1,000 families left homelessness last year.

factcheck

FACT CHECK: 
Sinn Féin introduced a bill to abolish the USC – Miriam O’ Callaghan

Verdict: TRUE

On 29 March 2011, Sinn Féin TD Pearse Doherty introduced a private member’s motion to “abolish the Universal Social Charge,” and added:

The universal social charge, therefore, is little more than a working poor tax. The new charge disproportionately affects certain sections of society. It hits low income workers by significantly shifting the tax burden away from high earners and onto those on lower pay.

PastedImage-57658

Enda Kenny on homelessness:

Supply is the key issue here. The more you can build, the more you can house people.

Oh, and in case you didn’t notice. The creak is gone. But not forgotten.

factcheck

PastedImage-4033

FACT CHECK:

More than 1,000 social housing units were built by local authorities last year – Joan Burton.

Verdict: Very, very FALSE.

Miriam O’Callaghan was right to say 28 social housing units were built by local authorities last year, but figures are only available for the first nine months of the year. Including voluntary and cooperative houses, there were 246.

She was also right to say social housing construction by local authorities more than halved between 2008-2010.

For full details on this issue, check out this article

Quick poll, Who is winning the debate so far?


Poll Results:

 Michéal Martin (2038)
 Gerry Adams (926)
 Enda Kenny (876)
 Joan Burton (277)

Enda Kenny is defending the Central Bank’s mortgage rules (kind of):

The intention is right but at the wrong time.

He says he hope it is reviewed.

cronyism

They’re talking about cronyism. Miriam brings up McNultygate to the Taoiseach.

Enda: It’s all changed.

“What I did was make an appointment that didn’t need to be made.”

‘You may have a scoop here.’

Adams correctly points out that this is the first time Enda Kenny has admitted that he had a hand in the appointment of John McNulty to the board of the Irish Museum of Modern Art.

factcheck

FACT CHECK

13,000 families were placed in social housing in 2015 – Burton.

Verdict: Half-TRUE, 13,000 is the number of tenancies agreed.

The Tánaiste appears to be using “families” liberally again.

The Department of the Environment’s 2015 report found that 13,141 tenancies had been agreed on social housing units.

No breakdown of families or individuals was offered, so we can’t provide a number of families, but they did not make up 100% of the tenancies.

For the first time in three debates, leaders are talking about climate change.

The question is whether there is a battle between our dairy herd and our CO2 emissions.

It’s fair to say everyone is being light on specifics.

A final question, interview style. What is your biggest regret?

Martin says it’s being part of the ‘consensus’ in the previous Fianna Fáil government.

Joan Burton talks for a minute but didn’t answer on her biggest regret.

Enda Kenny says it’s being ‘slow’ on some issues like the Magdalene Laundries.

PastedImage-57880

Gerry’s final thought:

‘We’ve a chance of a real peaceful Rising this Friday.’

PastedImage-50

Joan Burton speaks to the wrong camera and that’s pretty much the most exciting part of each of their final thoughts.

Well that’s that.

It was pretty low key for the final debate of the election, they didn’t really go for each other and perhaps just wanted to make sure they didn’t make any mistakes.

Did they succeed?

We’ll have a summary of exactly what went down coming up on the site soon, but if you can’t wait RTÉ is in the ‘Spin Room’. Our Hugh O’Connell among them.

Good night from me and I hope tonight helped make up your mind a little.

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310 Comments
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    Mute Awkward Seal
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    Nov 30th 2016, 8:28 AM

    Instead of criticising him, how about we applaud the fact he made such an embarrassing admission and is taking steps to correct it. There are many bigots who say things like “AIDS is god punishing the gays”. If you’re in that bubble it’s not surprising that you don’t have all the facts. There is nothing wrong with his proposal to raise general awareness instead of just awareness for most vulnerable groups. The campaign could do both.

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    Mute Seamus Mc Nulty
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    Nov 30th 2016, 8:58 AM

    Yes, I agree, however he represents those who vote for him?

    53
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    Mute Ace
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    Nov 30th 2016, 7:53 AM

    Does he also know that men cant get pregnant ?

    201
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    Mute Dessie Curley
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    Nov 30th 2016, 11:35 AM

    They can’t? My belly has been slowly getting bigger for years. What the hell could it be?

    47
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    Mute Uncle Monty
    Favourite Uncle Monty
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    Nov 30th 2016, 12:51 PM

    @Dessie Curley: Have you seen the film ‘Alien’?

    16
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    Mute Cillian McCormick
    Favourite Cillian McCormick
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    Nov 30th 2016, 8:13 AM

    The DUP ladies and gentlemen.

    143
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    Mute Ciaran Ó Fallúin
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    Nov 30th 2016, 9:32 AM

    @Cillian McCormick: If this is indicative of the DUP, we could do with some of that down south!

    When was the last time you saw any politician or political party admit their flaws and humbly acknowledge their mistakes?

    Stubborn ignorance has been a prevailing mentality for far too long and people throwing stones at his former ignorance, well, their glass houses must be pretty drafty at this point.

    71
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    Mute Deborah Behan
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    Nov 30th 2016, 8:22 AM

    In this day and age this is quite amazing but fair play. Hopefully it will start a conversation about HIV and sexual persuasions.

    115
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    Mute alphanautica
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    Nov 30th 2016, 8:07 AM

    He must be from the Healy Rae school of scientific thought

    115
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    Mute David Murphey
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    Nov 30th 2016, 7:54 AM

    Does he know the Earth isn’t flat?

    104
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    Mute TonyD2469
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    Nov 30th 2016, 7:53 AM

    Wow just wow

    73
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    Mute Matt Donovan
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    Nov 30th 2016, 8:15 AM

    Waterford whispers news must be kicking themselves having missed such a gem of a headline. The mind truly boggles.

    69
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    Mute Upowthat Burke
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    Nov 30th 2016, 7:54 AM

    What rock was this guy under the last 20 year…..you can be sure he wasent stuck for company under that rock…….we have the biggest rock in the world looks like in the cabbage patch

    56
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    Mute John Doyle
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    Nov 30th 2016, 7:55 AM

    Wow! More Brains in a Turnip

    43
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    Mute Totalitarian
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    Nov 30th 2016, 8:23 AM

    Ignorance personified

    30
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    Mute O-'Seán #IRExit
    Favourite O-'Seán #IRExit
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    Nov 30th 2016, 9:48 AM

    Their party only knows bigotry. So of course he didn’t, not even news.

    26
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    Mute joe o hare
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    Nov 30th 2016, 8:12 AM

    Some truth in that very few heterosexual men will get hiv

    20
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    Mute Maurice Bourke
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    Nov 30th 2016, 8:14 AM

    @joe Do you have a link for that claim?

    65
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    Mute Colm O'Connor
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    Nov 30th 2016, 8:20 AM

    There’s millions of infected heterosexual men infected in the developing world

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    Mute Keith Mitchell
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    Nov 30th 2016, 8:28 AM

    It does effect gays disproportionately

    19
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    Mute Anthony Healy Poroloniczak
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    Nov 30th 2016, 8:30 AM

    Your comment makes u as ignorant as him

    48
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    Mute Keith Mitchell
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    Nov 30th 2016, 8:44 AM

    From the article above: “He argued against an amendment to the proposal put forward by People Before Profit MLA Eamonn McCann. McCann had proposed that the campaign stressed the disproportionate impact of HIV on gay and bisexual men.”

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    Mute Qwerty
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    Nov 30th 2016, 9:10 AM

    *affect

    9
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    Mute joe o hare
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    Nov 30th 2016, 9:55 AM

    @Colm O’Connor: maybe colm but they didn’t contract it by having sex with women.

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    Mute joe o hare
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    Nov 30th 2016, 9:58 AM

    @Anthony Healy Poroloniczak: ignorance is a lack of knowledge. So I will pass on some knowledge to you. Men very rarely contract HIV by having sex with women, that is a fact. Feel free to show your ignorance by denying this.

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    Mute Maurice Bourke
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    Nov 30th 2016, 10:01 AM

    @joe please show a link to where you got that information.

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    Mute Hugh Mannatee
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    Nov 30th 2016, 10:26 AM
    10
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    Mute Hugh Mannatee
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    Nov 30th 2016, 10:29 AM

    49% of new cases in Ireland are in the MSM group. Gay men should already know this. It’s not gay bashing to say this. If you are gay and don’t believe this then you are in denial.

    15
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    Mute Paschal Nee
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    Nov 30th 2016, 10:35 AM

    @Maurice Bourke:
    There’s lots of studies with but the numbers seem to support the view that there’s less risk for the man in a hetro relationship

    http://www.catie.ca/en/pif/summer-2012/putting-number-it-risk-exposure-hiv

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    Mute Maurice Bourke
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    Nov 30th 2016, 10:39 AM

    @hugh @joe. I wasn’t going to accuse anyone of gay bashing. I like to ask for links when someone makes a claim that sounds dubious, nothing more.

    15
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    Mute HOTBank
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    Nov 30th 2016, 1:26 PM

    They do Joe. Any kind of abrasion or damage to skin or mucus membranes is an entry point for for the virus and while it’s less likely that a man will be infected by a woman it can and does happen. Mouth ulcers, STIs, BDSM practices are all additional risk factors.

    5
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    Mute HOTBank
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    Nov 30th 2016, 11:59 PM

    No you wouldn’t and no she wouldn’t. Be careful out there.

    1
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    Mute David Quim
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    Nov 30th 2016, 11:32 AM

    BREAKING NEWS: DUP politician admits to being an ignorant thick.

    18
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    Mute Seaghán Corcoran
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    Nov 30th 2016, 8:29 AM

    Oh, dear. Deary dear oh dear..

    18
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    Mute Frederick Burden
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    Nov 30th 2016, 9:32 AM

    HIV is a disease?
    I thought it was a trucker license.

    12
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    Mute Paul
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    Nov 30th 2016, 1:53 PM

    In the developed world it is predominantly a gay disease. Lets not ignore the statistics and treat the disease like the common cold, it has made a comeback among younger gay men in recent years.

    10
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    Mute Hugh Mannatee
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    Nov 30th 2016, 8:26 AM

    Whenever I hear the word sodomy I get this song stuck in my head for days. https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Ulb0pLBgRCw

    7
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    Mute Jumperoo
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    Nov 30th 2016, 8:38 AM

    What the…..?

    8
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    Mute Hugh Mannatee
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    Nov 30th 2016, 9:12 AM

    The film is Meet the Feebles. It was directed by none other than Peter Jackson before he hit the big time.

    6
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    Mute Hugh Mannatee
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    Nov 30th 2016, 9:40 AM

    https://youtu.be/fH_4Zt6kokk The horrors of war and drug addiction.

    2
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    Mute Hugh Mannatee
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    Nov 30th 2016, 10:30 AM

    @jumperoo: Bet you it’s in your head now.

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    Mute Alois Irlmaier
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    Dec 1st 2016, 4:33 AM

    @Hugh Mannatee: Your doing it wrong if it starts playing music?

    1
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    Mute Michael Collins
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    Nov 30th 2016, 9:22 AM

    S#!t kicker

    5
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    Mute Aaron Kavanagh
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    Nov 30th 2016, 7:40 PM

    The importance of sex education

    4
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    Mute Val Martin
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    Nov 30th 2016, 9:06 AM

    To me this confirms one of my theories. There is a substantial portion of the Irish Population (and possible other populations) and their politicians who are a thick as planks. (more in keeping with the intelect of a crow than a person). They can get to comprehend comflex matters, but it takes them 30 to 40 times as long as me. If there is a particular emergency pushed on them, they will try to figure it out and this can abridge the time womewhat.

    Their financial management system is “hold on to everything with a death’s grip” and try to persuade their relations to leave them goodies in their wills. This DUP one believes the AIDS virus is sexually sellective. I experience the same effect when I try to tell people wind energy is a scam and does not work at all. Its just an illegal subsidy racket. See valmartinireland you tube and the Irish Energy Blog (where I contribute)

    The same in advising people not to buy newpapers and note to vote in elections. Its a fact of life, better get used to it.

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    Mute Rob Cahill
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    Nov 30th 2016, 9:18 AM

    @Val Martin: Yeah Val, I know someone who has the same issue when no one listens to him about Dinosaurs existing along side Humans.. It must be frustrating.

    20
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    Mute Dave O Keeffe
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    Nov 30th 2016, 9:49 AM

    Shhh leave him alone and he’ll go back to telling NASA how stupid they are

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    Mute Nollaig Elliot
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    Nov 30th 2016, 10:49 AM

    I heard crows were quite smart Val.

    9
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    Mute HOTBank
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    Nov 30th 2016, 1:28 PM

    Interesting off topic contribution there Val. But as you have raised it Denmark fares pretty well with wind energy.

    4
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    Mute Kevin Slater
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    Nov 30th 2016, 1:10 PM

    Proposing an awareness campaign now he knows straight people can get it too. Ok for the gays to get sick though coz God hates fags.

    3
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    Mute Patrick Gough
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    Nov 30th 2016, 10:52 AM

    It is almost impossible for a man to contract hiv from a woman since there is no transfer of fluid from woman to man. magic Johnson became hiv positive in 1991. since he said he was having sex with different women 3 or 4 times a day he said he got hiv from a women. cut to an expert. “impossible” the expert says. “statistically you’d have to have sex with over a million women to contract hiv” then magic Johnson admitted he had sex with men.

    2
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    Mute Donal Martin
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    Nov 30th 2016, 11:22 AM

    @Patrick Gough: No transfer of fluid from woman to man? What dried up women are you having sex with???

    30
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    Mute David Quim
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    Nov 30th 2016, 11:35 AM

    @Donal Martin: I’d say one of the highlights of Patrick’s sex life was when he go an inflatable sex doll for his birthday and immediately fell in love with it.

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    Mute Hugh Mannatee
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    Nov 30th 2016, 12:42 PM

    Don’t you put it in the belly button?

    5
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    Mute HOTBank
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    Nov 30th 2016, 1:29 PM

    Not almost impossible Patrick. Just more difficult. See my comment in response to Joe O Hair

    6
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    Mute James Joseph Superior Power
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    Nov 30th 2016, 3:37 PM

    @ Patrick. I would say something but the stupidity of that comment speaks for itself.

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    Mute Alois Irlmaier
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    Dec 1st 2016, 4:36 AM

    @Patrick Gough: Patrick that is a dangerous thing to believe…

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    Mute Alois Irlmaier
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    Dec 1st 2016, 4:31 AM

    The birds and the bees Bible lesson???

    1
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