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Eurozone woes to impact on Irish export growth in 2012, warns NIB

The bank is revising its forecast for Ireland’s export growth down by 1 per cent in light of weaker European trading conditions.

IRELAND’S EXPORTS are expected to continue to grow next year, but National Irish Bank has revised its forecast for that growth down by 1 per cent in light of weaker trading conditions across Europe.

The NIB FDI Quarterly Report for Winter 2011 says that as European markets represent some 60 per cent of Ireland’s exports, difficulties within the eurozone are likely to take a toll on the country’s export growth potential in 2012.

The bank said it is revising its forecast for Ireland’s export growth down from 5.5 per cent to 4.5 per cent through next year.

The report’s author NIB economist Dr Ronnie O’Toole said that although 2012 is expected to be a more difficult year for exports, Ireland’s export sector and its improve competitiveness should “still allow for a reasonable level of export growth next year”.

The Danske Bank-owned organisation also says that as Europe becomes increasingly weaker, it seems “more and more evident that the eurozone cannot escape recession”.

Meanwhile, it says that the US and China are expected to show improved growth into 2012.

Trade surplus widens to over €4 billion >

Ireland’s economic growth forecast to hit just 1 per cent next year >

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4 Comments
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    Mute phantom duck Nibbler
    Favourite phantom duck Nibbler
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    Mar 2nd 2012, 7:11 AM

    Like a doctor saying you have 3 weeks to live instead of 2.

    51
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    Mute God's Horse
    Favourite God's Horse
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    Mar 2nd 2012, 7:35 AM

    When a politician tells you one thing, you can be sure the opposite is true. Baldy, look me in the eye and say it ain’t so.

    34
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    Mute Anel Cceram
    Favourite Anel Cceram
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    Mar 2nd 2012, 8:25 AM

    I wonder can he read is it really possible to be that stupid!! Jazus shame on limerick for electing that traitor

    19
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    Mute Tom Kiely
    Favourite Tom Kiely
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    Mar 2nd 2012, 7:17 AM

    Whats next Mini farming budget ….give me a break! Get out now ppl if you have a chance to do so!

    19
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    Mute Eileen Gabbett
    Favourite Eileen Gabbett
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    Mar 2nd 2012, 8:51 AM

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-15748696
    Have a look at this Mr Noonan ….
    Each German owes €50,659,
    Each French person owes €66,508
    each person in Ireland owes €390,969.
    Impossible We owe this thanks to the banks YET
    http://www.newstalk.ie/2011/news/rich-list-irelands-wealthiest-named/
    There is of course money in this country But Why is there so much
    Austerity for the less well off ordinary workers ?

    19
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    Mute Robert Lynch
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    Mar 2nd 2012, 10:27 AM

    Eileen,
    What is also interesting about the Foreign Debt graphs (that you gave the link to) is what it doesn’t show. The circle shows a number of countries that we own debt to including the 100 billion we OK (which of course is sort of balanced by the 100 billion or so that they owe us) but it only shows us owing 250 billion or so to the countries shown (even thought he caption underneath says that bank debt is included in those arrows and that financial services debt is substantial in Ireland’s case). So, which country’s people and banks are loaning us all this foreign credit if it is not the US, France or Germany?

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    Mute Robert Lynch
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    Mar 2nd 2012, 10:34 AM

    Oh, and also is the money that we owe in the countries that are not shown on the graph balanced by monies that they owe us (like in the case of the UK) or do we just owe all the money to China?

    That should be ’100 billion that we owe the UK’ not ’100 billion we OK’ :)

    2
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    Mute jimbo
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    Mar 2nd 2012, 8:21 AM

    Trying to sweeten us up!
    shut up noonan

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    Mute Richard Brownebacher
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    Mar 2nd 2012, 11:28 AM

    Yeah but not as good as you’ve been saying either there noonie.

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    Mute Eileen Gabbett
    Favourite Eileen Gabbett
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    Mar 2nd 2012, 10:35 AM

    I don’t know ! But If YOU know or show me
    another more detailed graph , I would
    appreciate it .
    Thanks Robert lynch.

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    Mute Patricia Gilheany
    Favourite Patricia Gilheany
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    Mar 2nd 2012, 1:50 PM

    Find it difficult to believe anything this man tells us. He told us that the bondholders took a hit in the region of 50% on the Anglo deal on Quinn Group. THEY TOOK NOT HIT OR WRITE DOWN WHATSOEVER..

    Either he was played for a fool or he was playing the people of Ireland for fools.
    See http://quinn-anglo-story.blogspot.com/

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    Mute Dermot Mc Loughlin
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    Mar 2nd 2012, 5:17 PM
    1
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    Mute Rita Cahill
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    Mar 2nd 2012, 1:05 PM

    Michael Noon is Talking to his A,,

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