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Government must 'wean itself off' bloated €10.4bn corporation tax receipts, says budget watchdog

The Irish Fiscal Advisory Council says corporation tax levels could be €6 billion above conventional levels.

LAST UPDATE | 11 Jun 2019

THE GOVERNMENT NEEDS to start “weaning itself off the reliance on corporation tax”, the Irish Fiscal Advisory Council (IFAC) has warned.

The latest report by the State’s budgetary watchdog has said that the Irish economy has “recovered from a deep crisis” but that the current outlook is “unusually uncertain”.

IFAC says that the government’s forecasts assume “an orderly and agreed” Brexit but that there is the potential for “an exceptional adverse shock in the form of a harder-than-assumed Brexit”. 

One of the aspects the watchdog questions is the role of corporation tax in the planning for exchequer funding. 

The report outlines that some €3-6 billion of the €10.4 billion corporate tax receipts received in Ireland in 2018 “could be considered above conventional levels” and as such could not be relied upon. 

“Corporation tax receipts in Ireland are now a long way from conventional levels and from what the underlying performance of the economy would imply,” the report states. 

Unlike typical revenue windfalls, these gains might persist for a number of years before reversals could be expected. They also represent a net injection to the Irish economy, given that foreign-owned multinational enterprises contribute four-fifths of receipts.

The report states the government’s medium-term plans are “not credible” and a “gradual move” away from the reliance of corporation tax is recommended.

IFAC also recommends a “better approach to budgetary planning” that should include “a better specified debt target” and “more realistic forecasts for spending”. 

Speaking to reporters today, Finance Minister Paschal Donohoe defended the government’s economic policies but also acklowelged that corporation tax receipts could dip. 

“There are changes that could take place that could affect the level of corporation tax that we will be collecting across the coming years. What is different to where we were a year ago is there is now global process underway, that Ireland is part of, that may well affect our corporation tax collection in the future,” the minister said.

“It is however at this point very, very difficult to form a view regarding what that change could be, let alone the magnitude of it. Changes could happen with how companies are taxed globally that may well offset any challenges that we could face as a result of changes that might be made in relation to where tax is levied.”

Budget

IFAC also advised that the government should “be cautious” and stick to the fiscal plan outlined as part of the most recent Stability Programme Update.

The watchdog says that if any additional spending is to be undertaken beyond the planned €2.8 billion of budgetary measures then, “the government should introduce revenue-raising measures to preserve overall sustainability or scale back planned spending increases and tax cuts elsewhere”.

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    Mute Ebeneezer Goode
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    Feb 5th 2020, 6:51 AM

    I’m voting Sinn Féin. And just to debunk the myth about SF voters, I started work at 6am.

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    Mute Dom Layzell
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    Feb 5th 2020, 7:03 AM

    @Ebeneezer Goode: not many thumbs up yet Eb, you’re mates will boost the thumbs in about 6 hours, don’t worry!

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    Mute Gus Sheridan
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    Feb 5th 2020, 7:58 AM

    @Wheresmyjumper: you sound desperate, don’t panic FFG are sinking and you can’t do anything

    58
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    Mute SC
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    Feb 5th 2020, 8:36 AM

    @Ebeneezer Goode: I’m going to give them a vote this time too. I start at 9 but get up at 6.20 to commute. I would love a family sized apartment near the city instead of a house in the suburbs so I had more free time. I wish our city was planned like a real city.

    36
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    Mute Talkingsense 2.0
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    Feb 5th 2020, 8:38 AM

    @Ebeneezer Goode: started work at 6am and commenting on the journal by 6:51am. Your productivity levels must through the roof……

    23
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    Mute Shayne O'Donoghue
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    Feb 5th 2020, 8:39 AM

    @Ebeneezer Goode: me to on botha counts. I’m voting Sinn Feinn because I think we will get a big global shock financially that will damage our economy. If and when that happens I want a party in government that will prioritise the protection of our society over the gains of global market gamblers.
    Fine Gael, Fianna Fail, Labour & The Greens sold us all out for higher interests.
    The real shadowy figures.
    Never again should we have people in power who will let the destruction that was unfolded on people’s lives here happen while at the same time paying out on market gambling debts of the mega rich.

    47
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    Mute JC
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    Feb 5th 2020, 11:20 AM

    @Ebeneezer Goode: Same , though I started work at 8am, I had to leave home at 5am. This is because despite the fact I have a well paid job, due to the housing issues FF and FG have done nothing about for my entire lifetime I can not afford to live in Dublin even though I work here… At this stage I will take any change from being governed by FF/FG!

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    Mute Micheàl Nevins
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    Feb 5th 2020, 4:07 PM

    @Ebeneezer Goode: Im voting SF and never got job seeker benefit in my life, the only party who acknowledges low earners….

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    Mute Willy Mc Entire
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    Feb 5th 2020, 6:20 AM

    I’m voting for change .
    I’m voting SF.

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    Mute Goban Saor
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    Feb 5th 2020, 7:03 AM

    @Willy Mc Entire: we know. You keep saying. Feel free to explain why they’d change anything.

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    Mute Nioe
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    Feb 5th 2020, 7:07 AM

    @Willy Mc Entire:

    we know. Is it shinnerbot policy to post this on every article… if you repeat it at nauseam you will get traction and brainwash a few dopes.

    Hopefully they pay you well for it, otherwise please get a life and stop posting the same thing over and over. Anyone with a brain will not be influenced by this nonsense.

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    Mute Gus Sheridan
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    Feb 5th 2020, 7:59 AM

    @Goban Saor: probably because they are not a party of pocket stuffing parasites like FFG are?

    33
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    Mute Pilib
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    Feb 5th 2020, 11:00 AM

    @Gus Sheridan: just beholden to a bunch of ex-terrorists and criminals from Belfast.

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    Mute David O Brien
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    Feb 5th 2020, 6:28 AM

    All politicians want is your vote and when they get in they will do sweet f all for you. They are all the same

    59
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    Mute Wheresmyjumper
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    Feb 5th 2020, 7:49 AM

    @David O Brien: exactly I don’t know why people get so worked up about voting for people who only pretend to care for them

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    Mute Σ ΛΛ ΛΛ Θ
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    Feb 5th 2020, 6:25 AM

    I’m more worried about how much they’ve spent of leaflets. I can hardly open the front door some evenings with the amount of rubbish that has accumulated during the day.

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    Mute Gus Sheridan
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    Feb 5th 2020, 8:02 AM

    @Σ ΛΛ ΛΛ Θ: collect all the leaflets for each party
    Separate them and address them to the parties concerned in an envelope
    Post it without any stamp
    Let them pay the postage!
    If enough people do the same it might just sink in we don’t want their litter

    34
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    Mute John Considine
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    Feb 5th 2020, 7:29 AM

    Michael Healy Rae is brilliant. I’d vote for him if I could.

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    Mute JKtucker
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    Feb 5th 2020, 7:54 PM

    @John Considine: why can’t you…

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    Mute Ann Reddin
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    Feb 6th 2020, 2:08 AM

    @John Considine: He’s good entertainment value, a bit like Willie O’Dea. But that’s about as far as it goes.

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    Mute Dave Barrett
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    Feb 5th 2020, 7:54 AM

    Any one see michael healy rae on the news last night with the young convicted thug behind him.

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    Mute Daithi De Roiste
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    Feb 5th 2020, 10:57 AM

    I’m voting for Sinn Fein. 220 bucks a week on the dole, how am i suppose to survive on that. I want those on the high income to pay more tax to support people like us who don’t work.

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    Mute Peter donnelly
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    Feb 5th 2020, 11:32 AM

    @Daithi De Roiste: you sad person….

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    Mute Daithi De Roiste
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    Feb 5th 2020, 11:48 AM

    @Peter donnelly: I’m very sad, and hungry!

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    Mute Colin Watters
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    Feb 5th 2020, 1:07 PM

    I don’t even particularly think their candidate in my constituency is any good, but nearly sure that SF will get my No1.

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    Mute Ken Bramley
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    Feb 5th 2020, 1:07 PM

    If you see an advert by FF/FG on Facebook just report it as “misleading/scam” and if enough do it, they will remove it !

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    Mute Patrick Trench
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    Feb 5th 2020, 7:21 PM

    I would genuinely be worried about my job if sinn fein got in. I work in a multinational and if sinn fein got in they would tax them much higher.
    Not happy with ff and fg but sinn fein are too extreme.

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