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Rick Bowmer/AP/Press Association Images

Explainer: How will airport security fight terrorist threats in the future?

Infra-red scanners, behavioural profiling: what will terrorists of the future be up against? And will it work?

THE PROBLEM OF airport security has again been in the spotlight this week, with Dublin Airport coming in for criticism over apparent “deficiencies” in its systems.

It’s not the first time that the world of scanners and searches has hit headlines.

After an apparent plot to blow up transatlantic flights using liquid explosives was uncovered in 2006, most liquids and gels were banned from aircraft. Since then the stakes have been raised with an underwear bomber – and even suggestions that explosives could be carried inside the body.

It all suggests an ongoing battle between global security operations, and those who are out to thwart them. So what does the future of passenger flight hold? TheJournal.ie set out to find out.

1. How did we get here?

Why aeroplanes? How did airport security come to be the front line in the so-called ‘war on terror’?

The reason, paradoxically, is partially because of our own fear. The cultural status that air disasters hold, and the huge media coverage that they generate, make planes an appealing target for anyone looking to get the world’s attention.

“The thing about the aviation industry, is that it gets you on the front pages,” says aviation expert Dr Frankie O’Connell of Cranfield University. “If a small plane crashes in Bangladesh, it makes the news here. It’s a very global industry. People are thinking “What if I was on that flight?”

There’s also an economic motive. Air travel is key to the worlds of business and politics, and any disruption causes serious ripples. “It’s a prime purpose of terror organisations to hurt nations economically,” says air security expert Dr Richard Bloom at Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University in Prescott, Arizona. “Hurting commercial aviation does that.”

2. So what can we do?

Well, plenty – or so it seems.  As well as the well-publicised full-body scanners – which reportedly began undergoing trials at Dublin Airport last year – there are a number of other innovative ideas that aim to improve detection of dangerous items (and people):

  • Thermal lie detectors. A UK team last year claimed that it had promising results in trials of thermal-imaging technology that detects somebody telling untruths by tiny variations in their facial temperature. “When someone is making something up on the spot, brain activity usually changes,” the research director told CNN.
  • Zero-radiation technology. One of the current concerns over much scanning technology is the radiation it uses. But US firm Millivision has developed a system it calls the Passive Millimeter Wave Imager, which uses no radiation and – the company claims – is superior to X-rays, metal detectors and pat-down searches. Here’s a promotional video showing (a) how the system works, and (b) how, apparently, to carry a ceramic knife through security.

YouTube/ReganCommBoston

  • The ‘checkpoint of the future‘. Last year, the International Air Travel Association unveiled a mock-up of an airport checkpoint that analyses intelligence data, assesses the risk posed by any given passenger, then assigns them a security level. They then go through retina scanning and a number of other checks. This video explains how it works:

YouTube/SmartPlanetCBS

3. Will it work?

Well, it might improve matters slightly – but unfortunately there will always be loopholes, says Bloom. “The problem, is whatever screening technology you’re using, it will be more successful against some things and less against others.”

And it’s not too difficult to get information about this.  ”It’s relatively easy to learn the parameters of technology, and to try and take advantage of them.”

Profiling – the kind of detection used by the so-called ‘checkpoint of the future’, where behavioural cues and other information is used to identify a threat – also has its problems. “Even with the best kinds of profiling the error rate is quite high,” says Bloom.

This is especially problematic when it comes to false positives; people who just happen to fit the profile of a ‘threat’. When too many people get hauled off for interrogation too many times – or strip-searched, or worse – the system starts to break down.

4. Can we ever win?

In short, no. “Most security experts would agree that the very idea of having perfect security is not possible,” Bloom says. “Whichever method you’re using there will always be a certain error rate.”

Some hope that any terrorists will essentially give up and turn their attention elsewhere. “These guys will keep coming up with innovative stuff,” O’Connell says. ”But the aviation world has put up a lot of barriers against it. So I think they will probably move on to other areas, like ferries and cruise liners.”

What this means in practice is that the experience of air travel, with all its attendant frustrations, isn’t going to change. There will still be queues, and we’ll in all likelihood still have to unpack bits of our bags.

Queues: here to stay. (Rick Bowmer/AP/Press Association Images)

And here’s the thing: even if terrorism went away entirely, we couldn’t go back to the days when you could just stroll onto a Stratocruiser and be handed a champagne cocktail. This, says Bloom, is because the whole aviation industry has changed almost beyond recognition.

Airlines’ costs, especially fuel, have risen dramatically and they are under more pressure than ever before. As a consequence there are fewer flights, and they’re more often full. “Unless someone comes up with a new economic model,” Bloom says, or “a new way to fuel an aircraft” – we’re in for more of the same, for the foreseeable future.

Sorry about that, everyone.

Appendix: What is currently being done to combat the threat?

A lot. There are “vast” resources being poured into protecting air travel, says Bloom. But here’s the thing: most of it we don’t even see. The pesky bag scanner and (maybe) pat-down search that we go through at the terminal is just the tip of an iceberg, the bulk of which extends far beyond the airport building.

Bloom breaks it down into four key focuses – only one of which most of us are aware of:

  1. Overall intelligence collection, carried out by the security services: “Trying to find the people engaged in terrorism, and who they are.”
  2. Data mining of communications: email, phone conversations, messaging of all kinds. “A huge amount of data is analysed and correlated, allegedly to find patterns predicting terrorist events.” This is often how people end up on so-called ‘watch lists’.
  3. ‘Behavioural detection’ and profiling: This might be carried out in the airport itself, but goes unnoticed by all but a fraction of passengers. It involves trying to isolate key indicators – nervousness, agitation, suspicious behaviour – that might identify a threat.
  4. “Technology-oriented screening procedures“: the scanners we all know and love.

More: Some passengers face extra security checks flying from Dublin Airport>

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    Mute
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    Nov 6th 2023, 4:54 PM

    Long time at both troughs …

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    Mute Jp Cleary
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    Nov 6th 2023, 5:17 PM

    Better offer incoming no doubt

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    Mute Liam23
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    Nov 6th 2023, 5:38 PM

    @: same as Jarry

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    Mute Ger Byrne
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    Nov 6th 2023, 5:44 PM

    Good riddance. She’s a lot to answer for the way she treated Sergeant Mc
    cabe.

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    Mute Jen McC
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    Nov 6th 2023, 5:02 PM

    No loss at all.

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    Mute Niall Horan Appreciation Club
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    Nov 6th 2023, 5:50 PM

    Perhaps the most nothing minister to ever exist

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    Mute Jp Cleary
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    Nov 6th 2023, 7:50 PM

    @Niall Horan Appreciation Club: Eoghan Murphy surley

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    Mute
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    Nov 6th 2023, 5:14 PM

    Any hope the Daly and Wallace would join her? Those two yokes are a national embarrassment.

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    Mute Fearg
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    Nov 6th 2023, 5:54 PM

    @: Clare Daly and Mick Wallace are two voices of reaon in the trough of the European ‘Parliament’. Just watch them in action on YouTube and read the comments from around Europe where people are praising Ireland for its courageous stand.

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    Mute Mick Duvanny
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    Nov 6th 2023, 6:10 PM

    @Fearg: Any comments I’ve read from around Europe have not been complimentary

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    Mute Margret Walsh
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    Nov 6th 2023, 6:22 PM

    @Fearg: certainly in the aftermath of the Israeli bombardment and murder of innocent Gaza citizens they might be the only two voices of reason in the EU.

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    Mute Shane Kinsella (Kinsey)
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    Nov 6th 2023, 6:25 PM

    @Fearg: what’s Daley and Wallace’s comment on the little Irish girl Emily Hand who’s still missing since Oct 7th……. Nothing but silence. Shame on them.

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    Mute john dennehy
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    Nov 6th 2023, 7:16 PM

    @Fearg: I wasn’t a fan of Daly and Wallace but I have changed my mind recently.

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    Mute Sean Minihane
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    Nov 6th 2023, 8:24 PM

    Are people having a laugh. Daly and Wallace are two absolute fools. Two Russian apologists. They make a complete show of Ireland in europe. If the Irish people vote them back in they deserve everything they get.

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    Mute tommy bailey
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    Nov 6th 2023, 8:47 PM

    @Fearg: Two communists.

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    Mute Gerard Smith
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    Nov 6th 2023, 10:30 PM

    @tommy bailey: nothing communist about either of them.

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    Mute John Mcmahon
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    Nov 6th 2023, 11:00 PM

    @tommy bailey: I’d take that as a compliment in this day and age …
    Fascist running wild in England and Eastern Europe

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    Mute colette byrne
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    Feb 20th 2024, 1:10 AM

    At least they work for their money, and are well liked by Europe for their stance on real issues. Can’t be said for Francis fitz

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    Mute Jerry LeFrog
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    Nov 6th 2023, 5:15 PM

    Regardless of her achievements, when I see her political colours the words “writing” and “wall” spring to mind… can’t figure out why exactly

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    Nov 6th 2023, 5:27 PM

    Considering she is 73 this is hardly a surprise.

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    Nov 6th 2023, 5:04 PM

    I wish her well in her future endeavours, a brilliant representative of the Irish people

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    Nov 6th 2023, 5:12 PM

    @Reece Dooley: You’re gas

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    Nov 6th 2023, 5:14 PM

    @Reece Dooley: how many pensions does she have

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    Mute TC Murphy
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    Nov 6th 2023, 5:27 PM

    @Reece Dooley: A waste of space.

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    Mute KDSFkZpO
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    Nov 6th 2023, 5:27 PM

    @Reece Dooley: Maurice McCabe would highly disagree. She is a nasty piece of work.

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    Nov 6th 2023, 5:40 PM

    @brian madden: one short of Jarry Adams

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    Nov 6th 2023, 5:55 PM

    @Reece Dooley: I was asked: “which one is she?” and I couldn’t think of anything. Now that’s some legacy.

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    Nov 6th 2023, 6:17 PM

    @brian madden: about the same amount as laptops and phones “lost”

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    Nov 6th 2023, 7:20 PM

    @brian madden:
    Irish TDs (and MEPs) now can only claim one public pension, whichever one is the highest, which is inline with all public servants.
    The law was changed in 2011 by the FG lab government Francis Fitzgerald was a member of.

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    Nov 6th 2023, 7:50 PM

    @Liam23: how many is that?

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    Nov 6th 2023, 7:57 PM

    @brian madden: Jarry would have 3 pensions

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    Nov 6th 2023, 5:45 PM

    I’m devastated. I just can’t go on after hearing this.

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    Nov 7th 2023, 7:15 PM

    @reg morrisey: it’s all down hill from here oh wait been going that way for last ten years with housing.

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    Nov 6th 2023, 6:25 PM

    The writing is on the wall for Fianna Failure , Fine Grabbers and the Greedy Greens……

    I’m not a supporter of any political party but if they don’t accept the results of the 2020 General Election then we we’re hitting turbulence with the current shower…

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    Nov 6th 2023, 5:48 PM

    I am devastated, crying a river here and we are doomed.

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    Nov 6th 2023, 6:05 PM

    Any chance Frances might be setting the stage to take a run at a final payday in the next general election, having served her time in the wilderness of the EU after her resignation in 2017?

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    Nov 6th 2023, 7:23 PM

    @Dvsespaña:
    The Aras?

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    Nov 6th 2023, 7:39 PM

    @P.J. Nolan: She might chance it

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    Nov 6th 2023, 8:41 PM

    @Jp Cleary:
    Reckon it’s between her and Mariead McGuinness for the FG nomination.
    That said, I highly doubt either would be moving to the park.

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    Nov 6th 2023, 9:11 PM

    @P.J. Nolan: That thought occurred to me too. She won’t be getting my vote.

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    Mute Paddy Short
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    Nov 6th 2023, 9:52 PM

    Is she any relation to Dee Forbes!?

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    Nov 6th 2023, 7:35 PM

    Thank god, she done nothing for clondalkin

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    Mute Sean oSuilleabhain
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    Nov 6th 2023, 11:43 PM

    Very, very very damaged goods who was certainly strongly involved in smearing Maurice McCabe, John Wilson. Shame on Dublin for giving her this seat

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    Mute Johnny
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    Nov 6th 2023, 9:23 PM

    A useless waste of space – a waffler

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    Mute P.J. Nolan
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    Nov 6th 2023, 10:39 PM

    @Johnny:
    You just discribed every politician on the planet

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    Mute Paul Kavanagh
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    Nov 6th 2023, 9:33 PM

    A disgrace to her country.

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    Mute
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    Nov 6th 2023, 8:17 PM

    Seanad here she comes

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    Mute P.J. Nolan
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    Nov 6th 2023, 8:59 PM

    Why would she refuse to run for the European Parliament, where the salary and perks are multiples of the Seanad?
    Now if she had run and lost, that would be different, although the Seanad is more for disappointed Dail candidates.

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    Mute Tom Dillon
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    Nov 6th 2023, 6:06 PM

    Whatever its state, thank you for Tusla and for beingt he Minister responsible for the Marriage Equality referendum, for your work as Chair of the Council for the Status of Women (National Women’s Council) and the Women’s Political Association. That said, it was her actions (or inactions!) in justice, the whistleblower that came, went and returned to haunt her!

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    Mute Sean oSuilleabhain
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    Nov 7th 2023, 7:33 PM

    @Tom Dillon: Tusla is not fit for purpose and is responsible for daily misery on a level somewhat comparable to what me and others I’ve known have gone through, suffering in -certain- public services of this statelet

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    Mute Markb
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    Nov 7th 2023, 6:55 AM

    Got her big fat pension from Europe, job done

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    Mute Suzanne Crowe
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    Nov 7th 2023, 4:17 AM

    Frances is definitely going to run for next President. That’s what this is about.

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    Mute Ian
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    Nov 7th 2023, 1:15 AM

    She’s not running again as an MEP because she wants to run in the GE in 2025. Can read her like a book.

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    Mute P.J. Nolan
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    Nov 7th 2023, 6:59 PM

    @Ian:
    No chance

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    Mute John Mcmahon
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    Nov 6th 2023, 10:58 PM

    She going to make a run for the general election.
    It’s going to get dirty in Dublin

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