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Almost a quarter of the world will be obese by 2045 researchers warn

One in eight people, up from one in 11, will have type 2 diabetes.

IN 27 YEARS from now, almost a quarter of the global population will be obese, researchers said Wednesday, warning of the mounting medical bill.

If current trends continue, 22% of people in the world will be obese by 2045, up from 14% last year, according to research presented at the European Congress on Obesity in Vienna.

One in eight people, up from one in 11, will have type 2 diabetes — a form of the disease that generally hits in adulthood as a result of being overweight.

“These numbers underline the staggering challenge the world will face in the future in terms of numbers of people who are obese, or have type 2 diabetes, or both,” said researcher Alan Moses of Danish healthcare company Novo Nordisk’s research and development department.

“As well as the medical challenges these people will face, the costs to countries’ health systems will be enormous,” he added.

In the United States, the researchers found obesity will increase from 39% of the population in 2017 to 55% in 2045, and diabetes from 14% to 18%.

In Britain, the proportion will swell from 32% to 48%, with the incidence of diabetes rising from 10.2% to 12.6%.

Already, health systems are spending “huge sums just to treat diabetes,” the researchers said in a statement.

Moses and a team analysed population data for all countries in the world, obtained from a World Health Organization database.

Aggressive action

They divided the population of each country into age groups, and further into body mass index (BMI) categories, and looked at trends to make projections.

BMI is a ratio of height to weight used to divide people into low- to high-risk categories for developing heart disease, high blood pressure, type 2 diabetes and certain cancers.

A person with a BMI of 25 or more is considered overweight, and 30 or higher obese.

A healthy BMI ranges from 18.5 to 24.9.

The researchers said turning the tide on obesity would require “aggressive and coordinated action”.

“Each country is different based on unique genetic, social and environmental conditions which is why there is no ‘one size fits all’ approach that will work,” Moses said.

“Individual countries must work on the best strategy for them.”

The research results have not yet been published in a scientific journal but were peer reviewed for selection at the congress.

A global survey in 2016 said the ratio of obese adults had more than doubled in the 40 years since 1975.

Of about five billion adults alive in 2014, 641 million were obese, it found.

- (C) AFP 2018

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    Mute Jazz O'Gorman
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    Oct 27th 2013, 12:53 PM

    Same old, nobody cares anymore.

    76
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    Mute Gerry Connors
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    Oct 27th 2013, 12:15 PM

    Fantastic work by the Gardai, well done. I’m sure they’ll end up arresting someone for it.

    71
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    Mute Little Jim
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    Oct 27th 2013, 12:49 PM

    Yep, that’s got to be the last of it too.
    The war is over.

    101
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    Mute Tony Clifton
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    Oct 27th 2013, 2:09 PM

    Yes that’s surely the end of this whole drug thing now .

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    Mute Tony Clifton
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    Oct 27th 2013, 2:11 PM

    History has proved one thing probation always works.

    32
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    Mute Mike Dowling
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    Oct 27th 2013, 1:03 PM

    Gardai stocking up before Ming legalizes it ?

    70
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    Mute Mel Finn
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    Oct 27th 2013, 12:06 PM

    ‘High’ 5 to the guards well done!

    64
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    Mute Lee Craig Edward Turnbull
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    Oct 27th 2013, 10:14 PM

    I don’t condone the support of corporate government storm troopers seizing a herb and persecuting florists for one reason, to extort them of their produce and use it for their own agenda. Supporting such tyranny is treason!!

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    Mute James O'mahony
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    Oct 27th 2013, 3:19 PM

    Its hilarious when I read a comment like “fantastic job by the gardai” , weed is the least of the countries problems and it seems like the gardai are spending the majority of their time focused on cannabis and not the drugs that are destroying the country like heroin . Heroins creeping in everywhere these days , in the last three years in Cork its after flooding the streets . Wake up and open your eyes weed should have been legalised years ago so we can focus on the plague that is heroin .

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    Mute Sean Mahoney
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    Oct 27th 2013, 2:25 PM

    such a waste of Gardai time. its a plant FFS.

    but then again if they where not going after herb farmers, they would be out tax collecting.

    61
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    Mute Criminal
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    Oct 27th 2013, 12:13 PM

    isn’t legal yet :/

    Daaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaamnnn ◇

    50
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    Mute Jamie Edwards
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    Oct 27th 2013, 1:54 PM

    Lots of seizures recently, if I didn’t know any better I’d say a few weeks ago they gave it a lash and found out it’s really not that bad!

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    Mute Cpm
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    Oct 27th 2013, 12:04 PM

    There goes my stash

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    Mute GatheringYourMoney13
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    Oct 27th 2013, 11:39 PM

    Canabis Herb?
    Were they making herbal tea?

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    Mute Dublinjonny
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    Oct 27th 2013, 12:25 PM

    Guards seizing a lot of things up in tallaght ….. will it be returned to the owner after a DNA test? Will the liberial parasites claim this is discriminating against drug dealers ? Will this be blamed on the gay community by those oppossed to gay marriage ? Who knows

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    Mute Jack Nolan
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    Oct 27th 2013, 2:52 PM

    NNNNNOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!. What a waste!!, just share it out.

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    Mute Tony Slap
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    Oct 27th 2013, 12:25 PM

    Good seizure but it is a pity that the criminals were not caught in possession.

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    Mute Cannabis Freedom
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    Oct 27th 2013, 3:12 PM

    Yeah, isn’t it great to see our tax payers money and the Gardaí’s time & resources being wasted on the seizing of plants, I’m sure we’ll all sleep better tonight knowing that there’s a little less of the “evil weed” out there.

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    Mute Tony Slap
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    Oct 27th 2013, 5:39 PM

    I certainly will.

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    Mute Rockspebbles
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    Oct 27th 2013, 3:27 PM

    It’s actually legal to grow it in Spain for personal use. Ridiculous waste of manpower.

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    Mute Mike Clinton
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    Oct 27th 2013, 12:37 PM

    Ritious bust Garda. Well done.

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    Mute Kian David Griffin
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    Oct 27th 2013, 1:34 PM

    Well, there goes my idea for opening whitecastle in tallaght

    28
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    Mute Matt
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    Oct 27th 2013, 5:00 PM

    Millions of euros in lost tax every year.

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    Mute marty johnbann
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    Oct 27th 2013, 4:28 PM

    Could the Garda not wait for someone to be home before they raided the house

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    Mute Mark Miller
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    Oct 27th 2013, 12:56 PM

    Amazing how the seizures of cannabis increase as the new college terms start. Any correlation?

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    Mute Gaius Gracchus
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    Oct 27th 2013, 12:07 PM

    Shut up Crime

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    Mute Gaius Gracchus
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    Oct 27th 2013, 12:37 PM

    Sometimes when people are on the bus or wearing gloves they accidentally hit the red thumb

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    Mute Cpm
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    Oct 27th 2013, 12:56 PM

    Wearing gloves in this weather? Hand in your man-card at the next available opportunity

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    Mute Gaius Gracchus
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    Oct 27th 2013, 2:20 PM

    Oh you big brute you!

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    Mute Jonathan Bambury
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    Oct 28th 2013, 7:24 AM

    Its insane to have a drugs siezure of any size and not arrest those responsible. Personally im in agreement with legalising weed, but if its against the law and the gardai have put the effort into a seizure the least I would expect is good intell before shutting it down.

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    Mute Decius Flaherus
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    Oct 27th 2013, 11:29 PM

    Free them – put yourselves in jail :)

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