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Factchecking the election: Here's how we ranked all the claims made by politicians over the last four weeks

We’ve been keeping an eye on the campaign over the last four weeks to sort out the facts from the waffle.

GENERAL ELECTION CAMPAIGNS are a time when a lot of big claims get bandied about by politicians. 

Sometimes they’re true. Sometimes they have shades of truth to them. And sometimes they’re so far from the truth that it’s just a blur in the distance. 

TheJournal.ie‘s FactCheck, the only Irish outlet affiliated to the International Fact-Checking Network, has been keeping an eye on the election campaign over the past four weeks to keep readers informed about the truth behind the claims and holding politicians to account for the things that they say. 

At a time when misinformation and false news have become part of the media landscape, especially on social media platforms, factchecking plays a key role in debunking false and misleading information in Irish society. 

We also ran a campaign on Facebook giving people tips on how to look out for false news and helping people to be more media literate. 

Here’s a look at all of our factchecks over the course of this campaign, and how we ranked the claims. 

Is Ireland responsible for just 0.000012% of the world’s carbon emissions?

VERDICT: False 

An image shared on a Facebook page claimed that Ireland was responsible for “almost zero” per cent of the world’s total carbon emissions. However separate figures from the World Bank and the European Commission estimate that Ireland is actually responsible for almost 0.1% of global emissions. 

No, British English isn’t being replaced with Irish English as the EU’s working language 

VERDICT: Nonsense 

An extremely popular article was widely shared on social media saying that the EU had declared that Irish English would replace British English as the union’s primary working language, following the departure of the United Kingdom from the EU. The article was published by a satirical site in Luxembourg, however, and never claimed to be true. 

Are there really 20,000 homeless people in Northern Ireland? 

VERDICT: Unproven

Taoiseach Leo Varadkar made the claim during the three-way leaders’ debate on RTE’s Prime Time earlier this week. We found that there are 12,512 homeless households in Northern Ireland but there are no figures for the exact number of individuals who are homeless. 

Shane Ross claimed that the FAI rescue package was not a bailout

VERDICT: False

Sports Minister Shane Ross insisted that the rescue deal for the Football Association of Ireland was a simple financial arrangement and not a bailout. According to the standard dictionary definition and the opinions of a number of economists, that claim was not correct. 

Does Ireland spend half a billion a year on the Housing Assistance Payment? 

VERDICT: True 

Social Democrats co-leader Catherine Murphy said that Ireland is spending half a billion a year on the Housing Assistance Payment to accommodate people on Ireland’s social housing waiting list. The government has indeed allocated half a billion – €503 million – for it in the Budget. 

Does Ireland face a €7 billion euro fine if it doesn’t reduce carbon emissions by the necessary amount? 

VERDICT: Mixture

Green Party leader Eamon Ryan said that Ireland needs to invest in reducing carbon emissions now, rather than facing a fine of “at least” €7 billion in future for failing to do so. The amount of carbon emissions that Ireland will admit between now and 2030 is neither fixed nor certain – but if Ireland doesn’t offset its admissions and continues to rely on the increasing price of carbon credits, it will likely pay more than €7 billion in carbon credits. 

Was the only money wasted on the National Children’s Hospital the €35 million spent by Fianna Fáil not developing a site at the Mater? 

VERDICT: Nonsense 

Taoiseach Leo Varadkar hit back at accusations about the overspending on the National Children’s Hospital, claiming that “only” €35 million was wasted on it. It is difficult to define what a waste of money is, especially on a capital project of this size. There are simply too many costs and expenses associated with developing a new paediatric hospital to separate money that is ‘wasted’ from money that is not. 

Does the average person working full-time in Ireland earn €47,000 a year? 

VERDICT: Mostly True 

Taoiseach Leo Varadkar was using statistics from the CSO when he made the claim that the average person working full-time in Ireland earns €47,000 a year. This figure is the mean average of all earnings of full-time workers in Ireland, rather than an indication of an average (or typical) full-time worker. And if the median — which is generally acknowledged to be a better indicator — was used, this figure is likely to be lower. 

Has the Help-to-Buy Scheme already helped 15,000 to 16,000 people to buy their first home? 

VERDICT: True

Leo Varadkar made this claim defending the government’s Help-to-Buy scheme, which was introduced in Budget 2017 and seeks to help people reach a level of savings required to afford a deposit for a house. Figures from Revenue show that this claim is largely accurate, although the Taoiseach actually underestimated the actual figure slightly. 

Has the housing supply really doubled since 2016? 

VERDICT: Mixture

Leo Varadkar (again) was defending his record on managing the housing crisis, comparing house-building figures from before and after he succeeded Enda Kenny as Taoiseach. His overall figures were accurate, but it was misleading to present two figures which use different methodologies to count the number of completions in different years. 

Are house prices really 20% lower than they were when they peaked under Fianna Fáil?

VERDICT: Mostly False

Leo Varadkar attacked Fianna Fail for overseeing a dramatic rise in house prices during the Celtic Tiger, telling Micheál Martin during a tv debate that house prices have stopped rising and are 20% lower than when they peaked under Fianna Fáil. House prices are still increasing across the country, and are around 16.8% lower than they were at their peak in 2007. 

Were almost no new council houses being built in Ireland when Fine Gael took over the Ministry for Housing three and a half years ago? 

VERDICT: False

The Taoiseach said that the construction of social housing has grown significantly in the past three and a half years. We found that there was a historically low number of units being constructed at the time – however, his claim that 6,500 social housing units were built by local authorities last year is incorrect. 

Has homelessness gone up by 60% in the past four years? 

VERDICT: True

Micheál Martin was strongly critical of Fine Gael’s record on homelessness, claiming it had risen by almost two-thirds since the last government was formed. This is true. Latest figures show that there has been a 60% rise in homelessness since July 2016. 

Are there 1,000  more GPs in Ireland now than there were five years ago? 

VERDICT: Unproven 

The Minister for Employment Affairs and Social Protection Regina Doherty made this claim in response to criticism from Fianna Fáil over Fine Gael’s record on health. There is no central register of GPs working in Ireland and it is difficult to ascertain how many GPs are currently working here. To claim that there are 1,000 more GPs working in Ireland than five years ago cannot be backed up. 

Does Ireland have the lowest level of homeownership now since 1971? 

VERDICT: True

Micheál Martin made this claim several times over the course of the election campaign, accusing Fine Gael of presiding over an economy that has the lowest rate of homeownership in 50 years. He was right – but it ignores the fact that Fianna Fáil was in power for 16 years of the period during which homeownership rates have declined. 

Did Micheál Martin cut hospital waiting lists to six months when he was Minister for Health? 

VERDICT: Mostly False 

Both Micheál Martin and Leo Varadkar had to defend their records as Ministers for Health during the campaign, and Martin’s claim that he cut hospital waiting lists to six months came up several times. He did introduce measures to tackle waiting lists, but they were not all reduced to six months and many people were still waiting for longer. 

Has Fine Gael Minister Regina Doherty ensured waiting staff are legally entitled to 100% of their tips? 

VERDICT: False

Regina Doherty claimed in a piece of literature that she had “ensured that tips in our hospitality sector are paid to employees and not withheld”. The planned legislation for this has not yet passed the Dáil, so this claim was rated false. Her spokesperson told us that it was a “typo” in the campaign literature and that the legislation was a “priority” for the minister that would likely have been passed within a few months if the Dáil hadn’t been dissolved. 

Did Paschal Donohoe meet any individual insurance company in the midst of the insurance crisis? 

VERDICT: Mixed

Fianna Fáil TD Michael McGrath criticised Finance Minister Paschal Donohoe for not meeting with any insurance companies last year, despite the major issues with the cost of insurance in Ireland. His comments were accurate based on the information provided to him, which had covered the period up until November 2019, but Donohoe did meet with a number of insurance companies after this. 

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It is vital that we surface facts from noise. Articles like this one brings you clarity, transparency and balance so you can make well-informed decisions. We set up FactCheck in 2016 to proactively expose false or misleading information, but to continue to deliver on this mission we need your support. Over 5,000 readers like you support us. If you can, please consider setting up a monthly payment or making a once-off donation to keep news free to everyone.

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    Mute The Risen
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    Feb 7th 2020, 5:37 PM

    SF, PBP, SocDems, I4C and other left candidates can EASILY make up the 80+ seats required in tomorrows vote. All it takes a bit of effort on our part, to get to the polling station and help make it happen

    It’s an hour or so of your time, once every 4-5 years, and it can make all of the difference. Left leaning candidates are at the coalface relentlessly campaigning, marching and protesting for the issues that matter to us all. Now IT’S OUR TURN to step up and do our part.

    Look left tomorrow, change everything. Vote straight left and left leaning candidates all the way FTW!

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    Mute OnlyHereForTheComments
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    Feb 7th 2020, 5:41 PM

    @The Risen: In all seriousness, whatever your thoughts are on the current situation, do you really see that many fragmented parties, rag tag groups and independents coming together to form a cohesive government? Not a hope.

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    Mute The Risen
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    Feb 7th 2020, 5:43 PM

    @OnlyHereForTheComments: They ran under the right2change policy platform in 2016 for the most part, so yes.

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    Feb 7th 2020, 5:52 PM

    @The Risen: and how is that singular policy platform going? Did everyone stick to it? Doesn’t fill me with confidence regarding a cohesive government. The first item on the agenda for most left wing parties is how they need to split into fragments so that everyone can be appeased.

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    Mute The Risen
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    Feb 7th 2020, 5:56 PM

    @OnlyHereForTheComments: Who are you voting for yourself?

    27
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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:00 PM

    @The Risen: Deflect, Distract, Deny, that’s how it goes, isn’t it? Maybe we can all get behind Gemma – you told us she was standing for change too.

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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:02 PM

    @OnlyHereForTheComments: Nice rant. So, who are you voting for yourself?

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    Mute We Love Katamari
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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:12 PM

    @The Risen: hahahaha here we go again

    16
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    Mute OnlyHereForTheComments
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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:14 PM

    @The Risen: No ranting here. I look forward to voting for the candidates in my constituency that I feel will deliver the most at both a local and national level. Unlike some people on here I’m not a member of a political party, nor do I adhere to the sort of tribalism and ‘us vs them’ mentality that sadly seems to be taking over. My original comment was that I fail to see how 80+ TDs from a broad spectrum of parties who have little in common except that they see themselves as ‘anti-establishment’ could ever get it together to form a stable government, and somehow we’ve ended up with tribalism again as people try to pigeonhole others so that they can arrange their muck appropriately.

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    Mute The Risen
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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:16 PM

    @OnlyHereForTheComments: Yeah, still haven’t told us who you’re voting for tomorrow though, did you?

    I’m voting 1. PBP 2+3 SF $ Left independent, with my other preferences going to left leaning candidates.

    So, who are you voting for yourself?

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    Mute We Love Katamari
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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:20 PM

    @OnlyHereForTheComments: yea, who are u voting for. haha

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    Mute The Risen
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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:26 PM

    @We Love Katamari: All of these blank twitter profiles used by the party hacks don’t have a leg to stand on. If they admit they’re voting FF they can’t open their mouths about what the left would do to the economy, if they admit that they vote FG they can’t open their mouths on the lefts housing policy, health policy and so on. They’re all mouth.

    22
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    Mute OnlyHereForTheComments
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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:41 PM

    @The Risen: Not a member of a party, not employed by one, bot everyone who has the audacity to question you is a paid FF/FG shill, but don’t let that get in the way of the ‘which side are you on’, ‘who do you work for’ style of interrogation – it’s common with certain political parties, after all.

    My criticisms here have nothing to do with economic or health policies, and everything to do with the ability to form a cohesive and aligned government. I suggest worrying less about who I’m voting for and more for whether or not the utopia you’re predicting has a chance of ever becoming a reality. Why not play the ball?

    23
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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:43 PM

    @OnlyHereForTheComments: Very good. So, who do you vote for yourself??

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    Mute Mark Murphy
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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:44 PM

    @The Risen: in fairness look forward to my vote for FG tomorrow , would much prefer a party that knows what they are at, imagine the alternative SF, greens, like no thanks. But I’ll give it to you, living in dream land must be fun..thinking we will change ha

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    Mute OnlyHereForTheComments
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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:50 PM

    @The Risen: Still unwilling (or unable) to debate the matter at hand? No worries fella, take it easy.

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    Mute We Love Katamari
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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:53 PM

    @OnlyHereForTheComments: uv all the answers for why not to vote left but too embarassed to say who ur voting for. clown

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    Mute The Risen
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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:54 PM

    @OnlyHereForTheComments: You realise that every time you reply without revealing who you’re voting for, you’re just highlighting my point, no?

    So, who do you vote for yourself?

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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:56 PM

    @The Risen: There’s a point?!

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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:59 PM

    @We Love Katamari: Hello, welcome to the discussion. Who I’m voting for, and who you’re voting for, and who the risen is voting for, has precisely zero bearing on the ability of a group of 80+ broadly individual TDs to form a cohesive government. Thanks for listening to my Ted Talk.

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    Mute Dermo Adams
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    Feb 7th 2020, 7:05 PM

    @OnlyHereForTheComments: In all fairness, the risens leading you around by the nose. He’s done it with a few commenters now. Mouthing out of ye about the left and SF but don’t have the stones to tell everybody who you will vote for. It’s comical. Voting Sinn Fein myself.

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    Mute Conan Campbell
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    Feb 7th 2020, 7:10 PM

    @The Risen: He won’t tell you who he’s voting for because of the shame of it and the fact that you’ll pick his thought process apart if he does. Lots of FFG courage on show in the comments section.

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    Feb 7th 2020, 7:18 PM

    @Dermo Adams: If leading someone around by the nose means ignoring the original comment and changing the subject to something more appealing to them, then you’re absolutely right, he’s certainly done that. Except I’m not mouthing about the left or SF. I think they have *some* really excellent policies, and I never said I wouldn’t be voting for them. My original point still stands, despite the diversion tactics.

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    Mute Stuart Quinn
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    Feb 7th 2020, 7:19 PM

    @The Risen: No chance. We don’t need welfare hoovers in government

    18
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    Mute OnlyHereForTheComments
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    Feb 7th 2020, 7:24 PM

    @Conan Campbell: Thanks Keith Barry – impressive display of mind reading there. Hilarious seeing just how narked people are when you won’t give them what they want, and just how little they have to fall back on.

    13
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    Mute The Risen
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    Feb 7th 2020, 7:27 PM

    @OnlyHereForTheComments: Must have missed you posting who you vote for yourself. Would you mind reposting please? :)

    9
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    Mute Dom Layzell
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    Feb 7th 2020, 9:03 PM

    @The Risen: None of your business who he votes for, it’s a secret ballot. & theirs reasons for that. It’s for the ability to vote without one’s choices being revealed to others is considered an essential characteristic of legitimate democratic systems. The secret ballot helps protect voters from fear of intimidation or coercion.
    Not that the Socialists parties would engage in such immoral practice? Blaring out Oh Ah up the RA in Cavan during the week, wouldn’t intimidate anyone would it?

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    Mute The Risen
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    Feb 7th 2020, 9:48 PM

    @Dom Layzell: Just highlighting the fact that all of these new and nearly new empty twitter accounts posting anti SF and anti left muck can’t even stand by their own party affiliation because of the shameful state they’ve left the country in :)

    7
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    Mute Dom Layzell
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    Feb 7th 2020, 10:07 PM

    @The Risen: Regardless, you have no evidence, and innocent until ……………. you know the rest yourself, you’re a Shinner!
    But no one should have to explain who they vote for?

    3
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    Mute The Risen
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    Feb 7th 2020, 10:20 PM

    @Dom Layzell: As posted many times, I’m proudly giving Gino Kenny from PBP my number one vote. Do try to keep up…

    6
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    Mute John Mulligan
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    Feb 8th 2020, 8:32 AM

    @OnlyHereForTheComments: ming Flanagan campaigning for the greens, pbp, sf and marian harkin during this election campaign says a lot about populism and how it works.

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    Mute D walsh
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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:24 PM

    I’m sorry but the FAI money is a bailout. Regardless of how you want to try define it, if you run an organisation into the ground and are at the point of bankruptcy, and the state gives you free money, it’s a bailout. Utterly disgraceful in the same week that some mental health services had a funding cut.

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    Mute Dom Layzell
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    Feb 7th 2020, 10:14 PM

    @D walsh: I have to agree 100% its a bailout, no, if’s, but’s or why’s. You are right.
    And I hope the people that authorised the Taxpayers money, to be abused like this get their Just rewards tomorrow, and a kick in the ballot’s.

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    Mute Pád
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    Feb 7th 2020, 5:55 PM

    Don’t forget to vote tomorrow. The above article is riddled with Lies from both parties.

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    Mute Diogenes
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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:59 PM

    Vote Sinn Fein for more affordable public housing and rent.

    36
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    Mute Sam Greene
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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:08 PM

    I’m not putting one number beside a FF or FG candidate. 100 years of their bullshit is enough.

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    Mute alan
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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:07 PM

    Ignore FG, ff, sf. We’ve seen how they are when in power here and in the north. Vote Left for real change.

    20
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    Mute Sam Greene
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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:10 PM

    @alan: and what left would that be? Labour? Hahaha the only thing left about them is the fact that they left us high and dry when they went into coalition with FG.

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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:19 PM

    @Sam Greene: I was thinking of the larger parties. But you can add lab to that list.

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    Mute Zak Martin
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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:16 PM

    “However separate figures from the World Bank and the European Commission estimate that Ireland is actually responsible for almost 0.1% of global emissions,”
    So Ireland, a small windswept island in the North Atlantic, produces on tenth of the world’s CO2 emissions? Baloney. .

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    Mute OnlyHereForTheComments
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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:21 PM

    @Zak Martin: You think 0.1% equals one-tenth? It’s one-thousandth.

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    Mute Declan Edward
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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:24 PM

    @Zak Martin: one tenth of one hundred… not 0.1 if 1.0 were the whole

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    Mute Zak Martin
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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:35 PM
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    Mute Zak Martin
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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:37 PM

    @OnlyHereForTheComments:
    https://www.asafraction.com/number/0.1

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    Mute Zak Martin
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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:37 PM
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    Mute OnlyHereForTheComments
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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:44 PM

    @Zak Martin: thanks Zak. 0.1 represented as a fraction is indeed one-tenth. The trouble is that 0.1% is one-tenth of one percent, not one-tenth of everything.

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    Feb 7th 2020, 8:05 PM

    @OnlyHereForTheComments:
    The article claims that Ireland is the source of “almost 0.1% of global emissions”. That’s one tenth.

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    Mute Jim Buckley Barrett
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    Feb 7th 2020, 8:24 PM

    @Zak Martin: let’s say 1000 = 100%, that would make 100 = 10%, 10 = 1%, 1 = 0.1%, so 0.1% is one thousand of the number. You are mixing up fractions and percentages

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    Mute Dave Connolly
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    Feb 8th 2020, 2:10 AM

    @Jim Buckley Barrett: you can’t argue with stupid.

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    Mute Brian Clancy
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    Feb 8th 2020, 9:16 AM

    @Zak Martin: jasus, please stop now, take a night course in basic arithmetic

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    Mute Dino
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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:32 PM

    Fact check: Is the Irish electoral system being artificially manipulated? Yes, and while there is a quota system I’d urge people not to vote for any female candidates. Lesser candidates are taking the place of hard working male counterparts due to an unfair rule. Equality for all or equality for none!

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    Mute SaveTheTrees
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    Feb 7th 2020, 6:19 PM

    Who hired you lads? :-)

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    Mute Dino
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    Feb 7th 2020, 11:44 PM

    47k? Take out civil servants and multi national wages and see what the average worker is on not the lucky few that get work in these areas!

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    Mute Chris OB
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    Feb 7th 2020, 9:22 PM

    47 k my bleedin hoop

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    Mute Sam lawless
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    Feb 7th 2020, 9:04 PM

    The average worker is earning 47’000 – Mostly True.
    Christine Bohan would you ever f**k off with your nonsense -

    Vote SF

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