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View of Dublin Bay from Howth Head. Alamy Stock Photo

Sea levels in Dublin Bay have risen at nearly double global rate since 1997, research shows

The research was led by the Hamilton Institute and ICARUS Climate Research Centre at Maynooth University.

NEW RESEARCH FROM Maynooth University has found that sea levels in Dublin Bay have risen at approximately double the global rate between 1997 and 2016. 

The research, led by the Hamilton Institute and ICARUS Climate Research Centre at the university, generated an updated sea level dataset for Dublin stretching from 1938 to 2016.

While the overall trend shows an estimated increase of around 1.1mm per year between 1953 and 2016, sea levels in Dublin Bay rose at a rate of 7mm per year from 1997 to 2016. 

“Fluctuations are identified with sea levels rising from 1982 to 1988, before falling from 1989 to 1996, and once again rising from 1997 to 2016 at a rate of 7mm per year,” said Amin Shoari Nejad, lead author of the research.

“This recent sea level rise is faster than expected at approximately double the rate of global sea level rise,” he said.

Dr Gerard McCarthy, of ICARUS Climate Research Centre and Department of Geography at Maynooth, said: “If you look at too short a timeframe, the fluctuations over decades could impact estimates of trends.

“But this research has taken a longer view and what we are most confident about from looking at the stretch of years is the overall rise.”

The researchers at Maynooth, in collaboration with colleagues at University College Cork (UCC) and Dublin City University (DCU), are continuing to explore the reasons behind the fluctuations.

To carry out their data checks, the researchers compared sea level records for Dublin Port and gauges at Arklow and Howth Harbour, as well as international datasets from the UK and France.

The Dublin Port record was calibrated by adjusting the ‘biased’ high water level measurements that affect the overall calculation of mean sea level. High waters were seen to be rising faster than nearby gauges so a model was built using the stable low water levels to compute mean sea level.

“To correct these mean sea level values, we use a novel Bayesian linear regression that includes the Mean Low Water values as a predictor in the model. We validate the re-created MSL dataset and show its consistency with other nearby tide gauge datasets,” said Shoari Nejad.

“Overall, sea level rise is in line with expected trends, but large multidecadal variability has led to higher rates of rise in recent years,” he added.

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    Mute Dermot O Dwyer
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 7:54 AM

    122 distressed mortgage holders.
    Well thats everyone in my estate sorted, now onto the next estate…

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    Mute Danny Southgate
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 9:38 AM

    That’s the ground floor of my block only 5 more floors to go and 7 more blocks, at this rate it will be 2030 by the time it’s sorted

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    Mute TheIrishBrain
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 10:02 AM

    Repossession is not a solution.

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    Mute Thomas Dooly
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 10:10 AM

    Some want it as a solution ,as in , get on with their life .

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    Mute jim bowe
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 11:24 AM

    Well done to David Hall and everyone at IMHO for taking this initiative and trying to help people. Its a pity Enda and the rest of his pathetic government buried their heads in the sand about mortgage distress. None of them have any morals or allegiance to the Irish people.

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    Mute DaveMac
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 2:14 PM

    Repossession is the only solution for those who are strategically not paying

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    Mute Declan Byrne
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 7:58 AM

    I put a proposal to the bank sell house for 200k and I pay back the 30k as in negative equity over the rest of the lifetime of the mortgage.

    They said no lmao. What a bunch of pric*s. So my choice is to throw the keys at them and and tell them shove it.

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    Mute Crazy
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 8:03 AM

    They can’t legally stop you selling your home at the market price. Don’t let that one go. Get back onto them!

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    Mute OU812
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 9:04 AM

    The issue (as far as they see it) is that the €30k is unsecured & if you were to default, claim insolvency or go bankrupt, there’s nothing they can do to get it back.

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    Mute Nicky O'Donnell
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 9:40 AM

    This is 0.001 % of distressed mortgage holders.

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    Mute Alan Scott
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 8:58 AM

    While the rest of us are paying through the nose for our mortgage with no help Aib are trying to entice people who owe them just to talk and probably won’t have to pay very little Owe Thousand to the bank and they come after you if you cannot pay but owe three hundred thousand. they will put out the red carpet to greet you

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    Mute Thomas Dooly
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 9:38 AM

    Alan , there’s no red carpet for mortgage holders in distress , they keep that one for people in debt to the tune of millions .

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    Mute Alan Scott
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 9:50 AM

    Thomas with respect we could be here posting for a week I have my views on this I know there are people out there who are doing their best not including them but there are lots more who are just sitting back .

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    Mute Thomas Dooly
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 10:04 AM

    Agree with the one about posting for a week , but there is also a lot more whom are trying their best than the ones than are not ..

    Maybe this scheme will work , who knows ..;)

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    Mute Danny Southgate
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 9:35 AM

    The reason this was set up was because some people actually stood up to the bank and told them where to go, don’t think for one minute this was set up for the benefit of the customer, this is a basket case of a bank with very poor record keeping and to date has cost the taxpayer over 20 billion which will be never be repaid , AIB in the 80s got into trouble buying an insurance company which at the time meant they had to be bailed out and that money was never paid back so I don’t see much hope for this money been returned, according to the report 22 people got a write down but if you read between the lines it is all voluntary surrender, this look likes to me that this group of 22 bought houses at the top of the market and will never have the money to repay, so the bank knowing they will never get paid allowed a voluntary surrender instead of paying legal fees, not exactly ground breaking stuff, still it is only 3 months old so let’s see if Mr hall comes up with something of benefit to the customers of AIB or is this a very sly way of the bank getting what they want by using a 3rd party and then when the shit hits the fan saying it’s nothing to do with us, only time will tell

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    Mute Thomas Dooly
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 9:36 AM

    Just a glorified debt collection agency

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    Mute Philip
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 9:51 AM

    This is only happening with aib because its over 95% controlled and owned by the state

    Its taxpayers money

    This would never happen with BOI or Ulster bank

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    Mute Alan Scott
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 9:05 AM

    A red thumb already maybe another satisfied customer who won’t have to pay.

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    Mute coolio
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 12:30 PM

    AIB are great at doing a restructuring deal

    Line right up on your go on the spinning wheel

    Bailed them all out with plenty of dosh

    One big problem , they kept the stash

    Conquer and divide is alive and well

    The ordinary punter can go to hell

    7
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    Mute Ogochukwu
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 12:43 PM

    What’s going down ,,lol Mr Hall dids people hand over their homes and pay €900 a month for next 6 years ..lol youse did great deal ,,but for who ..lol Nomore chasing ambulances ..lol chasing people in debt ..lol more money in that ..lol

    Tell Ogochukwu more about this please ..lol youse were on before ..we need to hear ..how much you making ..lol what are the margins in profits from €150,000 do you get 20% nice mon for some..lol

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    Mute Alan Scott
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 9:41 AM

    Thomas not a collection agency its a get out jail agency.

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    Mute Danny Southgate
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 10:04 AM

    Alan let’s put things into prospective here, worst case scenario all distressed mortgages in the state would come to around 10 billion, that’s the same total as the top 6 developers in Nama, who have kept everything plus got a salsify of 4 k per week walk around change, so why should Mary and Johnny give 2 FCUKs about AIb or any other bank who no matter what they do, no matter how much they blow and piss away can never fail, and when the do FCUK up get retirement packages in the millions and tax free hand shakes, remember the CEO saying I would sooner die than take state money, what happened??? Well that tosser is still alive and claiming 500k per year while studying history in trinity, o and yes they took over 20 billion, so let’s not start shouting at each other that’s what they want to distract from what they done, remember Duffy with the crap line of up to 30% strategic defaulters! the only defaulters in the room that day was him! that was crap to turn people against each other end of story,

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    Mute Thomas Dooly
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 10:09 AM

    Alan , there is over 100,000 people in work that are in mortgage arrears ,that is staggering ..

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    Mute Alan Scott
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 10:44 AM

    Danny I respect your views concerning banks builders developers I and many more were hard pressed paying our mortgage down through the years I had tough times many years ago when our overtime hours were wiped out had to manage with no help from no one we got through it when every door was shut against us. What has happened now people went in over their heads with no thought given on the if word builders built nice houses with posh names nice entrances then on comes the victims with very little end up with a new house car and maybe two holidays with no planning for times changing

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    Mute Danny Southgate
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 11:50 AM

    Alan I know of a tradesman had his mortgage, business loan and truck lease with AIB, the truck cost him 54 k to be paid over 5 years, after paying over 34 k off the balance he fell behind with payments, he was behind €1500 when they sent people to reposes, he argued with them that he had payment protection with them to cover him for 12 months of payments, which they denied, they took his truck and sold it for 9 k even though it was worth over 25 k, this put this man out of work completely” he then fell behind with the mortgage and when asked why he could not pay he explained to the manager about his truck been taken back the manager did not want to know, that was 2010, since then that man has struggled to pay his way and one week before christmass 2013 AIB sent him a cheque for €500, with a letter saying here is a refund for the payment protection on the truck that we told you you never had, when he phoned up to see about this he was told by some condescending old cow that the bank were going trough a hard time back then, that AIB for you a bunch of lying thugs with no morals

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    Mute Nigel O Keeffe
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 12:38 PM

    Can your mate not take them to court?by refunding the premium would they have admitted breaking the terms and being partly at least ..responsible for his financial loss?

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    Mute Danny Southgate
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 1:43 PM

    Yea he has been to 3 or 4 solicitors who all want money up front, all of them said to write to the ombudsman, he thinks he now has a good solicitor on board so hopefully things will work out

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    Mute Eric Davies
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 2:16 PM

    danny I had something similar happen to me only with bank of Ireland, in 2008 I took out a small 5k business loan, they also talked me into having ppi , in 2010 I had a health problem and could not work, so I applied for the ppi to be paid. I was then told that I was not covered as I didn’t have a v.a.t certificate of payment, it was explained to the insurance company (a company who I have since found out is partly or wholly owned by b.o.i.) that as I was earning less than 20k per year turnover from the business I didn’t need to have a vat registration , the bank actually backed me up on my claim, but the insurance company declined , they then returned my ‘premiums’ to the bank (650 euro) and cancelled the policy. the bank’s business loans dept in dublin then called me in for default on my loan payments, I told them I had been waiting for the insurance to be sorted, they then denied that there was ever a policy in place. this led to them closing all my accounts and demanding repayment of loans and overdraft facility. I was contacted by 3 firms of solicitors each looking for ‘settlement ‘ I told them what had gone on and that ii was no longer in apposition to pay anything, we went to mab’s and they settled for 1.50 (1 euro and 50 cent) per month each , i’ll be long dead before I ever pay off even the legal fees, but its all there getting from me. if they had acted in an honest way in the beginning most of the loan money would now be paid back, but they wanted it both ways, not to pay out the insurance and to get me to pay back what was owing, banks and insurance are nothing but legalised robbers.

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    Mute Danny Southgate
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    Feb 3rd 2014, 2:26 PM

    Did you have any dealings with the ombudsman or is that a closed shop as well

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