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FactFind: What are the migration trends into Europe?

Applications for refugee status increased dramatically after the Syrian humanitarian crisis in 2015, and dipped at the beginning of the pandemic.

WHAT ARE THE main passages and migration trends in Europe?

This is a particularly complicated question to answer as there are so different ways it could be measured: is migration counted as non-EU residents, new EU citizens, asylum seekers and refugees, estimations of illegal migrants, any non-national living in an EU country, or a combination of all of these?

Immigration figures should also be put in context of the number of people emigrating out of the EU, with net migration being the key indicator. 

Migration is influenced by a combination of economic political and social factors: with a migrant’s country offering ‘push factor’ conditions, or the country of destination offering ‘pull factors’. The economic prosperity and stability of the EU in recent years offer a considerable pull for immigrants, particularly those living in politically unstable regions.

Here are the migration trends into the EU over the past 5-6 years.

Residency

On 1 January, there were 447.3 million inhabitants living in the EU. 5% of this total, or 23 million, were non-EU citizens. 8% were born outside the EU.

For those with a valid residence permit, 38% said they sought the permit for family reasons, and 17% said they sought it for work. 

Non-EU citizens were more likely to work as cleaners, builders, and personal service and care workers than other sectors of employment; this tallies with research that shows migrants tend to take up lower-paid work, which tends to benefit ‘native’ workers.

According to EU figures, there is an average of 5 migrants per 1,000 inhabitants across the bloc as of 2019. Ireland’s rate is three times above that average, with the fourth highest proportion of non-EU migrants per 1,000 (17).

Asylum seekers and refugees

Applications for refugee status increased dramatically after the Syrian humanitarian crisis in 2015, and dipped at the beginning of the pandemic. 

There is a chance that applications for asylum in the EU will rise in the wake of the Taliban takeover of Afghanistan, but it is likely that the majority of asylum seekers will seek refuge in Afghanistan’s neighbouring countries.

Eurostat Eurostat Eurostat

This is because the majority of refugees from Africa and Asia do not come to Europe, but rather move to neighbouring countries.

The top five nationalities of first-time asylum applicants in 2020 were from Venezuela (7.3% of all first-time applications); Colombia (7%); Georgia (1.6%); Peru (1.5%) and Honduras (1.4%).

EU countries granted some sort of protection to around 280,000 people in 2020. The largest groups were from: Syria (27% of all people granted protection); Venezuela (17%) and Afghanistan (15%).

Out of the EU’s total population of 447 million people, as of 2019 its refugee population made up 0.6% of its total population. In Germany, it makes up 1.4% of its population.

The five countries with the highest proportion of refugees in its population are Lebanon (13.4%), Jordan (6.4%), Turkey (4.3%), Uganda (3.3%), and Sudan (2.5%).

Citizenship

Naturalisation rate in 2019 (1) Eurostat Eurostat

In 2019, the largest group of new EU-citizens were as follows:

  • Moroccans (66,800, of whom 84% acquired citizenship of Spain, Italy or France),
  • Albanians (41,700, 62% acquired citizenship of Italy),
  • Brits (29,800, 75% acquired citizenship of Germany, Sweden or France),
  • Syrians (29,100, 69% acquired citizenship of Sweden),
  • Turks (28,600, 57% acquired German citizenship),
  • Romanians (26,600, 60% acquired citizenship of Italy or Germany),
  • Brazilians (23 500, 73% acquired citizenship of Italy or Portugal),
  • Ukrainians (18,100, 59% acquired citizenship of Germany, Poland or Italy),
  • Algerians (18,000, 82% acquired French citizenship) and
  • Russians (16,400, 31% acquired German citizenship).

Romanians (26,600 persons), Poles (12,600) and Italians (8,700) remained the three largest groups of EU citizens acquiring citizenship of another EU member state, the same as in 2018.

In 2019, the highest naturalisation rates (the proportion of foreign residents given citizenship) were registered in Sweden (7 citizenships granted per 100 resident foreigners), Romania (4.7) and Portugal (4.4), followed by Finland (3.8), the Netherlands (3.2) and Belgium (2.9).

At the opposite end of the scale, naturalisation rates below 1 citizenship acquisition per 100 resident foreigners were recorded in Lithuania (0.2), Denmark (0.3), and Estonia, with Ireland’s and Malta’s rate at 0.9. 

Irregular migration

Eurostat frontex European Commission European Commission

In 2020, there were 125,100 “irregular” border crossings logged by Frontex, the EU’s border security agency. 

This was a 12% decrease compared to 2019, and the lowest in seven years.

There were 86,300 sea crossings in 2020, which is a decrease of 19% compared to 2019; and 38,800 land border crossings, an increase of 9% compared to 2019.

In 2020, there was an increase of 51% in crossings on the western Mediterranean (including the Atlantic route from western Africa to the Canary Islands) and an increase of 155% on the Central Mediterranean routes (40,300 and 35,700 respectively).

This work is co-funded by Journal Media and a grant programme from the European Parliament. Any opinions or conclusions expressed in this work is the author’s own. The European Parliament has no involvement in nor responsibility for the editorial content published by the project. For more information, see here.

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    Mute Nollaig Elliot
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    May 22nd 2017, 7:20 PM

    Permanently deleted my FB account last November and it was the best thing I did. I felt it was a complete waste of my time and was becoming more and more of a negative place. Now it’s great when I meet people cause I don’t know everything about them and makes for great conversation.

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    Mute James Mahon
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    May 22nd 2017, 8:33 PM

    @Nollaig Elliot: The alternative is to be friends on FB with your actual friends! As opposed to the 500 or so that you had!

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    Mute Nollaig Elliot
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    May 22nd 2017, 9:04 PM

    @James Mahon: Very true James, it got out of hand though. I traveled a fair bit over the years and it was convenient. However, after I finished a big trip last year it was always my plan to pull the plug then.

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    Mute Anita R
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    May 22nd 2017, 9:16 PM

    @James Mahon: Totally agree. Did a big cull of my FB “friends ” recently and it’s great.
    Think it’s a good place for joining groups that have similar interests etc.

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    Mute Shane Carroll
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    May 22nd 2017, 11:52 PM

    @Nollaig Elliot: I find it very useful to follow interests of mine, get notified of events I might be interested in and get access to news which might otherwise not cross my path.
    I do know of people who use it to post a lot of what I would consider useless information but that’s their choice and I can easily avoid that if I want!
    Bottom line is it’s a communication tool and how you use it is up to you.

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    Mute Colin Preston James
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    May 23rd 2017, 11:06 AM

    @Nollaig Elliot: I did something similar, last november it was so bad, i have under 20 US facebook friends yet all their posts were saturating my timeline so i turned off all post notifications and have opened the app about 4 times since then to reply to some things that are commented on in my posts taken from twitter and youtube, i use facebook messenger frequently and because that’s a separate app i don’t have to worry about seeing stupid posts from people anymore.

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    Mute Davin Ryan
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    May 22nd 2017, 7:06 PM

    About as arbitrary as The Journals rules so…

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    Mute Jack Cassady
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    May 22nd 2017, 7:49 PM

    I’d love to see the Guardian’s moderation policy.
    ‘If you’re not of liberal persuasion do not enter this site’

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    Mute SteveW
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    May 22nd 2017, 7:16 PM

    In most cases trolls are ridiculed and put down by decent people on forums such as Facebook. A self censoring mechanism that we have in society already. The problem like they have now in Germany is that when governments get involved they usually infringe on free speech. A slippery slope indeed.

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    Mute The Magnificent Hog
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    May 22nd 2017, 6:57 PM

    Suckerburg and his cronies support hate speech. That is a fact.

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    Mute Jamie
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    May 22nd 2017, 7:23 PM

    Deleted Facebook yesterday.Best thing EVER!!!!but I’ve nowhere to post or tell people so il post it here on a Facebook article

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    Mute ktsiwot
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    May 22nd 2017, 7:33 PM

    @The Magnificent Hog: It is not a personal thing, it just makes money.

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    Mute Baz Breen
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    May 22nd 2017, 9:12 PM

    Facebook is a private commercial entity they can do as they please. It’s a very successful business model that works. Some people have the mind set that it’s a public service.

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    Mute Austin Rock
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    May 22nd 2017, 9:33 PM

    @Baz Breen: No commercial entity can do as they please all are bound by the laws of each and every country they operate in. Facebooks private policy etc etc is irrelevant if it violates the law, or a persons human right, which is why they are so careful as indeed is the Journal no one is exempt,

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    Mute gregory
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    May 22nd 2017, 8:02 PM

    Animal abuse is ok by facebook. you know what to do facebook users – delete ur account.

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    Mute Jonny
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    May 22nd 2017, 7:22 PM

    The guardian reported this earlier this morning, breaking news from the journal

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    Mute Jack Cassady
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    May 22nd 2017, 7:31 PM

    @Jonny:
    The article mentions the fact that the Guardian published this yesterday.
    This one’s an exclusive for people who only read the Journal.

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    Mute The Grand O'Malley
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    May 22nd 2017, 8:31 PM

    Off topic but Edward Snowden said that if you want privacy then you need to throw away all your devices and start living in a cave.

    Delete your Facebook and stop shoving those screens into your babies faces

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    Mute Tony Daly
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    May 22nd 2017, 8:42 PM

    @The Grand O’Malley: there are techniques to maintaining privacy on Facebook and not just through privacy settings.

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    Mute Rusty Balls
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    May 22nd 2017, 8:55 PM

    Perhaps the Journal could be just as clear in explaining why it bans people…???

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    Mute Tony Daly
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    May 22nd 2017, 8:43 PM

    There is life and there is Facebook.

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    Mute Just Some Guy
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    May 22nd 2017, 7:55 PM

    Be careful what you say on facebook. I got a three day ban on facebook for calling someone an idiot. Plenty of snowflakes on facebook. Facebook is getting pathetic each day

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    Mute Tony Daly
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    May 22nd 2017, 8:41 PM

    @Just Some Guy: I feel your pain. Not being able call peole “idiots” is such an impairment of freedom of expression. Calling people “idiots” helps them to accept their errors. It is a highly effective and persuasive technique and develops a point very nicely.

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    Mute Rusty Balls
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    May 22nd 2017, 10:14 PM

    @Tony Daly: Very true, I’ve also had posts deleted because someone with a delicate disposition found them offensive. Whips & chains I could understand, maybe even blood and guts, but mention anything about a certain Middle Eastern religion and certain people loose their collective minds… Incidentally I didn’t say a word.

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    Mute Adolf Hitler
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    May 22nd 2017, 9:01 PM

    The main issue with Facebook and its content is who views it. Pictures of difficult or upsetting themes are good as they are thought provoking . The issue is too many children lie about their age and view images not suitable for them

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    Mute cheeky smurfette
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    May 26th 2017, 3:05 PM

    i got banned 3 times fro speaking the truth about certain people

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