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FactCheck: Can Santa really deliver all the world's presents in one night?

Before you leave out your carrots and mince pies, check out the evidence.

CHRISTMAS EVE IS a time of magic and wonder. But facts are facts, just as much on 24 December as they are on every other day of the year.

For a special installment of FactCheck, we’re taking a look at a question that will be puzzling millions of curious minds around the world tonight, as they gaze out the window, and sneak downstairs:

Can Santa really deliver all the world’s presents in one night?

THE FACTS

CONSUMER Santa PA Archive / PA Images PA Archive / PA Images / PA Images

How does he process all those letters?

With the help of the elite, enigmatic, 1,000-strong Elf Secretariat, Santa Claus receives, triages, and processes an estimated 45 million letters and emails each year.

It’s understood that around 56% of these involve requests for intangible gifts or favours (so-called “wish-granting queries”).

According to statistics published on his official website, about half of the remaining 20 million requests are acceded to, based on a behavioural determination (the famous “N/n designation”).

In recent years, this has left on average around 10 million presents wrapped, stamped with a name and address, and barcoded, by 24 December.

Interestingly, Santa Claus’ workload has been cut over the past several decades, due to a fall in requests attributed to a spate of unfounded rumours about his existence.

How does he find out who’s naughty or nice?

EU Belgium Black Pete Virginia Mayo / PA Images Virginia Mayo / PA Images / PA Images

The Elf Secretariat makes an “N/n designation” in millions of cases each year, based on an analysis of:

  • Correspondence from parents
  • A network of volunteer informants (uptake is highest in the teaching and retail sectors)
  • Operation Coal – year-round consultation with law enforcement agencies and grandparents throughout the world

In recent years, Santa Claus has allowed an online “self-declaration” to be taken into account, in the case of children with a verified past record of “100% Nice”.

Each child’s N/n designation is then stored in a central database, which is protected by 64-bit encryption.

Senior officials in the Secretariat check the list twice on 23 December, and a definitive version of the database is securely exported to Santa’s mobile devices by Christmas Eve.

How does he carry all those presents around the world?

Building on a blueprint for the notorious Antonov An-225 Mriya Soviet cargo aircraft (the document was smuggled over the Finnish border during the Cold War) Santa’s Lightspeed Aircraft One (SLAI) has a payload capacity of 500,000 kilogrammes.

The average weight of a present on board the SLAI is half a kilogramme (the increased prevalence of digital video game download codes and gift cards has drastically reduced that figure in recent years).

But the fact remains that Santa Claus can carry, at once, a maximum of one million gifts.

There’s a commonly held misperception that he transports all 10 million gifts in one journey, but a brief look at the physics shows that this hypothesis is untenable.

A Wikileaks data dump in January revealed the reality: On the night of Christmas Eve, the SLAI makes 10 separate trips to various sectors of the world, returning to base in the Arctic between each one. Which brings us to the next question:

How does he make it around the world in one night?

1200px-Standard_World_Time_Zones Wikimedia Commons Wikimedia Commons

This is a problem that has perplexed aeronautics experts for decades. The answer lies in a combination of basic demographics, next-generation technology, and carrot juice.

Firstly, 10 million presents does not mean 10 million house visits.

The minimum possible number of children designated “n” in a given household is, by definition, one.

And while the average naturally varies between countries (the figure is 1.6 children per household for Ireland, according to 2011 CSO data), it hovers around 3 children per household in the developed world.

And this doesn’t take into account institutions such as hospitals, orphanages, and (albeit rarer) juvenile correctional facilities, where the number of children to a single address can reach into the hundreds.

This automatically cuts the number of household deliveries required to around 3 million.

Secondly, the SLAI is equipped with eight niobium alloy chemical rocket engines (four under each wing).

Using ground-breaking research – later replicated here and here – Santa is able to catalyse his existing stockpile of carrots and mince pies from the preceding year into propellant and fuel, with the net effect that SLAI is capable of reaching speeds of up to 300,000 km/h.

Beginning at midnight Christmas Day in Western Samoa and the Pacific islands (10 am Christmas Eve Irish time), Santa Claus then conducts a longitudinal sweep of 10 sectors of the planet, returning to base in northern Finland after each foray.

He works east-to-west with each successive refuel, which has the effect of progressively shortening the round-trip time until he reaches the Central European time zone (after which it gets longer again).

This also allows him to take advantage of the earth’s 23 hourly time zones. With an itinerary that culminates at 5am in the Hawaiian islands, this gives Santa a total of 28 hours in which to deliver some 10 million presents.

This might seem like a lot, but the refueling round-trips (with distances of up to 30,000 km each) are actually the easy part.

What really keeps the clock ticking is the process of navigating between cities, and then delivering each present to the address of its new owner.

Operation Chimney

PA-23450875 Claude Paris / PA Images Claude Paris / PA Images / PA Images

For this, Santa uses a sophisticated GNSS (global navigation satellite system) codenamed Rudolph, and 15,000 unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs, or drones), which are deployed from the SLAI in mid-flight.

Each drone is equipped with a blueprint for each household (to quickly locate entry points).

They are also loaded with gigapixel imaging technology which, roughly speaking, ensures that, in real time, their trajectory conforms to both an encoded global satellite map, and the metadata (name, address, coordinates) embedded in each present they’re carrying.

With an average of 360,000 presents being delivered every hour (volume varies depending on density of population), and a complement of 15,000 drones, this leaves each “Little Helper”, as they are known, performing the precision drop of 24 presents per hour, on average.

Factoring in the need to refuel and reload in the Arctic Circle (on average every two hours and 48 minutes), this leaves around 2-2.5 minutes for each UAV to locate and enter a household, securely deposit the present, and retrieve whatever foodstuffs have been left out (for later catalysis and conversion into fuel), before returning to the SLAI for redeployment.

Can Santa really deliver all the world’s presents in one night?

He can, and he does.

To keep up with Santa’s movements tonight, check out the official Santa Tracker, a (recently-declassified) project of NORAD, the North American Aerospace Defence Command. 

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45 Comments
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    Mute Celtic_Horizon
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    Dec 24th 2016, 8:18 AM

    Best fact of the year

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    Mute Stephen Duffy
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    Dec 24th 2016, 5:12 PM

    Probably the most accurate one they’ve done this year… !!!

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    Mute conex
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    Dec 24th 2016, 8:37 AM

    Brilliant fact check ……. Absolutely brilliant .

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    Mute ash doyle
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    Dec 24th 2016, 8:21 AM

    My two (aged 6 and 5) found this a relief to hear! They asked me to ask will the wind not blow santa over anyone know?? ;) x

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    Mute Martin O'Rourke
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    Dec 24th 2016, 9:38 AM

    The wind is expected to lessen by this evening, so I think he will be ok. However if it does not I am sure one of the elves might come along to keep Santa safe.

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    Mute ⚡ Seánie ⚡
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    Dec 24th 2016, 8:06 AM

    Santa don’t need any Eircodes!!

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    Mute Breda Jennings
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    Dec 24th 2016, 5:10 PM

    Nobody needs eircodes!

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    Mute Deborah Behan
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    Dec 24th 2016, 9:26 AM

    Great fact check. Thanks Santy!

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    Mute Anne Marie Devlin
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    Dec 24th 2016, 8:43 AM

    Sorry Dan, really have to pull you up on this one. Who are you trying to cod with your Soviet planes? It’s a team of flying reindeer enabled by the magic of quantum physics to be present in many places at the same time

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    Mute Monuz Saha
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    Dec 24th 2016, 8:28 AM

    Well he better, i am waiting for mine ;)

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    Mute Bi88les
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    Dec 24th 2016, 9:23 AM

    Brilliant!
    I knew it could be done!

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    Mute Ronan O'Driscoll
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    Dec 24th 2016, 9:01 AM

    This is an excellent well researched fact check and is certainly true. My brother works in Finland and actually maintains the drones. There is however a mistake here. The writer has used the word “compliment” when in fact it should read “complement”. That’s naughty, not nice.

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    Mute Jon Snow
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    Dec 24th 2016, 9:24 AM

    I have asked Santa for a troll free day.

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    Mute Keith Fay
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    Dec 24th 2016, 12:58 PM

    Brilliant. Fair play to all at the journal!and happy Christmas to you all. I’ll be showing this article to my kiddies.

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    Mute Cez Miname
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    Dec 24th 2016, 9:56 AM

    But where are the reindeers? What about Rudolph, Dasher, Dancer Prancer, Vixen, Comet, Donner and Blixem??

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    Mute L-Plate
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    Dec 24th 2016, 10:22 AM

    Did they sell Blitzen? I’m not sure about this Blixem lad, I heard he fell at aintree last year

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    Mute Wholeduck
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    Dec 24th 2016, 7:12 PM

    They call him burgers now.

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    Mute John O'Driscoll
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    Dec 24th 2016, 9:47 PM

    SLA1 dealership did a scrappage scheme on the reindeer and stuck the shiny nose on the bonnet to confuse radar vans.

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    Mute Michael Herron
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    Dec 24th 2016, 8:06 AM

    Slow clap….

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    Mute Neal, not Neil.
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    Dec 24th 2016, 8:29 AM

    Misery guts.

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    Mute Michael Madden
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    Dec 24th 2016, 8:55 AM

    Misery guts

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    Mute Bi88les
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    Dec 24th 2016, 9:25 AM

    Bah Humbug.

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    Mute Michael Herron
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    Dec 24th 2016, 12:45 PM

    What??? The slow clap is for amazing stuff. I loved it. Like the slow clap in cool runnings. Maybe I misunderstood the slow clap!

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    Mute Ted Murray
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    Dec 24th 2016, 1:18 PM

    @Michael Herron: __ They’ll sort that out at the slow clap clinic.

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    Mute Jindrich Marz
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    Dec 24th 2016, 11:43 AM

    Santa doesn’t make all around the world. There are countries which don’t belong his realm, to us Santa doesn’t come, we have a different fella to do the job.

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    Mute Jimmy Carter
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    Dec 24th 2016, 10:45 AM

    No turkey for me .. rustler burger all the way

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    Mute Sean Callan
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    Dec 24th 2016, 10:42 AM

    Great!!!!! But lets not forget all his helpers

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    Mute Seth Cheffetz
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    Dec 24th 2016, 10:26 AM

    Considering religion is one big fat myth I’d say we can debunk all of this before we even get started.

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    Mute Andrew Eager
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    Dec 24th 2016, 10:53 AM

    @Seth Cheffetz:@Seth Cheffetz:Seriously? Maybe you should ask Santa for a soul.

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    Mute Mick Power
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    Dec 24th 2016, 10:59 AM

    Merry Christmas Seth ya aul misery guts.

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    Mute Seth Cheffetz
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    Dec 24th 2016, 11:47 AM

    @andrew I tend not to ask fictional characters for much. Do you?

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    Mute Lorcan Byrne
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    Dec 24th 2016, 12:15 PM

    Ironic that you’re the most evangelical one in this comment thread

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    Mute Andrew Eager
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    Dec 24th 2016, 9:36 PM

    @Seth Cheffetz: I’m as agnostic as the day is long, or short, as it is in Winter. Unlike you however, I don’t use it as an excuse to be a misery guts that strives to deny a little harmless joy and wonder for children, who these days, grow up all too quickly.

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    Mute Steve McMahon
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    Dec 24th 2016, 9:55 AM

    No …,,. He defo has 2 or 3 giving him a hand for sure

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    Mute Barry Oneill
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    Dec 24th 2016, 3:05 PM

    He better i am in bali

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    Mute Jimmy Carter
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    Dec 24th 2016, 11:04 AM

    Was jesus irish . He was ginger . Had a woman called mary in jerusulem . Think this xmas malarky is codswallop .

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    Mute Shelly Levine
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    Dec 24th 2016, 11:24 PM

    Fair play Journal. Excellent fact check. I can sleep easy tonight. Happy Christmas to you all.

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    Mute Amor
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    Dec 24th 2016, 5:58 PM

    Brilliant

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    Mute Jason Murphy
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    Dec 24th 2016, 4:13 PM

    Yes’ that’s the magic of Christmas

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    Mute Adrian
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    Dec 24th 2016, 2:35 PM

    FactCheck: Could you verify that there’s more than one Santa, as you’ve indicated in your photo?

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    Mute Reywd Nohj
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    Dec 25th 2016, 12:44 AM

    only 64bit encryption, not difficult to crack with a good gaming PC, and it’s further reduced by the amount of kids that are little gurriers.

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    Mute Stephen Hynes
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    Dec 24th 2016, 10:59 PM

    God speed

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