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Your choice for next Taoiseach? Leo and Simon both ahead of Micheál Martin

A new Claire Byrne Live/Amárach Poll for TheJournal.ie makes interesting reading for Fine Gael members.

statista Charted by Statista Charted by Statista

ENDA KENNY HAS confirmed he intends to step down as Fine Gael party leader and Taoiseach.

When this will happen remains unclear.

However, that hasn’t stopped his likely successors subtly (or not so subtly) campaigning for the top job.

Simon Coveney and Leo Varadkar were the early frontrunners with both deputies acknowledging their ambition to lead the party – and the country.

Justice Minister Frances Fitzgerald was slower out of the blocks but has since said she is giving the idea of entering the race ‘serious consideration’. But the number of crises she is currently battling in her department have held her back.

In a new Claire Byrne Live/Amárach Poll for TheJournal.ie, the Dublin TD is lagging well behind her Fine Gael colleagues.

We asked more than 1,000 adults who they would prefer to be the next Taoiseach: Micheál Martin or Frances Fitzgerald. The Fianna Fáil leader came out on top by a large margin of 64% to 36%.

However, it was the only victory for Martin in the survey.

The Corkman’s popularity does not compete with that of Varadkar and Coveney.

When asked the same question, respondents chose Coveney over Martin, 54% to 46%; while Varadkar had an even healthier lead of 57% to 43%.

That might make happy reading for some Fine Gael members but there are a lot more factors to consider as whoever the new leader is prepares for a general election.

According to reports this week, the parliamentary party said no reforms will be undertaken until the leadership issue is sorted.

Once Kenny resigns, the leadership contest will take up to 20 days. Candidates will be nominated in writing by members representing at least 10% of the parliamentary party.

An electoral college system – made up of parliamentary party members (TDs, senators, and MEPs), members of the party (people who are registered with the party) and public representatives, such as councillors – is used by Fine Gael to determine the eventual winner after a vote.

Each group has a different voting weight:

  • Parliamentary party – 65%
  • Party membership – 25%
  • Public representatives – 10%

When all this will happen is, for now, Enda’s Choice.

The polls were all taken ahead of this week’s sign-off of the report on water charges by a special Oireachtas committee.

With reporting by Christina Finn. 

Related: The contenders for the Fine Gael leadership, ranked from most to least likely

More: ‘Official Ireland has destroyed the lives of every person who’s come forward’ – Banking whistleblower testifies to Oireachtas

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130 Comments
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    Mute See My Vest
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    Aug 21st 2014, 3:59 PM

    If you want something kept private then don’t put it online. Least of all on social media. Users need to take some responsibility for the volume of personal information they happily put on the internet.

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    Mute Neal Ireland Hello
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    Aug 21st 2014, 4:09 PM

    It’s a little more complicated than that.

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    Mute David Kearney
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    Aug 21st 2014, 4:19 PM

    No it really isn’t. If its private don’t put it online. No need to blame Facebook for peoples need to blab.

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    Mute The Throwaway
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    Aug 21st 2014, 4:23 PM

    It isn’t solely what people put up online.
    It’s about Facebook tracking your online habits, the sites you visit. Your GPS tracking data through your smart phone is also used. And it’s about the right of that company to sell people’s data on to third parties.

    So it is a little bit more complicated than that.

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    Mute See My Vest
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    Aug 21st 2014, 5:49 PM

    Everything tracks your online habits not just Facebook as for the GPS tracking, if people didn’t freely tag themselves in every movie theatre, sporting event and restaraunt they visit then you might have a point. I’ve seen people gag themselves watching movies at “my comfy couch”

    Online privacy is never going to happen. The sooner people realise that and adjust the information they share accordingly, the sooner we’ll all be safer “on our comfy couches”

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    Mute David Kearney
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    Aug 21st 2014, 6:51 PM

    Still, everything they track you put online or someone did because its interesting. Either way its never private and banning it online is just backwards.

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    Mute Petra Madill
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    Aug 21st 2014, 7:12 PM

    Checking in at your home address or any other private home address always seemed unbelievably stupid….. There’s even a b

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    Mute Petra Madill
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    Aug 21st 2014, 7:12 PM

    There’s even a bloody map

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    Mute Richard Cynical
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    Aug 21st 2014, 3:49 PM

    Everybody delete your Facebook!

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    Mute Pinel G
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    Aug 21st 2014, 4:14 PM

    i challenge anyone to delete all their private messages, comments, and friends on Facebook. then delete your account…Under Section 3 of the Data Protection Acts, you have a right to find out, free of charge, if a person (an individual or an organization) holds information about you. write to Facebook and ask them for everything they have on file about you within 21days you will be surprised to see that all these private messages, comments, friends and all other information will be pages long nothing is deleted from Facebook you may think its gone!!

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    Mute Phil O' Meara
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    Aug 21st 2014, 3:57 PM

    *Like*

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