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Bank of England Governor Mark Carney PA Wire/PA Images

Pound could crash and economy shrink under no-deal Brexit, Bank of England warns

The UK economy could shrink by 8%, Bank of England Governor Mark Carney has said.

THE BANK OF England has warned that a no-deal Brexit would trigger a financial crisis in Britain and that the pound could plunge by 25%.

Speaking today, Bank of England Governor Mark Carney said that- in the event of no transition period between the UK leaving the EU – Gross Domestic Product could shrink by 8% and that unemployment could nearly double, while house prices could fall by almost a third.

A recession on that scale would be Britain’s deepest in modern history and far beyond the one experienced after the global financial crisis a decade ago, the bank has said, under its forecast for a “disorderly Brexit.”

The bank assumed a number of worst-case scenarios in its prediction, including the imposition of tariffs and other barriers to trade on all trade with the EU.

The Bank’s analysis comes after Chancellor Phillip Hammond said that the UK will be worse off after leaving the EU than if it had stayed in – regardless of what sort of trade deal it manages to strike. 

British Prime Minister Theresa May is currently on a national tour around Britain in an attempt to drum up enthusiasm for the Brexit deal she reached with EU leaders on Sunday.

May crowned 17 months of talks with Brussels by sealing Brexit arrangements with the 27 other EU heads of state and government.

The European Council agreed with the progress made so far in the 500-page Brexit deal – which includes specific provisions to avoid a hard border in Northern Ireland – and also endorsed a 26-page document on the future relationship.

May has repeatedly said that the deal on the table from the EU is the best deal available for Britain. But it has been met with fierce opposition in the UK, both from her own party and opposition figures.

With reporting from AP

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    Mute Stephen Caulfield
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    Feb 19th 2015, 12:45 PM

    In other news Water Charges will cause a drop in income…

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    Mute Al Ca
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    Feb 19th 2015, 12:48 PM

    Well, lets face it…..it’s €160-€260 less to spend in your local community so businesses will take a hit.

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    Mute JTM
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    Feb 19th 2015, 12:52 PM

    In other news the drop in inflation means more disposable income in your pocket at the end of each week

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    Mute Pat Mustard
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    Feb 19th 2015, 1:18 PM

    If prices are down 0.6% would this not mean that we had deflation in 2014. Why then does this say that we had an inflation rate of 0.2% last year.
    http://www.inflation.eu/inflation-rates/ireland/historic-inflation/cpi-inflation-ireland-2014.aspx

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    Mute Tony Skillington
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    Feb 19th 2015, 1:54 PM

    JTM..petrol/diesel/home heating costs rising and quantitive easing of the € will drive up imports. Disposable income (if such a thing exists) will be devoured quickly.

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    Mute Original Cynic
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    Feb 19th 2015, 12:57 PM

    Let’s not contribute to inflation then – don’t pay!

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    Mute J.Hanley
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    Feb 19th 2015, 1:23 PM

    When are they going to get it through their thick heads?
    We are NOT paying. Not ever. NEVER!!!

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    Mute Mark Lillis
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    Feb 19th 2015, 1:47 PM

    And fuel prices have begun to creep back up again. 6c increase in last 2 weeks at one station I pass daily.

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    Mute Eric Davies
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    Feb 19th 2015, 1:45 PM

    ” mainly due to the low cost of fuel” well that lasted all of 2 weeks at most, prices are climbing again at the fuel pumps, up 5 cent in less that 2 weeks . and what about the up coming increase of nearly 50% in the pso levy (due in october by the time vat is added it will push it over 50%) how come there is no report on that ?

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    Mute littleone
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    Feb 19th 2015, 6:52 PM

    Did not see any mention today about Michael noonan saying maintenance bill for government buildings to be hiked by 1 million because they need new carpets for health and safety because they are frayed and new phones. God forbid that they have to walk on worn carpets while children with cancer can’t get medical cards. Shows where priority lies with this government.

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    Mute Denis O Brien
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    Feb 19th 2015, 7:31 PM

    I hear the bar seats are also worn, better change them while their at it.

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    Mute Matt Connolly
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    Feb 19th 2015, 8:19 PM

    I just wish they hadn’t cut funding for grammar-school from the budget.

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    Mute Hevin Bear Kiggins
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    Feb 19th 2015, 12:49 PM

    My employer which will remain anonymous offered us 3 free bottles of water a day few months back, still on minimum wage however

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    Mute Charles J. Ahern
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    Feb 19th 2015, 12:50 PM

    Topaz?

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    Mute Bear Digs
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    Feb 19th 2015, 1:48 PM

    Certain contacts do not permit certain things to be said about certain company and/or people.

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    Mute Denis O Brien
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    Feb 19th 2015, 7:31 PM

    I also offered them a free screen wash if the had a car.

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    Mute Sheik Yahbouti
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    Feb 19th 2015, 2:36 PM

    Yeah, yeah Journal. It’s good news all the way, today and every day. Seriously, Journal, would you care to have an oul’ editorial conference sometime, after which you can make clear to your readership what, if any, your principles are.

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    Mute David Jordan
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    Feb 19th 2015, 6:42 PM

    Good news?, the only reason that prices are going down is because demand has dropped due to repeated drops in people’s spending power.

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    Mute Michael Sands
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    Feb 19th 2015, 4:47 PM

    Inflation increases debt, how can debt be anyway good in anything?

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    Mute Micheal S. O' Ceilleachair
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    Feb 19th 2015, 12:46 PM

    Gulp!

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