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Euro sign outside the European Central Bank in Frankfurt, Germany. Alamy Stock Photo

Eurozone inflation hits record high of 7.5% as growth slows amid Ukraine war

The figure is the highest recorded by the European statistics office since the publication of this indicator began in January 1997.

THE EUROZONE ECONOMY felt the fallout from the Ukraine war as output slowed and inflation stayed at record levels, official data showed today, imperilling Europe’s recovery from the pandemic.

The EU statistics agency said growth in the 19 countries that use the euro crawled along at 0.2% between January and March, down from 0.3% in the final quarter of 2021.

For the European Union as a whole, gross domestic product grew by 0.4% in the first quarter, after 0.5% in the last three months of 2021.

Among major economies, Spain and Germany saw growth of 0.3% and 0.2% respectively in the first three months of the year. France was flat and Italy down, minus 0.2%.

The small increase in eurozone growth “means that the region will avoid a technical recession in the first half of the year at least,” said Andrew Kenningham, Chief Europe Economist at Capital Economics.

“But rising inflation and the fallout from the Ukraine war mean that GDP is likely to contract in the next quarter,” he said.

Price shock

Compared to a year ago, the growth level in Europe still remains high, coming off the big crashes in GDP because of the coronavirus pandemic that put the global economy on its knees.

This meant that the growth rate year-on-year was up a solid 5% for the eurozone, and 5.2% for the wider EU, compared to the first quarter of 2021.

The big shock remains consumer prices, with the economy handicapped by the rise in consumer prices, especially in the energy sector because of the war in Ukraine.

Consumer prices in the eurozone soared by a record 7.5% in April, up from a revised 7.4% the month before, Eurostat said.

These figures are the highest recorded by the European statistics office since the publication of this indicator began in January 1997.

Inflation has broken a new record each month since November, though the leap in April was more moderate than previous months.

In April, the highest rate of increase was recorded for energy prices, which was up by 38%. This increase was slightly slower compared to March when it reached 44%.

Rate hikes?

The European Central Bank believes that inflation will gradually diminish from the current eye-watering levels, but remain well higher than its target 2% for the rest of 2022 at least.

The ECB has faced pressure to increase rates and rein back stimulus that critics say stokes inflation, but Christine Lagarde, the central bank’s president, has said cutting off the taps abruptly would achieve little.

“If I raise interest rates today, it is not going to bring the price of energy down,” Lagarde told US network CBS this week.

But ING economist Bert Colijn said that Friday’s continued growth figures, even if feeble, meant the ECB was “likely to act sooner rather than later” on rate hikes.

“While the economy remains weak… don’t expect the ECB to wait much longer,” he said.

Analysts agreed that given the unknowns on the war in Ukraine, the outlook for the European economy over the coming months remained highly uncertain.

© AFP 2022

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    Mute Lewis Armstrong
    Favourite Lewis Armstrong
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    Sep 23rd 2023, 11:33 AM

    There are in fact bad dog breeds and it is not just about bad owners. These are animals and can just snap; the key issue is whether a dog could be capable of killing a small child and, if so, they should be banned. If a dog cannot be physically overpowered by an adult then there is no question it should be destroyed and banned. No value to society having these types of creatures kept in peoples homes.

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    Mute Wombleman
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    Sep 23rd 2023, 11:57 AM

    @Lewis Armstrong: couldn’t agree more. Focus should be on propensity to do extreme physical harm and nothing else.

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    Mute Tommy Haze
    Favourite Tommy Haze
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    Sep 23rd 2023, 12:55 PM

    Saw a young woman walking down the street with an American bully recently.
    Her dog spotted another dog across the street and took off. He literally dragged her on the ground across the street. Fortunately the other dog had skidaddled.
    She got up, her jeans were ripped from being dragged.
    She said:
    ‘Brutus, behave yourself’
    She had no control of that dog.

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    Mute Paul
    Favourite Paul
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    Sep 23rd 2023, 5:00 PM

    Guns dont kill people, people kill people.

    Rabid killer fighting dogs dont kill people, bad owners do..blah blah blah.

    1. Muzzle all dogs in public.
    2. Impound and euthanized unmuzzled dogs
    3. Make owners fully criminally responsible for the actions of their killer pets.
    4. Enforce the above strictly.

    No more dog attacks.

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    Mute Cornelius Murphy
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    Aug 29th 2024, 10:08 PM

    There is NO enforcement of dog laws. we need police and dog wardens…..

    (yes, I have two licenced rescue dogs)

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