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Marina Tauber, the former tennis player turned public face of Moldova's pro-Russia party. Dan Morar

Coup rumours, Oligarchs, and pro-Russia agitators: What's going on in Moldova?

With voters split between pro-western and pro-Russia parties, Moldova is at a crossroads ahead of the next election.

AGAINST THE BACKDROP of the war in Ukraine, tensions between Russia and Moldova are steadily rising. As voters in Moldova are split between the pro-EU government and the pro-Russia opposition, the next election looms in the near distance, and every provocation by Moscow is having an impact. 

On Friday government leaders had to refute claims made by Russia that Ukraine has intentions to “invade” the pro-Russia breakaway region of Moldova, Transnistria, as the Kremlin pledged a “response”. 

“The Kyiv regime has stepped up preparations for the invasion of the Transnistrian Moldavian Republic,” a statement from the Kremlin said, as it claimed that Ukrainian troops were amassing on the border. 

The government in Moldova rejected these claims outright. President Maia Sandu said that there are “some” who want the country to fall, and to see a “puppet government enslaved to the interests of the Kremlin”. 

This latest provocation comes after Russia’s President Vladimir Putin decided to revoke a 2012 decree that underpinned Moldovan sovereignty in terms of the future of Transnistria, earlier this week. 

On its website the Kremlin issued a vague statement, saying that the decree was pulled to “ensure the national interest of Russia in connection with the profound changes taking place in international relations”.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February of last year has put Moldova in an increasingly difficult position. Sandwiched between Romania and Ukraine, the 2.6 million people in Moldova have been hit by the highest inflation rate in Europe and soaring energy bills, due to dependence on Russian gas and the cost of importing electricity from Europe. 

Experts and key political figures in Moldova believe that recent provocations by Russia are more an attempt to destabilise the country economically and politically before the next election in two years time, than intent on taking any military action along the lines of what has happened to Ukraine. 

Coup allegations 

Pro-western President Maia Sandu said last week that Russia has exacerbated the country’s energy crisis in order to “cause major discontent among the population and lead to violent protests”.

As Russia is accusing Ukraine of plans to invade, Sandu has accused the Kremlin of planning a secret “coup” to topple her government, which Russia has roundly denied. 

She said that Moscow has a plan to cause disruption in the country involving military-trained “diversionists” who would “carry out attacks on buildings of state institutions or even take hostages”. 

The country’s head of security recently told the BBC that it has become very clear that Russia is an “aggressor state”. 

Rosian Vasiloi said that the threat Moldova is currently facing started with the invasion of Ukraine. Last April, explosions in the separatist region triggered alarm internationally, but since then, the threat of destabilisation has been carried out through political means. 

Vasiloi said that Russia’s aggression has now changed, and that it is coming from “inside and outside of Moldova”. 

He also said that Moldova will be “next”, “if Ukraine falls”. 

President Sandu’s political party, the Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS), is facing real pressure to show that it can take quick action on fixing the economy, pursue an anti-corruption agenda in a bid to gain EU membership, and to prove that its police force can tackle “internal forces” sowing pro-Russia sentiment.

Dr James Kapaló, a Moldova expert at University College Cork (UCC), said that everything Sandu’s government does now will matter to voters, and will impact the future of the country, but he also said that the outcome of the war in Ukraine will have a huge impact. 

Moldova is at a crossroads. Roughly 30% of the population back pro-western parties, 30% are in favour of the pro-Russia opposition, and a group of people in the middle “can be influenced by economic factors and political arguments”, according to Dr Kapaló. 

Protests and ‘infiltrators’ 

Moldova is an ethnically diverse country. Ukrainians, Russians, Gagauz (a Turkic ethnic group), Roma people, and Bulgarians all live there. Since Russia invaded Ukraine, there has also been an influx of refugees. 

There are people who speak Romanian, and follow Romanian news sources, and people who speak Russian, who get their news from Russian sources. 

National identity is complex in Moldova. Although the country’s 1994 constitution asserted that the official language is Moldovan, in reality this language is the same as Romanian, which a majority of people speak, meaning that many get their news from Romanian sources (in 2013 the country’s constitutional court ruled that the state language should in fact be Romanian). 

However, Russian, Gagauz, Ukrainian and Bulgarian are all minority languages in the country, with Russian being the most prominent, so therefore a large cohort of people get their news from Russian sources. 

The country has suffered from a brain drain, following a dramatic wave of depopulation following the end of the Soviet era. 

The separatist region of the country seceded from Moldova one year before the break up of the Soviet Union. There was a brief war between Moldova and the Transnistria separatists in 1992, but it has been relatively peaceful since. Around 1,500 Russian “peacekeeping” troops are still stationed in the region, which contains just under 500,000 people. It is not internationally recognised. 

Dr Kapaló explains that there is also a generational divide in the country which manifests itself in the split between pro-western and pro-Russia voters:

“Younger generations have more access to western media. Sometimes, older people – including those who speak Romanian – will feel nostalgic towards the Soviet era, because however bad it got, at least things were stable, and they knew what they could expect from the state.”

Now wages are low, prices are high, and there is an element of desperation that is adding to this nostalgia.

On Sunday, protests led by Moldova’s pro-Russia Sor party took place in the capital city of Chisinau, demanding that Sandu stand down. 

chisinaumoldova-february192023protestrallyinthe Marina Tauber at the recent protests. Image: Shutterstock Shutterstock / snob Shutterstock / snob / snob

Marina Tauber, Sor’s general secretary, who was previously a professional tennis player, led the protests and stated that her party is not opposed to the EU, but other members of the party have spoken openly about their pro-Russian stances before. 

The protest was smaller than similar ones carried out last autumn, and it passed off peacefully. 

However, 57 people from nations friendly to Russia were denied entry to Moldova in the last few days after checks by security services, and Moldova’s airspace was closed for several hours. 

Dr Kapaló said that these citizens were suspected of being on their way to “infiltrate” the protests and cause trouble. 

Russia has denied these claims, and said that the protests were a reflection of the country’s economic crisis.

chisinaumoldova-february192023protestrallyinthe Chisinau, Moldova. A Protest rally in the center of Chisinau, on 19 February. Shutterstock / snob Shutterstock / snob / snob

“By taking swift action Sandu is combatting doubts that the State doesn’t have the capacity to deal with these agitators, but she’s consistently proved her ability to act agilely enough to do so,” he said. 

The role of oligarchs 

Moldova has urged the EU to take strong actions against an oligarch called Ilan Shor who the government has accused of spreading social unrest with Russia’s backing – claims that have been roundly denied by both Moscow and Shor. 

Earlier this week, Moldova’s Foreign Minister Nicu Popescu made the claims about Ilan Shor when speaking to the Financial Times in Brussels. 

ilan shor Ilan Shor. Photo from the political party's website.

Shor is the founder of one of Moldova’s main opposition parties (which is named after him). Popescu said that the EU needs to sanction Shor as there are risks of a “coup d’etat” backed by the oligarch. 

In 2019 Shor fled Moldova after he was convicted of money laundering and embezzlement in a bank fraud scandal that saw one billion siphoned from the country. Prosecutors in his home country have called for him to be extradited from Israel, where he is currently based. 

Marina Tauber is now the public face of the political party, though she was also investigated last year and was placed under house arrest, while authorities looked into whether the Sor party had received money from organised crime. She dismissed the investigation and denied all allegations. 

The party is not the only pro-Russia one in Moldova, and it faces competition from other opposition parties. 

International support

Biden met with Sandu this week in Warsaw, and reaffirmed strong US support for the country’s sovereignty and “territorial integrity”. 

According to a press release from the White House, Biden highlighted ongoing US assistance to help Moldova strengthen its “political and economic resilience, including its democratic reform agenda and energy security, and to address the effects of the war against Ukraine.”

Sandu has invited Biden to Chisinau, but it is not yet clear if he will be accepting the invitation. 

The EU is also backing reforms in Moldova. In January of this year, it agreed to increase an ongoing financial assistance package by €145 million, bringing the total amount of support to the country to up to €295 million.

The European Commission stated that the increase in funds would go towards helping Moldova to deal with the “fallout from Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine, battling an energy crisis, and a high number of refugees from Ukraine”. 

The President has taken other actions to garner further support from voters, including putting forward a new Prime Minster, Dorin Recean after his predecessor resigned, citing a lack of party support. 

Political analyst Valeriu Pasha said that the change was made because the government was being eroded by “several crises” and had a “negative image”. 

“There was a need for a reset,” Pasha added. 

UCC expert Dr Kapaló added: “It is important for Sandu to maintain momentum now, unless there is an improvement to economic situation in Moldova, it is not hard to imagine voters turning against her.” 

- Includes reporting from AFP.  

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    Mute Larry Bird
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    Jan 20th 2014, 2:20 PM

    I hate this “traditional” bullsh!t! it was traditional to kill someone who questioned religion 500 years ago. do we still do it? No, because it’s wrong plain and simple. the majority of humans are stupid and I don’t think in humane practises like these will ever end when there is such stupidity

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    Mute Pádraig O'hEidhin
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    Jan 20th 2014, 3:25 PM

    Sure they’re only dolphins.

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    Mute Colonel Randy H.Orny
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    Jan 20th 2014, 4:06 PM

    That’s why Mother Nature hits them with tornadoes,earthquakes and other disasters.

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    Mute Homo Erectus
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    Jan 20th 2014, 4:30 PM

    Every country resents being told by other countries that some traditional practice is unethical and should cease. The world is against dolphin fishing but the stubborn Japanese refuse to change, substitute “dolphin fishing” for “destruction of peatlands” and “japan” for “Ireland” and you’ll see that the mentality is similar here. Better the change to come from within than forced from the outside.

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    Mute Trisha Brennan
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    Jan 20th 2014, 6:04 PM

    The main difference is that peat is not herded into a tiny channel, held there for up to 48 hours, starved of food, harassed and scared and thrashing around. Peat does not die a slow agonizing death. Peat is not slaughtered while the rest of the pod watches. The only thing that is similar is that the end product is sold on.

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    Mute James Shanahan
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    Jan 20th 2014, 8:43 PM

    Ye sure what do they do like?? Shag all

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    Mute Keelan O'neill
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    Jan 20th 2014, 2:31 PM

    And to think people wonder why Fungi hangs around Kerry

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    Mute Maurice Quille
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    Jan 20th 2014, 2:44 PM

    It’s because we’re gentle humane folk. We rock :))

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    Mute Pauline Harney Keogh
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    Jan 20th 2014, 4:33 PM

    @Maurice, unfortunately I disagree with your comment, that we are gentle humane folk. Animal welfare in this country is so shocking that we should be ashamed.

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    Mute Tony Campbell
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    Jan 20th 2014, 4:44 PM

    Get a grip will you! We don’t go killing dolphins now do we?

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    Mute Pauline Harney Keogh
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    Jan 20th 2014, 4:53 PM

    @ Tony Campbell, no thankfully we don’t. We just abandon thousands of dogs, cat and horses in this country, leaving them to starve to death or have much worse things done to them.

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    Mute Maurice Quille
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    Jan 20th 2014, 4:56 PM

    Agreed Pauline in certain respects.
    Stricter controls needed in relation to the holding of equine bloodstock within geographical regions.
    Horses have no place in large towns or city regions.
    Registers exist for sexual and child offenders. Same should be said for animals.
    0 tolerance for abuse of herd and bloodstock & here the clinker, the statement that I’ll be red thumbed for:
    Tighter control in relation to dogs in built up areas.
    Uncontrolled roaming, excessive barking and non compliance of owners when asked to address an uncomforting situation.

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    Mute Maurice Quille
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    Jan 20th 2014, 4:58 PM

    Should have gone to specsaversTony

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    Mute Tony Campbell
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    Jan 20th 2014, 5:02 PM

    That makes no sense! You rant about horses and dogs on a story about dolphins?? I think you should of went to specsavers

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    Mute Pauline Harney Keogh
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    Jan 20th 2014, 5:05 PM

    @ I agree with all the points you made.

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    Mute byrondenis
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    Jan 21st 2014, 12:34 AM

    Animals stay around fellow animals

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    Mute Maurice Quille
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    Jan 21st 2014, 1:18 AM

    Tony, can you scroll up and read Paulines reply to my first comment in relation to how cruel us Irish can be to animals. My reply was justified. Whilst it has nothing to do with dolphins as you correctly pointed out it was a directional example of how even in this state we too have to evolve and learn to treat animals with better respect.

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    Mute Trisha Brennan
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    Jan 20th 2014, 2:31 PM

    At the moment, the murderers in Tajii are selecting up to 250 dolphins who will either be sold to Seaworld and their ilk, or who will be killed. Those who’ve already died through starvation and/or exhaustion are sadly, the lucky ones. They’ve trapped a rare albino dolphin calf, whose mother had already died. There is nothing ‘traditional’ about such barbarity. Japan should hang it’s head in shame.

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    Mute Joey Joe Joe
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    Jan 20th 2014, 2:17 PM

    A time honoured revenge for what whales & dolphins did at Hiroshima & Nagasaki.

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    Mute Davin Lynch
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    Jan 20th 2014, 6:00 PM

    It was chicken and cow!

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    Mute Effa Aoife
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    Jan 20th 2014, 2:51 PM

    “The fishermen in Taiji say the hunt is part of their village tradition and call foreign critics who eat other kinds of meat hypocritical.”

    What is tradition about hunting them in motorboats…..or leaving them trapped in the cove for 4 days without food while the young ones are captured to be sold to marine parks….Ive been watching the live stream for the last 3 days on and off. Its disgusting.

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    Mute Johnny Reynolds
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    Jan 20th 2014, 3:53 PM

    Got a link?

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    Mute Cristin Loreto
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    Jan 20th 2014, 5:38 PM
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    Mute Cristin Loreto
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    Jan 20th 2014, 5:40 PM
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    Mute Effa Aoife
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    Jan 20th 2014, 6:45 PM

    http://livestream.seashepherd.org it starts around 10.30pm/11pm irish time

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    Mute Matthew Cummins
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    Jan 20th 2014, 11:34 PM

    It’s disgusting that waterparks around the globe now this.
    If it was tradition to hoarde stray ponies, dog’s and cats to a field then whack them to death……. Would it be Ok?

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    Mute Stephen Barry
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    Jan 20th 2014, 2:41 PM

    Hairy Japanese b@stards.

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    Mute Tara Tevlin
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    Jan 20th 2014, 2:18 PM

    Uncivilised lot have the planet ruined

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    Mute Séamus Mc Allister
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    Jan 20th 2014, 3:45 PM

    They know that basically the entire world is horrified by this and wants them to cease the practice, yet they remain steadfast in their intent to keep it up regardless. Stubborn bunch.

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    Mute Mark
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    Jan 20th 2014, 2:45 PM

    Due to the high mercury content the meat isn’t even safe to eat

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    Mute Denis Riordan
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    Jan 20th 2014, 2:32 PM

    That’s disgusting, f€@king japs

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    Mute Maurice Quille
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    Jan 20th 2014, 2:38 PM

    Time for another nuke

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    Mute A P Muldowney
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    Jan 20th 2014, 4:18 PM

    Ha

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    Mute Pauline Harney Keogh
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    Jan 20th 2014, 3:12 PM

    I wouldn’t critize them for eating dolphin meat but I most defiantly critize them on the manner in which they are killed, it is horrific and inhumane.

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    Mute John Buckley
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    Jan 21st 2014, 2:22 AM

    True. Dolphin is very tasty, but needs to be caught and killed in a more humane way than that!

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    Mute Jenni Sheridan
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    Jan 20th 2014, 3:00 PM

    Filthy b@starts.

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    Mute kjholt
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    Jan 20th 2014, 4:44 PM

    F#%k off back to China ya Japanese bol#%cks..

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    Mute Paul Doyle
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    Jan 20th 2014, 2:27 PM

    Mmmmmm. Dolphin n chips n a can of coke.

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    Mute JB
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    Jan 20th 2014, 5:36 PM

    I’d love to put a few holes in them boats

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    Mute Sarah Kellaghan
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    Jan 20th 2014, 5:37 PM

    Oh it’s traditional is it, oh that’s fine so. Anything goes in the name of culture.

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    Mute Karen
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    Jan 20th 2014, 6:35 PM

    Hate saying it but any wonder why Japan gets hit with tidal waves and earthquakes natural disasters.

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    Mute stephen moore
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    Jan 20th 2014, 7:16 PM

    Well its definitely not cos they kill dolphins.

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    Mute Brendan Harlowe
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    Jan 20th 2014, 9:44 PM

    Weather systems and fault lines? No wonder really .

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    Mute Adrian
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    Jan 20th 2014, 5:58 PM

    How many people who post condemnation here, truly stop and think how that steak came to be on your plate, those leather gloves on your hands or that ham in your sandwich? Sure, this slaughter of dolphins is barbaric, but so is the whole animal commodity industry, just on a much larger scale.

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    Mute Pauline Harney Keogh
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    Jan 20th 2014, 6:43 PM

    @ Adrian, for most people the beef, pork or poultry products that they eat are widely accept as agreeable animals to eat. But what they don’t realise is that a lot of the treatment these animals receive in slaughter houses is just as bad as the way these dolphins are being killed.

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    Mute Chris
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    Jan 20th 2014, 8:25 PM

    Can you provide proof of this happening with in Irish abattoirs ?

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    Mute Adrian
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    Jan 20th 2014, 9:07 PM

    No, I can’t. Can you provide proof that all the meat you eat came from animals raised and killed “humanely”? Besides, it’s not just about the abbatoir stage, there are many opportunities for farmed animals to suffer before their throats are slit. Despite the horrific deaths endured by these dolphins, at least they were free most of their lives. We’re horrified by what happens out in the open in other cultures, yet never seem to want to see what happens closer to home.

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    Mute Pauline Harney Keogh
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    Jan 20th 2014, 9:36 PM

    @ Chris, up until 2010 Slaney Meats were killing cattle in the Kosher method.
    I come from a farming background and have been to abbitors and seen animals being stunned incorrectly, being still conscious as they are strung up and their throats cut.

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    Mute Karen
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    Jan 20th 2014, 9:21 PM

    Karma karma a chara,god of sea pay back.

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    Mute robert ludden
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    Jan 20th 2014, 4:42 PM

    F@€k you whale, fu£k you dolphin!

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    Mute Larry David
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    Jan 20th 2014, 10:34 PM

    A little known fact , Dolphins gang rape their females, not so cute now eh?

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    Mute ChocSaltyBallz
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    Jan 21st 2014, 12:20 AM

    E e eeee eeee ee eeeee eeee eeee eeeee eeee ee
    Translation =
    Jump in de wata wit me I slap u in face wit flippa fin slanty zipa

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    Mute Gerard McCarthy
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    Jan 21st 2014, 3:52 AM

    What happens in Taji is horrible , but such an outburst from mrs Kennedy is almost laughable tweeting how heartbreaking the cull is, on other hand has no problem with drones dropping bombs on innocent people all over Afghanistan and Northern Pakistan!!

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    Mute Gerard McCarthy
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    Jan 21st 2014, 3:53 AM

    Just to be clear don’t agree with the slaughter of dolphins just want to point out hip overact of the us!

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    Mute Paddy Chambers
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    Jan 21st 2014, 12:27 AM

    Of course the US only slaughter Iraqi s and Afgans.

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    Mute George Masterson
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    Jan 20th 2014, 7:41 PM

    As a group, I despise those sea shepherd guys, they are far too close to Eco-terrorists in my eyes.
    The Japanese whale and dolphin hunting is disgusting thought.

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    Mute Lovely weather
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    Jan 20th 2014, 10:25 PM

    Thought?

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    Mute George Masterson
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    Jan 21st 2014, 12:06 AM

    Ruddy predictive text.

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    Mute byrondenis
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    Jan 21st 2014, 12:33 AM

    What’s wrong with this? Everyone benefits so I’m all for it

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