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Naval vessel LÉ George Bernard Show berthed at the deep water quay before dawn in Cobh, Co Cork. Alamy Stock Photo

Analysis: Defence Commission report sets out stark reality of Ireland's military incapacity

The Commission report is a study in accepting the modernisation of a long neglected force, writes Niall O’Connor.

THE GAPS IN Ireland’s defence structures are myriad and the Commission on the Defence Forces lays it out in stark reality.

The much-awaited report was launched in the presence of Defence Minister Simon Coveney at the Curragh yesterday. 

Its key recommendations would, amongst a range of sweeping changes, overhaul military hierarchy, create a larger navy and introduce more aircraft (you can read an overview of the findings in our news piece from the launch here). 

There is nothing that security experts would regard as a particularly new suggestion in this report – many of the measures have been put forward by representative bodies for officers and enlisted members in recent years.

But in its totality the Commission document reads as a critique of what many in the ranks regard as a complete abandonment by successive governments of the State’s security and military capability.

This has been accepted by Minister for Defence Simon Coveney in what can only be a regarded as a mea culpa on behalf of the government.

The report contains three tiers of proposed delivery – marked as Level of Ambition – the first tier keeps the forces at the same capacity it is today, LOA Two will see a 50% increase in funding while LOA Three is the ultimate dream scenario for Defence. 

In all three spheres, naval, air and ground forces, there is a threadbare coverage that barely hides the blushes of those who try to make do with our available resources. 

The State’s ability to protect it’s 3,171kms of coastline and the 260km width of our Exclusive Economic Zone was shown to be non existent by the planned activities of a few Russian vessels in recent weeks. 

51860732802_4f22c168ab_c LÉ Samuel Beckett on patrol. Irish Defence Forces Irish Defence Forces

Navy

The Commission set about its work in a methodical manner and its first findings identified two major threats in the maritime domain.

Firstly, interruptions to our sea lanes or strategic ports – and secondly to the sub-surface communications cable infrastructure running close to our coast.

This island nation depends on its sea trade routes. Keeping Ireland’s sea lanes open during any potential crisis or emergency is vitally important to the country’s survival and prosperity.

To win any war supply lines must be severed and in previous world conflicts the seabed around Ireland’s coast was littered with the tragedy of naval warfare.

There is now a modern communication route below the waves with a significant portion of Europe’s data travelling in cables through Irish waters and the major communications cable between North America and Europe just a few kilometres off-shore.

The Commission has identified this area as a key to Ireland’s sovereignty and capability to protect its global interests.

Recommendations have been sought to the Defence Forces’ protection of the country’s strategic ports – the proposal would ramp up security at the locations with military personnel.

There is also a proposal to protect sub-sea communications cables which pass through the Irish waters.  

To make this recommendation a success it will require a significantly increased Navy, possibly to 12 ships, and the doubling of the Naval Reserve with new part-time units in Galway, the north west and the north east. The reservists will serve much of their time playing a critical role in port security.

The Commission has also called for an increased naval presence within the 12 mile limit of our territorial waters and EEZ with the development of a comprehensive maritime surveillance network using commercial and EU satellites, drones, coastal radar systems and other technologies.

The report calls for at least two naval vessels capable of detecting and clearing mines and maritime improvised explosive devices.

One of the more eye-opening recommendations is for a limited number of coastal defence systems such as anti-ship missiles to counter hostile threats and secure access routes to Irish ports in any crisis.

This is at the very cutting edge of a deterrent and is sure to be met with incredulity by those opposed to militaristic responses.

The commission is also recommending investment in sub-surface surveillance and monitoring capability. There is also a call for remotely-operated underwater vehicles, greater diving capabilities and military sonar for a number of naval ships.

51861774143_329872a49d_c Pilots on board an Irish Air Corps Casa maritime patrol aircraft. Irish Defence Forces Irish Defence Forces

Air Force

The Air Corps has served the State well but it has suffered what one source termed as a “near death experience” in recent years, with cuts to staffing and aircraft provision.

In many respects this has been caused by a lack of ambition in funding across all categories – from jets to counter incoming threats to the base level requirement of a troop transport capability.

In recent years the Irish Aviation Authority has seen a number of former Air Corps pilots join its ranks and that expertise is noticeable in their submission to the Commission.

The IAA highlighted the critical importance of a need for a ‘policing’ function across Irish-controlled air space, which sees upwards of 75% of all transatlantic flights pass through Irish skies daily.

The Commission noted flights of Russian bombers particularly, which have been conducting so-called training missions down the West coast. This has been declared a significant danger to civilian aircraft, but the Commission has found it causes significant economic disruptions also with delayed or diverted flights.

But there is another more dynamic and less controllable threat – drone traffic used as a weapon. The lone wolf capability of a single individual to close airspace around airports has been identified as a major concern.

Another area of worry is the use of drones against Irish peacekeeping troops in the future.

To counter this airspace threat assessment the Commission recommended the immediate development of primary radar. At present Ireland does not have equipment to detect and monitor every aircraft travelling overhead. 

There is a recommendation for a capability to counter the drone threat and for air defence systems to protect Irish troops overseas and to protect Irish airports. The Commission also recommends that these systems be mobile so they can be deployed at strategic locations at home during emergencies.

Much has been made of the capability of fighter jets to intercept incoming rogue aircraft. It would be a costly endeavour and take more than a decade to get a squadron to the point of readiness but this is seen as a critical aspiration. 

This is one of the more unlikely proposals to see the light of day but it fits in with a broader recommendation around a more densely developed air defence strategy.

The final piece of the puzzle, after radar and other monitoring capabilities have been realised, is fighter jets. Their role would be to respond to incoming aircraft that have been identified as threats.

There is also a recommendation that these fast jets, approximately a squadron size of 12 aircraft, would also be deployed on overseas missions.  

 

51871818498_ec40445787_c Minister Simon Coveney inspecting a Guard of Honour in the Curragh Camp today Irish Defence Forces Irish Defence Forces

Army

Ireland has a deep and complex experience in the use of Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDs) and has developed a strategy to respond to marauding terrorist attacks here at home and on overseas missions. 

The Commission has identified terrorism and espionage at home as likely future threats.

They have also identified the continued use of IEDs in conflict areas. The section of the report also looks at the affect of disinformation directed at peacekeeping forces and the  deteriorating environmental conditions as a result of climate change.

Peacekeeping is a major pillar of Government’s position on the UN Security Council – Minister Coveney has, in fact, identified it as a key obligation.

The Commission found that it was critical the Defence Forces be able to offer state of the art protection to troops deployed abroad in order to maintain continued public support for peacekeeping missions. 

This protection, as identified by the Commission, includes up-to-date intelligence tracking of threats and also the ability to quickly rescue or reinforce troops if needed with transport aircraft.

The key recommendations in this area is to provide this enhanced protection via a modern Armoured Personnel Carrier (APC) fleet for the army.

APCs are used to ferry troops in hostile areas and will have a dedicated group of soldiers which can deploy either on patrols or in Quick Reaction Forces to deal with issues as they arise. 

It forms a major tactical component of Ireland’s mechanised military.  

irish-peacekeeping-troops-return-from-chad Irish Army Mowag Armoured Personnel Carriers. Alamy Stock Photo Alamy Stock Photo

The Commission also called for the strengthening of military intelligence and cyber capabilities to counter espionage and hybrid threats at home and to support peacekeepers overseas.

A greater airlift capability was also recommended with the procurement of at least one transport aircraft and the development of pooling and sharing arrangements with European airlift initiatives suggested. 

This issue was raised at the time of the Kabul mission to rescue Irish citizens in Afghanistan when Army Ranger Wing operators were forced to hitch lifts to the country and rescued civilians were carried by French and Finnish aircraft.

Special Forces

10 Guns Army Ranger Wing operators during a recent exercise in Dublin. Karl Karl

The Army Ranger Wing (ARW) will, if recommendations are carried through, see a massive growth and refocusing in its remit.

The Special Forces unit will experience increased ability to rapidly deploy to respond to threats here and abroad including the development of specialist units to directly support these teams of operators.

There are recommendations, in the third tier of the Level of Ambition (LOA), for the Ranger Wing to have attack helicopters.

The Commission has identified that it will require a dedicated Special Operations Command or SOCOM which is international best practice in this area. It would mean that the special forces units would be a dedicated area of the Defence Forces and not just a Wing of the Army.

It has also recommended that there be a Special Operations Commander – this rank would have much more control over the activities of the forces and again would follow international best practice.

It will be renamed as Ireland’s Special Operations Force (IRL SOF) with a capability to act rapidly and in conjunction with An Garda Síochána.

Critically it would also have a special operations reserve – a concept already used in the UK Special Air Service.

A reserve capability would add strength in depth and would allow former members as well as specialist members to work with the permanent ARW members when the need arises

Funding

Needless to say this is all dependent on a commitment of funding from the government.

The reality is that this is about bringing the Defence Forces out of the staid and neglected era. 

Many officers are of the view that if Ireland is to be taken seriously as a member of organisations such as the UN Security Council then the base level should be a military that can function at the level of other small nations. 

Whether that is possible or not will entirely depend on the Department of Defence and their ability to lobby Government to accept the need for a reimagining of Oglaigh na hÉireann. 

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    Mute Sean Minihane
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    Sep 28th 2021, 7:47 PM

    Fair play to the Irish government. They have done a great job steering the ship.

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    Mute Paul Hedderman
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    Sep 28th 2021, 9:08 PM

    @Sean Minihane: Only since July 2021

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    Mute Tony Gordon
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    Sep 28th 2021, 9:49 PM

    @Paul Hedderman: yup, all the planing just magically appeared in July.

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    Mute Paul Hedderman
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    Sep 28th 2021, 10:43 PM

    @Tony Gordon: Vaccine rollout aside did they really do a good job “steering the ship” in your opinion?

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    Mute Ger
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    Sep 29th 2021, 2:14 AM

    @Paul Hedderman: yes they did, in my opinion. Their 2 biggest missteps was not planning sufficiently for nursing homes at the very beginning, which in fairness every country got wrong. And then reopening in December at the beginning of the Delta outbreak. Aside from that we have done very well, far better than most of Europe.

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    Mute Paul Hedderman
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    Sep 29th 2021, 10:58 AM

    @Ger: Delaying locking down for the first lockdown when other European States were locking down around us and covid confirmed a few weeks prior. No engagement with highly effected sectors. Lack of communication to public, conflicting information, leaks. Conflicting rules. Not allowing businesses to open sooner when they could operate safely. Only telling us socialising outdoors was safe just before the summer when it suited their agenda. Not preparing schools properly. Not implementing mass rapid testing, to name but a few…….. Re christmas (UK variant) they had to ease restrictions, public would have gone mad and ignored them if they didnt, that wave was inevitable as it started weeks before easing, with new variant, Christmas and 2 months of level 5 prior it was the perfect storm.

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    Mute Raysdaisy
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    Sep 29th 2021, 11:11 AM

    @Sean Minihane: RTE will be disgusted. They are still trying to stir it.

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    Mute Paul Whitehead
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    Sep 28th 2021, 7:51 PM

    It has been a remarkable achievement. Let’s hope it continues.

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    Mute Niels
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    Sep 28th 2021, 7:51 PM

    All the overly dramatic commenters posting ‘open the pubs’ on here every day for the past 18months should have a look at that Bloomberg article and see how much more restrictive the lockdowns were in other European countries.

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    Mute Ronan Walsh
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    Sep 28th 2021, 8:01 PM

    @Niels: Exactly, imagine your priority in the middle of a pandemic being whether the pubs are open or not , a horribly negative benchmark to use.

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    Mute Paul Hedderman
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    Sep 28th 2021, 8:30 PM

    @Niels: only 5 European countries on the list higher than us for restrictions, 6 if you include Turkey…… We’re only in the top 10 in that chart of only 53 countries since mid summer. Article is titled “The Best and Worst Places to Be as We Learn to Live With Delta”…. Not “countries have performed the best through the whole pandemic”…. Vaccine rollout was a great success. Handling of the first year and a bit of it was shocking by govt, particularly the start… I’d take that report with a pinch of salt. Our universal healthcare score is 90 somehow and I wonder how much weight GDP growth forecast goes towards the rank. Hard to see how were better than Denmark when they have more vaxd, better healthcare, less restrictions, nearly half the cases and deaths compared to us since delta.

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    Mute John Black
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    Sep 28th 2021, 8:47 PM

    @Paul Hedderman: they also don’t share a border with the UK who have been a disaster throughout the pandemic, that’s a massive point going in their favour

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    Mute Joe_X
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    Sep 28th 2021, 9:11 PM

    @Paul Hedderman: I don’t understand how we managed to knock Norway off the top spot to tell the truth, As John just pointed out to you, we share a land border with the UK, but Norway shares with Sweden and when you compare those two, the difference is purely due to the difference in the paths taken by the authorities of both countries.

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    Mute Joe_X
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    Sep 28th 2021, 9:20 PM

    @Paul Hedderman: Sorry, hit wrong key. Anyway, that said, I’ve no issue with our government’ response, and as to various comments of only since the mid summer, it is a report that is done monthly, so depending on how it goes, we may be further down the list again next month.

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    Mute camio55
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    Sep 28th 2021, 8:06 PM

    Great government leadership and commitment from all in the health service. Very proud of our efforts.

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    Mute murt de murty
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    Sep 28th 2021, 7:35 PM

    I’m happy with it- come at me.

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    Mute Ger Cassidy
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    Sep 28th 2021, 7:40 PM

    @murt de murty: wont be long now ;)

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    Mute John A. Dixon
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    Sep 28th 2021, 8:28 PM

    While not perfect, it certainly could have been better.
    But credit where it due, we did a decent job….and still are.

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    Mute Dan Duggan
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    Sep 28th 2021, 8:35 PM

    And v little congrats to The minister for health. How the shinners piled on to him

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    Mute Hugh Morris
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    Sep 28th 2021, 7:49 PM

    And the public never doubted the government for a second

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    Mute Tony Gordon
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    Sep 28th 2021, 9:52 PM

    Proud of the majority of Irish people not succumbing to the nonsense and believing is good science.

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    Mute Nick Caffrey
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    Sep 28th 2021, 11:43 PM

    @Tony Gordon: Indeed! Long may it last!

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    Mute Wolfgang Hanratty
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    Sep 28th 2021, 8:05 PM

    Open the pubs properly!

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    Mute Diarmuid Hunt
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    Sep 28th 2021, 8:25 PM

    @Wolfgang Hanratty: Try harder

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    Mute Joe_X
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    Sep 28th 2021, 9:21 PM

    @Wolfgang Hanratty: did you get a thrill saying that?

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    Mute Anarch Eco
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    Sep 28th 2021, 9:30 PM

    @Joe_X: open the pubs and reverse the smoking ban.

    And free plastic bags while you re at it.

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    Mute Joe_X
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    Sep 28th 2021, 10:38 PM

    @Anarch Eco: A right rebel, you are!

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    Mute Eamonn Keating
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    Sep 28th 2021, 7:59 PM

    Enda was right. We’re the best little country in the world to get Covid in.

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    Mute Jonathan
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    Sep 28th 2021, 9:07 PM

    We won

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    Mute Cowboy Ted
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    Sep 28th 2021, 9:28 PM

    @Jonathan:
    We are winning, unfortunately this is not beat yet…
    Let’s just hope Tony got this right and opening will be handled…
    Still 1 in 5 from 18 to 49 are not vaccinated… we can do better there, that would massively reduce the risk of another lockdown…

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    Mute Tom Halpin
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    Sep 29th 2021, 6:35 AM

    Feck the begrudgers is my favourite old Dublin saying It could have been invented for the comments section of the Journal.ie.

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    Mute Munster1
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    Sep 28th 2021, 10:28 PM

    Pity it took a year to implement hotel quarantine

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    Mute Paul Cunningham
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    Sep 28th 2021, 9:58 PM

    It could have been so much better, especially with fumble after fumble in 2020 and the worst implementation of quarantine ever. We made it across the line eventually though with an excellent vaccination rate. Government can’t take credit for that.

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    Mute Sean
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    Sep 28th 2021, 10:19 PM

    @Paul Cunningham: The vaccines fell out of the sky then did they?

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    Mute Joe_X
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    Sep 28th 2021, 10:47 PM

    @Paul Cunningham: But they learned as they went from the mistakes, which is the important thing. Remember, for most people, this is a once in a lifetime event. Very few who lived through the Spanish flu pandemic of just over a hundred years ago are alive today. It’s not as if any government knew what to do when it kicked off, and the next time something like it occurs, hopefully, not at least for another hundred years or more, mistakes will be made again for the exact same reason.

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    Mute Michael Flanagan
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    Sep 29th 2021, 5:01 AM

    ‘The next two weeks are vital’ – still it implies an intelligent educated population in this country

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    Mute Csilla
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    Sep 28th 2021, 10:44 PM

    Remembering when New Zealand’s Ms Ardern said last year: ‘I was just looking at Ireland, their stepping down is taking them through to July before some people are back in work.”

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    Mute Mick Dunne
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    Sep 29th 2021, 10:17 AM

    I disagree when they say that Ireland was the worst in the world at the start of the year.India was actually the worst in the world.

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    Mute Ger O'Reilly
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    Sep 29th 2021, 1:12 PM

    Looks great when you apply the Trump formula for bringing down the numbers. Stop doing tests and the positivity numbers drop. Or someone has an underlying health condition and dies with Covid then they didn’t die of Covid according to Leo the leak. Don’t report the daily deaths and Looks like we’re heading in the right direction.

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    Mute Em Gee
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    Sep 29th 2021, 4:27 PM

    Bualadh bos! Aren’t we great! All we had to do was throw away everything our ancestors fought for! They’re spinning in their graves now but shur we can hook them up to the grid to make up for the shortfall in power caused by closing Irish power stations and giving away our electricity to data centres. We’re a great little country!

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