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A 1994 file photo of the body of a police officer on the State Highway 14 overpass in Southern California following the Northridge earthquake. AP/Press Association Images

A massive earthquake will inevitably hit California in the future, and experts warn the state is not prepared

A new report shows that people need to face the reality to “prevent the inevitable disaster from becoming a catastrophe”.

BEYOND THE SUNSHINE, the palm trees and Hollywood, if there is one certainty in California, it’s that a massive earthquake will strike at some point.

But when the Big One hits, a recent report says, the western state is ill-prepared and local officials as well as major businesses need to face that reality to “prevent the inevitable disaster from becoming a catastrophe”.

Drafted by a group of business and policy leaders, the report identifies several key areas that need to be addressed before a quake as strong as a magnitude 8 happens, notably aging infrastructure, water supplies and the risk of catastrophic fires.

One of the biggest vulnerabilities, the report states, relates to the Cajon Pass, a narrow mountain pass where the mighty San Andreas Fault intersects with key lifelines, including freeways, railway lines, gas and petroleum pipelines as well as electric lines.

California Wildfire A worker removes a post burned by a wildfire along Interstate 15 in the Cajon Pass in 2011. Jae C. Hong / AP/Press Association Images Jae C. Hong / AP/Press Association Images / AP/Press Association Images

A major earthquake on the San Andreas, one of California’s most dangerous faults, would cut most lifelines in and out of southern California, preventing critical aid from reaching some 20 million people and hampering recovery efforts, experts say.

The quake would also rupture flammable pipelines, triggering explosions and fires that could burn out of control.

“Anything that comes into southern California has to cross the San Andreas Fault to get to us – gas, electricity, water, freeways, railways,” said seismologist Lucy Jones, who acted as advisor for the Southern California Disaster Risk Reduction Initiative committee, which issued the report.

“Most of the water that we get has to cross the fault to reach us but when the earthquake happens, all of the aqueducts will be broken at the same time,” Jones, known as California’s “earthquake lady”, told AFP.

Quake Expert Retires Lucy Jones talks during a news conference at Caltech in Pasadena, Calif, in 2014. Nick Ut / AP/Press Association Images Nick Ut / AP/Press Association Images / AP/Press Association Images

She said one way to get around this dependency was to look at alternative water sources, including from contaminated aquifers beneath the Los Angeles area that could be cleaned up, albeit at a massive cost.

The best defense against a broken aqueduct is to not need an aqueduct.

Installing automatic shutoff valves on natural gas and petroleum gas pipelines that run near the San Andreas Fault could also help prevent major fires, according to the report.

As for maintaining communication with the outside world once the Big One strikes and disrupts energy grids, Jones said solar power could be one answer.

‘In this together’

Also addressed in the report is the vulnerability of many homes and buildings in southern California, where local communities have yet to follow the example of the city of Los Angeles in requiring that structures that risk collapsing be retrofitted.

In addition, experts say, building codes need to be reviewed to make sure that not only will structures not kill people but will remain standing and usable after a major quake.

“Today, we are building in a huge financial vulnerability,” Jones said.

We are not going to kill people with these buildings but we are not going to be able to use them afterward and that’s a big deal.
For 1-2% more of the cost, we could most likely make buildings still usable.

Computer simulations by the US Geological Survey (USGS) suggest that a magnitude 7.8 quake on the southern end of the San Andreas fault would cause shaking for some two minutes, killing at least 1,800 people, injuring 53,000 and causing $213 billion in damage.

The largest recorded earthquake in California was the 1857 Fort Tejon quake that ruptured the San Andreas for 225 miles (360 kilometers).

Scientists say pressure and seismic energy has since furiously been building along the fault, which constitutes the boundary between two moving tectonic plates – the North American and Pacific plates.

Quake Threat AP / Press Association Images AP / Press Association Images / Press Association Images

“It is inevitable that we will have a big earthquake because that pressure needs to be released,” said Robert Graves, a seismologist with the USGS.

He said that given the certainty that disaster will strike, California needs to address head-on vulnerabilities to minimize the impact.

“We need to get people to recognize that an event like this is a community event and we are at the beginning of that process,” Roberts said.

“This is more than say me as an individual making sure my building is gonna be safe.

“If all the other buildings in my neighborhood are knocked down and the water delivery system and power aren’t working, it won’t matter that my building is safe,” he continued.

So we are in this together.

© – AFP, 2016

Read: These are the ten cities most at risk of being hit by natural disasters

Read: Desperate search for survivors as Ecuador earthquake death toll passes 400

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    Mute Teddy
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    May 31st 2020, 6:13 PM

    The USA is a mess under Trumps watch.

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    Mute Peter Hughes
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    May 31st 2020, 6:19 PM

    @Teddy: This is a lot more than just police brutality, there is a massive devide between rich and poor over there and its getting larger and larger by the year. the one percent are hoovering up more and more of the wealth and it’s a pouder keg waiting to blow. The virus and now this have lit the fuse, it would not surprise me if this gets really ugly because millions have had enough of the toxic system over there.

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    Mute Eric Gaffney
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    May 31st 2020, 6:34 PM

    @Teddy: it was a mess long before Trump came along.

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    Mute Rochelle
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    May 31st 2020, 6:40 PM

    @Eric Gaffney: Affordable healthcare is one the biggest issues at present, something which Trump quite directly rolled back on compared to Obama’s progress.

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    Mute Alan Biddulph
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    May 31st 2020, 7:05 PM

    @Peter Hughes: That’s it in a nutshell, the rich have never been richer and there are masses of people struggling to survive when an honest decent living shouldn’t be out of reach for them. Something has to give eventually.

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    Mute Daniel Dunne
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    Jun 1st 2020, 12:15 AM

    @Teddy: So there were no riots and looting until Trump arrived? Really?

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    Mute Fenston Barcley Redmond
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    Jun 1st 2020, 12:34 AM

    @Daniel Dunne: There were and always will be. Trump has just handled them badly and blames everyone else. He never acts like a president and seems to love being more and more divisive. He does nothing for the US. Nothing!

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    Mute Wayne Connor
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    Jun 1st 2020, 3:11 AM

    @Fenston Barcley Redmond: Trump simply is a racist. Walks like s chicken, squawks like a chicken..,

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    Mute Kate Colbert
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    Jun 1st 2020, 3:29 AM

    @Rochelle: In fairness, paying $400 a month on Obama’s Healthcare system in a low-paying job wasn’t exactly progress.

    19
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    Mute Wayne Connor
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    Jun 1st 2020, 3:36 AM

    @Kate Colbert: I was
    Paying $600 as month ; told my wife it was going to cost the Democrats the election

    14
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    Mute Kate Colbert
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    Jun 1st 2020, 4:18 AM

    @Wayne Connor: There’s a big disconnect in how Obamacare is viewed and displayed by the Irish media and people and how people living in the US actually felt about it. Crippling!

    22
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    Mute Kate Colbert
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    Jun 1st 2020, 4:21 AM

    @Kate Colbert: Ugh, wish I could edit my own comments on this site after posting them!

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    Mute Giddy
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    Jun 1st 2020, 4:55 AM

    @Teddy:

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    Mute Dave O'Keeffe
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    Jun 1st 2020, 6:48 AM

    @Kate Colbert: and yet according to polls its more popular than ever now with 55% support.

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    Mute Valthebear
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    Jun 1st 2020, 8:17 AM

    @Kate Colbert: indeed. Just had the same conversation very recently with a friend who emigrated to US a few years ago with his family. He can’t believe how utterly uniformed the media here is in regard to that issue.

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    Mute Francis Mc Carthy
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    Jun 1st 2020, 8:49 AM

    @Daniel Dunne: White rioting has been going on awhile in fairness.

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    Mute Mary Morrisey
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    Jun 1st 2020, 8:54 AM

    @Rochelle: Progress?

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    Mute Mary Morrisey
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    Jun 1st 2020, 8:56 AM

    @Peter Hughes: It’s definitely not about the perceived injustice felt by a single man.

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    Mute Mary Morrisey
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    Jun 1st 2020, 9:00 AM

    @Dave O’Keeffe: You’d think folks would question the accuracy of polls after the presidential election of 2016…

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    Mute Gerry Campbell
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    Jun 1st 2020, 9:24 AM

    @Peter Hughes: toooo General,way tooo general,theres more than the 1% hovering up everything,a schoolfriend of mine is there 40 years,worked like a dog and is well secured now,wife and two daughters on the front line fighting Covid,and he sees it every day,cant get workers ,too lazy to scratch their arses,but come rioting time,they never let the side down.

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    Mute JR Hartley
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    Jun 1st 2020, 11:44 AM

    @Teddy: as his enemies would have wanted, possibly planned!?

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    Mute Clarissa
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    Jun 1st 2020, 1:14 PM

    @Wayne Connor: please give one example where he has said or done anything racist?

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    Mute Gordon Comstock
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    May 31st 2020, 6:15 PM

    Antifa thugs and their fellow travellers are physically attacking journalists, but don’t forget to ensure half the article reporting on this thuggish behaviour is focused on entirely unrelated comments made by Trump about the US press corps.

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    Mute David Jordan
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    May 31st 2020, 6:18 PM

    @Gordon Comstock: The police need to calm down too, they look like an invading force: https://streamable.com/u2jzoo

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    Mute Gordon Comstock
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    May 31st 2020, 6:24 PM

    @David Jordan: is that not the national guard rather than the police? Anyway that’s part of a way bigger problem. US military production is way too high, and they produce all this military hardware that their own military don’t need and they don’t necessarily want to sell to anyone abroad. A lot of this kit ends up being sold to domestic police forces for next to nothing (e.g. I think they can pick up one of those armoured vehicles from your link for $200). If police forces have the toys they’ll use them when they can, boys will be boys and all that. It’s the weirdest and most awful consequence of what is essentially a form of corporate welfare for armaments producers.

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    Mute Barry
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    May 31st 2020, 6:25 PM

    @Gordon Comstock: US Police/National Guard are shooting at residents even when the residents are legally on their own property following curfew rules that specifically state they can be on their own property (including porch).

    But hey, try blame black people rather then Trump and the hatred he’s spent years creating

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    Mute Gordon Comstock
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    May 31st 2020, 6:30 PM

    @Barry: am I blaming black people or are you making things up because you can’t view any issue through anything other than a racial lens? Cos you’re so opposed to racism of course, that’s why you obsess so much about race. If you’re going to project your racism on to others you really must try to be less obvious. Or you could always try and view people as individuals and abandon your racist views entirely, but that might take a bit more work.

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    Mute NotMyIreland
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    May 31st 2020, 6:44 PM

    @Gordon Comstock: The American’s enforce laws with the threat of violence. Actual violence though not the sort you claimed was used to enforce laws in this country the other day. See the difference?

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    Mute Gordon Comstock
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    May 31st 2020, 6:46 PM

    @NotMyIreland: no, all laws everywhere are enforced with violence. It’s hilarious that you’re still struggling to understand such a simple concept.

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    Mute Seriousnojoke
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    May 31st 2020, 6:49 PM

    @Gordon Comstock: When the law enforcers break the law themselves first, they’ve lost legitimacy.

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    Mute Derdaly
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    May 31st 2020, 7:05 PM

    @Gordon Comstock: so antifa arrested the CNN team in Minneapolis? Shoot rubber bullets in Louisville? I’m no supporter of Antifa but the attitude of the Trump administrationto to even the legitimate protests is more than questionable… I didn’t hear him offer the national guard services to Michigan when the state capitol building was invaded by M16 toting militia men earlier this month.

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    Mute James Gannon
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    May 31st 2020, 9:12 PM

    @Gordon Comstock: following 3 and followed by 1.. Good day…

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    Mute DJ François
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    May 31st 2020, 9:17 PM

    @Gordon Comstock: You don’t shoot and attack identifiable journalists if you are police , your attempt to conflate representatives of the state with a fringe element is straight out of the the Trump playbook, and glaringly obvious. No mention of the nazi agitators also formenting trouble?

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    Mute Gordon Comstock
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    May 31st 2020, 9:32 PM

    @DJ François: because the nazi agitators line is absolute nonsense that you would have to be functionally moronic to believe. Do you believe there are Nazi agitators fomenting trouble? Haha.

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    Mute Dave O'Keeffe
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    May 31st 2020, 9:38 PM

    @DJ François: he also left out the bit where the peaceful protesters formed a human shield to protect White House police last night

    18
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    Mute Wayne Connor
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    May 31st 2020, 9:45 PM

    @DJ François: you’re wasting your breath DJ. This guy thinks Trump is doing a bang up job . It’s actually jarring, the lack of leadership right now. We’re used to seeing a country’s leader address the nation during a crisis such as this and right now we’re getting nothing. “When the looting starts the shooting starts” “dogs and ominous weapons” really ?? Hiding behind Twitter and fanning the flames

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    JGD
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    Mute JGD
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    Jun 1st 2020, 1:16 AM

    @Gordon Comstock: let’s talk truth here, Trump is an evil POS and anyone with a brain can see it. Far from making America great he is fomenting division, spewing hatred and lies and ultimately destroying the country.

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    Mute Wayne Connor
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    Jun 1st 2020, 3:18 AM

    @JGD: well said, there’s no time to mince words anymore

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    Mute Kate Colbert
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    Jun 1st 2020, 3:35 AM

    @Gordon Comstock: Antifa(scists) are Nazis now!?

    5
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    Mute Francis Mc Carthy
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    Jun 1st 2020, 7:19 AM

    @DJ François: How very dare you to even suggest that that there would be nazi agitators fermenting trouble. Also, How on earth could they even manage to do that from their caves? it’s not as if they’ve got internet connections down there :O

    ps i am praying that the Antifa organisations HQ isn’t raided #worried

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    Mute Conall
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    Jun 1st 2020, 7:46 PM

    @Gordon Comstock: Some laws some places are enforced with violence. I was stopped having broken the law from speeding – they didn’t take me out and beat me. The pleasant enough Garda told me I was speeding, I said sorry, paid the fine, and did less speeding. No anger, no fear, no real stress and an effective deterrent.

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    Mute Wayne Connor
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    May 31st 2020, 6:52 PM

    This is not going to get better anytime soon. The wealth disparity in this country is definitely a huge driving factor, coupled with systemic
    racism and the far right leanings of the current administration. There’s been no leadership for 3 1/2 years now , just a push farther to the right. The establishment have signaled their intent ; rather than build bridges they’re just going to beef up their armory at local levels because they’re anticipating more incidents such as these. I mean why do local police departments need MRAPs ffs??? Let’s not forget this pandemic has still to play out. 105,000 dead , 40 million unemployed. The natives are getting restless. America is great now ???

    90
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    Mute Dave Nomates
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    May 31st 2020, 7:48 PM

    US police trained by the IDF, what outcome do you expect when they engage unarmed civilians, ask any Palestinian.

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    Mute Dave Nomates
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    May 31st 2020, 7:48 PM

    Will Ireland be next.

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    Mute Mike Magan
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    May 31st 2020, 11:18 PM

    @Dave Nomates: if it were to be, which it will not. You will have the families of 1916 to contend with.

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    Mute Barry
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    Jun 1st 2020, 6:44 AM

    @Dave Nomates: Ireland most certainly will not be next, you need to step back, take off the tinfoil hat and get some rest.

    26
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    Mute Manuel Moreira
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    Jun 1st 2020, 8:40 AM

    @Dave Nomates: Israel has nothing to do wirh this, and cooperation between the IDF and police in the USA is basically non-existent for the simple fact the IDF is an army not a police force.

    But someone has to always drag Israel into this, even if no relation is shown.

    Coincidently it’s also the only Jewish state on the planet, but yeah… no antisemitism for sure.

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    Mute JR Hartley
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    Jun 1st 2020, 11:47 AM

    @Dave Nomates: we don’t riot as a rule but we await our returned democracy.

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    Mute Geoff Dolan
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    Jun 2nd 2020, 8:52 AM

    @Manuel Moreira:

    Sorry to burst your bubble, but Amnesty has a report here outlining how a number of US Police depts have been trained not just in Israel but in the Occupied Territories by Israeli Security Forces too.

    Different ball game being trained by police forces involved in and implementing one-sided oversight in inter-ethnic conflicts.Which in Israel’s case in the West Bank involves land seizures, a two-tiered justice system (Israeli Civil Law for Israeli settlers, and Military Law/Internment for Palestinians). Not to mention shootings of unarmed civilians in the thousands by Israeli security forces, ofren whitewashed by Israeli courts.

    Thus, it is natural that decent people will be at least concerned about any police department being trained in that extreme environment by such a controversial entity such as the Israeli Security Forces.

    https://www.amnestyusa.org/with-whom-are-many-u-s-police-departments-training-with-a-chronic-human-rights-violator-israel/

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    Mute Manuel Moreira
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    Jun 2nd 2020, 11:28 AM

    @Geoff Dolan: indeed, Amnesty never once did a wrong report at all.

    Oh well, modern blood libel by antisemites

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    Mute Martello Mulligan
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    May 31st 2020, 6:42 PM

    “Yesterday morning, a Fox News journalist who was reporting from a position in front of the White House was pummeled and chased by demonstrators until police intervened.” Terrible to think this could happen to a bona fide journalist even one reporting for Faux News. But then that media broadcaster does gleefully cheer Numpty Trumpty when he berates journalists in front of his riled up audiences. A President’s words are powerful, too bad this president is limited in intellect and can’t appreciate that.

    83
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    Mute Barry
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    May 31st 2020, 7:27 PM

    @Martello Mulligan: I find it more worrying that the police who are supposed to uphold the law have so far arrested, pepper sprayed and shot at journalists who were not breaking and laws and who were clearly identified as press.

    I think we can all agree that law enforcement should be held to a much, much higher standard to anybody else.

    A random person walking down the street can steal or hit somebody, but we don’t expect police to do the same.

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    Mute Martello Mulligan
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    May 31st 2020, 7:49 PM

    @Barry: 100% agree , when the police abuse their power, it undermines the law and the state. The punishment should be severe.

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    Mute Dave O'Keeffe
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    May 31st 2020, 9:16 PM

    @Martello Mulligan: but rarely is

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    JGD
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    Mute JGD
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    Jun 1st 2020, 1:18 AM

    @Martello Mulligan: he himself said the media is the enemy of the people.

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    Mute Richard Russell
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    Jun 1st 2020, 9:27 AM

    @Martello Mulligan: journalists are hypocrites as they support the tv licence scam and laws restricting our right to own a tv

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    Mute tuco
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    May 31st 2020, 8:07 PM

    Capitalism is causing a massive rift between old and young as the youth see the elderly hovering up the money and have a good lifestyle to people that are just getting by from day to day.only 1 in 4 young Americans support capitalism.the youth see the rich Americans suppressing them by using police force.

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    Mute Andy Cahalan
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    May 31st 2020, 8:16 PM

    @tuco: and would you like to provide any examples from the several attempts at an alternative??

    54
    Doug
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    Mute Doug
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    May 31st 2020, 8:23 PM

    @tuco:
    Nonsense. Race riots are nothing new in the US unfortunately. Blaming capitalism is silly. Check US history and you will see this happening 50 years ago as well.

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    Mute Dave O'Keeffe
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    May 31st 2020, 10:01 PM

    @Doug: Emmet Till’s death outraged many because there was an open casket for everyone to see what had been done. Rodney King’s beating was caught on camera and people were outraged. Philando Castile, Alton Sterling, Tamir Rice, Daniel Shaver, Oscar Grant, Sean Bell, Amadou Diallo, Clifford Glover, Rekia Boyd, Freddie Gray, Stephon Clark. The list is endless but nothing changes.

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    Mute Valthebear
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    Jun 1st 2020, 8:18 AM

    @tuco: right on Comrade..

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    Mute Clarissa
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    Jun 1st 2020, 1:16 PM

    @tuco: the rich arenopressing the youth with the police force??? Omg…this is the most ridiculous comment I have ever read. Jealousy of people that worker harder than you and therefore had more money than you. And you relate this to the police? Get a grip

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    Mute Bryen O Murchu
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    Jun 1st 2020, 5:23 PM

    @Clarissa: The US is and always has been an Oligarchy that is a country run by and for the wealthy industrialists oil barons gun lobbyists all of whom contribute vast sums to their preferred candidates who will support their agendas . The idea of the “little man or woman “ casting their votes to make a difference is nonsense when the candidates themselves even when voted into office owe more allegiance to those industrialists who footed the bill for their campaigns than American voters . And who now want payback in the form indicated. Wealth in this situation will always gravitate towards the already wealthy . This is a law of economics. The rich in an unbridled Oligarchial State will always get richer while the poor get poorer. Toss in Trumps racism and you got USA.

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    Mute Joe Soap
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    May 31st 2020, 10:59 PM

    If this was happening in a country that had oil the yanks would invade to stop the injustice and because they have weapons of mass destruction. Like WTF

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    Mute Cliff Burnby
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    Jun 1st 2020, 1:51 AM

    What a car crash of a country right now.

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    Mute 8-Bit-Relic
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    May 31st 2020, 7:00 PM

    The Twitter account of Linda Tirado is quite an inspiration. I can’t recommend enough to take a look at this to witness her courage and spirit.

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    Mute Dave O'Keeffe
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    May 31st 2020, 8:58 PM

    @8-Bit-Relic: truly inspirational

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    Mute Ray de Róiste
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    Jun 1st 2020, 7:30 AM

    @8-Bit-Relic: stunning and brave

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    JGD
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    Mute JGD
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    Jun 1st 2020, 1:13 AM

    America is falling apart and the worst is yet to come.

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    Mute Wayne Connor
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    Jun 1st 2020, 3:23 AM

    @JGD: the reckoning is here. The people have spoken. They will dump the trump to the rump of history, bigly

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    Mute Mary Morrisey
    Favourite Mary Morrisey
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    Jun 1st 2020, 8:57 AM

    @JGD: No it’s not. You lot sound like a bunch ghouls wishful thinking.

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    Mute Mary Morrisey
    Favourite Mary Morrisey
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    Jun 1st 2020, 9:05 AM

    What these real and pseudo-journalists don’t get is they also need to disperse when told and bias reporting for maximum profit has created a lit of the issues America faces now.

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    Mute Micheál
    Favourite Micheál
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    May 31st 2020, 8:43 PM

    Only the abolition by the conscious action of American workers and people of US imperialism will save the day for humanity

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    Mute Sean Mc Cabe
    Favourite Sean Mc Cabe
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    Jun 1st 2020, 8:17 AM

    Unfortunately this has been coming in the US for a long time. Sad scenes

    5
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