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The IMF's Ajai Chopra: the best hope for Ireland getting back to bond markets is if European leaders implement a deal to split Ireland's bank debts from the Irish state. Julien Behal/PA Archive

IMF turns up heat on demands for Irish bank debt deal

The latest IMF quarterly review says having the ESM take a direct stake in Irish banks is the best way back to the markets.

THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND has upped the ante in the talks on a deal to split Ireland’s banking debts from its sovereign debts, calling on the Eurozone’s finance ministers to implement a previous agreement without delay.

The IMF’s latest quarterly update on Ireland’s progress under the bailout repeatedly refers to the deal reached by European finance leaders on June 29, when it was agreed that ministers would take whatever measures were necessary to split the banking burden from the sovereign one.

The report, published this afternoon, outlines that the best-case scenario for helping Ireland return to the bond markets is for the European Stability Mechanism to take an equity stake in Ireland’s banks – effectively meaning that the ESM would match the money invested in the banks by the Irish state, freeing up Ireland to take its own investment back out again.

In the report, the IMF writes that breaking the link between the banks and the state is the single most important task to “improve the sustainability of the well-performing adjustment programme”.

“Material investments in Irish banks by the ESM could transform the public debt outlook, cut the bank–sovereign link, and cement a needed win for Europe,” it bluntly states.

“More broadly, Ireland’s policy programme is sound and adjustment is being delivered, providing strong prospects for program[me] success. These would be improved by more benign market conditions and more effective policy action at the European level,” it later adds.

The report is positive about Ireland’s progress to date, halfway through the EU-IMF lending programme, and notes that Ireland’s deficit reduction plan was ahead of schedule by the end of July – but added that similar progress in 2013 could be undone by further financial risks.

The government had done commendable work and had ”restored policy credibility, but risks to outlook remain substantial,” the report said. “Ireland must continue to deliver on the many difficult steps needed to underpin a sustained economic recovery.”

Europe poses risk to recovery

Though the report remarks that lots has been done to stabilise the economy and begin to bring Ireland back to the bond markets, “public debt is high and still growing” – while the banks are still not supplying the needs of households and SMEs.

It later adds that “deep and sustained financial sector reform efforts are needed to restore banks’ ability to support sound credit and revive domestic demand” – adding that it was vital for the banking sector to return to profitability so that lenders were encouraged to offer credit to households and businesses.

With the debt crisis continuing to cast an uncertain future on the outlook for the Eurozone, exports are also at risk – meaning the overall economic recovery remains very risky.

The report sees the IMF rein in its projection for Irish economic growth in 2013 – from 1.9 per cent to 1.4 per cent, largely as a result of a drop in demand for Irish exports as the economies of continental Europe continue to stutter.

IMF country director Craig Beaumont told a conference call of reporters that there was no ‘Plan B’ for alternative funding for Ireland if it had not regained market access by the time the first funding package had run out.

Asked by TheJournal.ie if a contingency plan was in place should the German constitutional court rule that the ESM is illegal, Beaumont said the current plans were being applied “very vigorously”.

“We’ll come to that hurdle when we reach it,” he said.

Read: Ireland making ‘such good progress on all fronts’ – Van Rompuy

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56 Comments
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    Mute Leslie Alan Rock
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    Mar 13th 2013, 3:33 PM

    Anyone but F.F.,F.G., Labour and the greens. Here’s your chance to show em meat east.

    85
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    Mute David Higgins
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    Mar 13th 2013, 4:14 PM

    Combined FF, FG, Labour and Green vote in Meath East at recent general elections:

    2007: 86.7%
    2011: 82.6%

    Not impossible to defeat, but unlikely, especially with the betting odds showing a clear fight between FF and FG for the seat.

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    Mute jenny rosen
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    Mar 13th 2013, 4:20 PM

    The letters requesting payment for the property tax introduced by FG landing in peoples letterboxs,should give FG a win.

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    Mute michael o'toole
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    Mar 14th 2013, 3:04 PM

    not so sure jenny
    i reckon the sympathy vote will sway it for the bluesahirts
    so much for the ‘new politics’ FG/Labour promised us !!

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    Mute Pierce2020
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    Mar 13th 2013, 3:49 PM

    11 applicants for one job, the pay and conditions must be terrible.

    53
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    Mute Regonald Timpson
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    Mar 13th 2013, 4:32 PM

    We are past the point of no return. The voters will make their intentions clear: a majority want the property tax repealed. If it means voting Fine Gael TD’s out of office, so be it. Whatever it takes to make it happen. Ask the average voter what it means to charge someone for water and they’ll respond similar.

    36
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    Mute David Higgins
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    Mar 13th 2013, 4:52 PM

    With Fianna Fáil poised to do well, don’t be fooled by their promise not to introduce a property tax. They laid the foundation for this tax when in government and have not expressed a desire to repeal it. Their position is opportunistic and is only a cheap attempt to gain the votes of urban voters who so rightly abandoned them after their reckless property market policies left the likes of Meath East devastated with pyrite, negative equity and large mortgage arrears.

    1997-2011. Never forget.

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    Mute Regonald Timpson
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    Mar 13th 2013, 4:57 PM

    Mr. Higgins,

    That leaves Sinn Fein as the only alternative.

    43
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    Mute David Higgins
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    Mar 13th 2013, 4:58 PM

    Not if you look at Property Taxes in Northern Ireland….

    23
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    Mute Regonald Timpson
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    Mar 13th 2013, 5:09 PM

    Even if what you say is true, that wouldn’t stop people voting the government TD’s out of office.

    27
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    Mute Conor
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    Mar 13th 2013, 5:11 PM

    It is true

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    Mute Leonard Washington
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    Mar 13th 2013, 5:13 PM

    And look at what services the property tax in the north gives. David your quite could at lying and twisting things, you’ll make a good blueshirt alright

    42
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    Mute Regonald Timpson
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    Mar 13th 2013, 5:15 PM

    ” WE WILL ABOLISH PROPERTY TAX, INSISTS TD DOHERTY ”

    “For Sinn Féin opposing a tax on the family home is a core issue and is not one we will discard as others have done. Sinn Féin will continue to campaign in the Oireachtas and across the state to repeal this unfair tax.”

    http://www.donegaldaily.com/2013/03/01/we-will-abolish-property-tax-insists-td-doherty/#comment-53590

    31
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    Mute Mark Moloney
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    Mar 13th 2013, 7:57 PM

    David, you seem to be mixing up Property Tax and Rates.

    Rates in the North include your waste collection and recycling services (you have to pay for that here), water and sewerage (will soon have to pay for that here), prescription charges (have to pay for that here), school books for children (have to pay for those here), emergency services (have to pay call out charge here), along with funding for local youth clubs, community centres etc…

    Stop talking crap.

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    Mute michael o'toole
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    Mar 14th 2013, 3:01 PM

    @ David Higgins
    you say –
    “Not if you look at Property Taxes in Northern Ireland….”

    the Minister for Finance of the Six Counties is an English Tory.

    1
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    Mute Martin Sinnott
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    Mar 13th 2013, 3:56 PM

    They can’t help themselves, they always want to keep the seat in the Family as if they have a divine right to all the expenses.

    50
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    Mute just readin
    Favourite just readin
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    Mar 13th 2013, 3:43 PM

    Heartening to see so many people want to put there name forward to represent the good people of Meath East…

    its hardly the pay and conditions that attract them … oh, hang on, wait a minute ..

    43
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    Mute Leonard Washington
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    Mar 13th 2013, 4:13 PM

    Be sure not to completely fill out the ballot paper folks. Only mark in order of your preference and only the candidates you like. (it will lessen the vote transfers for FG+LAB=FF) as we all know these 3 parties will be giving each other their votes. :-)

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    Mute David Higgins
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    Mar 13th 2013, 4:19 PM

    That’s a wasted vote. All other candidates will be eliminated. Even Ben Gilroy admits he’ll be eliminated but that he’s building a base for the general election. I suspect the mood is likewise for Sinn Féin.

    Express a preference for FF over FG, or vice versa. At least secure the second worst outcome instead of THE worst outcome. You have that power with a vote in Meath East. Don’t waste it.

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    Mute jenny rosen
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    Mar 13th 2013, 4:41 PM

    David a vote is only wasted if someone refuses to exercise their right.
    People should only give their no1 and stop at that if they wish no transfer to occur.

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    Mute Everlast McCarthy
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    Mar 13th 2013, 4:42 PM

    @David – you would love living in the States – Democrats or Republicans – two choices only.

    Clearly living in Ireland, where there are more than two on the ballot sheet, confuses you.

    40
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    Mute Regonald Timpson
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    Mar 13th 2013, 4:45 PM

    Seriously David, I would doubt that. Freedom of choice. I have a freedom of choice when a government tries to confiscate what I earn to pay a Family Home Tax. Not to mention anti-democratic policies, all directly against the majority wishes of the people. At least other opposition parties got it right by tabling a repeal bill for this home tax. I give them credit for that. Maybe there are alternatives afterall…

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    Mute David Higgins
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    Mar 13th 2013, 4:55 PM

    Any first preference for other candidates will of course register in the statistics of the election, but it will have absolutely no bearing on the *outcome* of the election i.e who takes the seat.

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    Mute Leonard Washington
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    Mar 13th 2013, 5:17 PM

    The only wasted vote is for your or your 2 sister parties Dave. Die hard fine gaeler tellin people to vote FF, all about the transfers Dave. That’s all you are lookin for.

    28
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    Mute David Higgins
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    Mar 13th 2013, 5:30 PM

    And if I don’t look for transfers, Fianna Fáil WILL take this seat.

    We can’t let that happen.

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    Mute Leonard Washington
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    Mar 13th 2013, 5:35 PM

    Your going to get fianna fails transfers anyway Dave!! Pull the other one it has bells on it.

    24
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    Mute Martin
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    Mar 13th 2013, 9:24 PM

    Why dont FG/FF merge theres absolutley no difference between them save the history. You might need to merge come next election anyway if you want your far right policies to be represented at all.

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    Mute Martin
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    Mar 13th 2013, 9:26 PM

    Dat comment was for Mr Higgins.

    5
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    Mute Damian Moran
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    Mar 13th 2013, 9:57 PM

    At this stage you could also put Labour in the same pot.

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    Mute Michael
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    Mar 14th 2013, 11:16 PM

    This “far right” is none sense. Corrupt is corrupt, left and right doesn’t matter

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    Mute Aran Fitzpatrick
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    Mar 13th 2013, 3:45 PM

    DDI are having a meeting tonight in Kells.

    https://www.facebook.com/events/571202109571027/?

    39
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    Mute Pierce2020
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    Mar 13th 2013, 3:48 PM

    You should join the crowd outside the Dail

    9
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    Mute Biggins31
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    Mar 13th 2013, 5:19 PM

    I shall be attending.

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    Mute Biggins31
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    Mar 13th 2013, 5:20 PM

    I’m the one with the Nikon D3100 camera!
    Come over and say “Hello.”

    12
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    Mute Biggins31
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    Mar 13th 2013, 5:18 PM

    In the Meath by-election please consider Ben Gilroy of Direct Democracy as a new alternative to the tired political endless cycle of wasters, liars and u-turn artists before.

    34
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    Mute Dawn Keeballs
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    Mar 13th 2013, 3:49 PM

    Ben Gilroy the man who doesn’t recognise the laws of the land as he hasn’t consented to them wants to be elected. Suppose he is now deemed to be a consenting citizen and is therefore subject to all statutes

    34
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    Mute Brian Daly
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    Mar 13th 2013, 4:49 PM

    Is he one of these Freemen of the land dudes?

    13
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    Mute Biggins31
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    Mar 13th 2013, 5:23 PM

    No, he is not Brain – and Ben Gilroy has broken NO laws.
    Is legal liable now allowed on journal.ie?

    30
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    Mute censored
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    Mar 14th 2013, 4:37 AM

    There are no free men in Ireland.

    1
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    Mute Dawn Keeballs
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    Mar 14th 2013, 9:33 AM

    I didn’t say he had broken any law I said he doesn’t consent to them there is a difference.

    1
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    Mute Al S Macthomais
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    Mar 13th 2013, 5:20 PM

    If anybody votes for FG/FF/LAB/GREEn traitorous candidates are elected these idiots gombeen sheeple deserve all the crippling taxes that are planned to be unleashed.don’t complain on this or any other forum about taxes in one form or another if these parasicitic euro file low life are elected.

    29
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    Mute Brian Rochford
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    Mar 13th 2013, 3:38 PM

    I would vote for Screaming Lord Sutch if I could …..

    29
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    Mute Paul Anthony Ward
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    Mar 13th 2013, 4:03 PM

    While I’ll naturally be out on the doors for Thomas Byrne, fair play to all 11 in putting their names forward. Not an easy thing to do for any of them considering all the destructive negativity out there..

    24
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    Mute jenny rosen
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    Mar 13th 2013, 4:06 PM

    I would imagine going to the door on behalf of a FF candidate is not easy,as for negitivity towards politicians,seriously are you surprised?

    38
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    Mute Leslie Alan Rock
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    Mar 13th 2013, 4:11 PM

    You need to tune into national feeling pal. Have you been living in a cave these few years?

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    Mute David Higgins
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    Mar 13th 2013, 4:17 PM

    Has cynicism on this site eroded to the point where we can’t even congratulate someone for putting themselves forward for election?

    “Sure they were only in it for the money”

    Jesus wept

    20
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    Mute Julie
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    Mar 13th 2013, 4:33 PM

    There is nothing natural about that!

    12
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    Mute Leonard Washington
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    Mar 13th 2013, 5:26 PM

    Did i hear you congratulate ddi,sf or swp? I think not. Now get back to your dog.

    24
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    Mute censored
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    Mar 14th 2013, 4:38 AM

    I’ll vote for the one who donates the money to SVP.

    1
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    Mute Pierce2020
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    Mar 13th 2013, 3:33 PM

    Thomas Byrne, will win if like everything else in my life it is decided alphabetically.

    22
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    Mute D a i t h i
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    Mar 13th 2013, 6:26 PM

    I’d rather vote for FF than give a vote to an inheritance candidate. The very idea turns my stomach, we need people on the Dail for their qualities not some pathetic sympathy vote.

    14
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    Mute Regonald Timpson
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    Mar 13th 2013, 8:30 PM

    So why to you is this any different? It shows how tough it is to be the adult in the room with this kind of choice-making. Would you not consider alternative parties?

    Sinn Fein’s candidate Darren O’Rourke has a degree in Biomedical Science and a Masters from Trinity College and the Royal College of Surgeons, from what I’ve read here:

    http://irishelectionliterature.files.wordpress.com/2013/03/dorourkehi1.jpg

    13
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    Mute Damian Moran
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    Mar 13th 2013, 9:16 PM

    People of Meath East,
    Vote for anyone but FF,FG,Lab.
    We need to send these guy a message.
    The direction they are taking us is not
    What the people of Ireland want.E.U.and top civil servants dictating policy. We need change.

    11
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    Mute Darren Ó hUiginn
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    Mar 13th 2013, 9:09 PM

    Make no mistake this is a big seat, I hope the voters of Meath East are in tune with the rest of the country.

    9
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    Mute Jimbohs
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    Mar 14th 2013, 12:56 AM

    11 candidates.
    11 liars.
    11 self fulfilling individuals.
    11 state pension seekers.
    11 people who will do nothing.
    11 who will receive the ire of us voters.

    I will be intrigued to see how many get off their arses and bother calling to my door, I’ll keep you posted.

    5
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    Mute Betty Martin
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    Mar 13th 2013, 9:47 PM

    They will b no good like the rest of them promise u the birds in the bushes when they get in they wil tell u to go out and catch them yourself.ba

    3
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    Mute David Washington
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    Mar 13th 2013, 7:06 PM

    Back to rubbing your dogs private area you. Vile beast of a man.

    2
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