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Consumer prices are estimated to have increased by 4.9% in the year to August. Alamy Stock Photo

Consumer prices in Ireland estimated to have increased by close to 5% in the year to August

Consumer prices are also estimated to have increased by a ‘hefty’ 0.5% in the month since July.

CONSUMER PRICES IN Ireland are estimated to have risen by 4.9% in the 12 months to August.

In its latest flash estimate for the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), the Central Statistics Offices reports that prices have increased by 0.5% since in the month since July.

The HICP is a “harmonised” measure of inflation that is comparable across all countries in the European Union because all the countries follow the same methodology.

The corresponding rates for the Eurozone will be published tomorrow.

Inflation

The annual rate of inflation in August compares to a figure of 4.6% in the 12 months to July, and to an annual increase of 5.3% in consumer prices for the Eurozone over the same period to July.

The CSO noted that by “looking at the components of the flash” estimate for August, it can estimate that energy prices have increased by 3.4% since July, and by 5.1% over the 12 months to August.

And while food prices have remained the same since July, they rose by 7.7% in the 12 months to August.

Excluding energy and unprocessed food, the HICP is estimated to have increased by 4.8% in the year to August.

The CSO noted that these are flash estimates which are subject to revision when the final HICP results are published next month.

Elsewhere, transport costs have been shown to have risen by 0.7% in the month to August, but have decreased by 1.5% in the year to August.

Interest rates

Dan O’Brien, chief economist of the Institute of International and European Affairs, described the 0.5% increase in consumer prices in the month from July to August as a “hefty” one.

He added that if a similar increase is seen across the entire Eurozone in the figures which will be published tomorrow, then it “would make another interest rate hike in September considerably more likely”.

In July, the European Central Bank increased interest rates by 0.25%.

This was the ninth consecutive increase in the space of a year and brough the ECB’s benchmark deposit rate to 3.75%, the highest it has been since May 2001.

In a statement when announcing the increase on 27 July, the ECB said the latest increase would ensure “that inflation returns to its 2% medium-term target in a timely manner”.

The ECB is due to have its next meeting on 14 September and its president Christine Lagarde said interest rates could go up again at this meeting.

Speaking on 30 July, she said: “I hear some people say that the final rate hike will take place in September.

“There could be a further hike of the policy rate or perhaps a pause. A pause, whenever it occurs, in September or later, would not necessarily be definitive.

“Inflation must return durably to its target.”

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29 Comments
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    Mute Cars
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    Aug 30th 2023, 1:03 PM

    5%. Who makes this suff up! More like 25% at least.

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    Mute Daniel Roche
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    Aug 30th 2023, 2:09 PM

    @Cars: Facts mostly.

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    Mute another one? what's going on is the semi state sec
    Favourite another one? what's going on is the semi state sec
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    Aug 30th 2023, 3:38 PM

    @Cars: it’s a rolling year stat….. It’s up 18.4% from January 2021. Maybe that’s what you refer to. Google “CSO CPI inflation calculator”….. An eye opening tool

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    Mute Anon
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    Aug 30th 2023, 7:42 PM

    @Daniel Roche: skewed statistics more like. If only it was 5%, that’s fairytale stuff to feed to the general population. The current government (and previous) failed miserably to deliver. Their only option to stand any chance of remaining in power will be to try indoctrinate the citizens with complete BS to paint a fictional picture of delivering.

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    Mute John Fahy
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    Aug 30th 2023, 1:02 PM

    Ii’ a lot more than that, grocery prices have soared.

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    Mute Trent
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    Aug 30th 2023, 1:00 PM

    5% ? put 2 if front or the 5 and it’s correct

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    Mute Eddienowy Byrne
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    Aug 30th 2023, 12:57 PM

    Diesel gone up over 10c in Circle K in two weeks in Tallaght

    188
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    Mute Murro
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    Aug 30th 2023, 1:15 PM

    @Eddienowy Byrne: same here in Wicklow

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    Mute Gavin Kelly
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    Aug 30th 2023, 1:23 PM

    @Eddienowy Byrne: just in time now that the government are putting on 5c on Friday on diesel and 7c on petrol .. they hate giving people a break

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    Mute Thesaltyurchin
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    Aug 30th 2023, 1:45 PM

    @Gavin Kelly: That would imply that a break has ever been given.

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    Mute George Vladisavljevic
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    Aug 30th 2023, 1:55 PM

    @Gavin Kelly: Especially handy when they can claim their fuel and expenses.

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    Mute Daniel Roche
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    Aug 30th 2023, 2:13 PM

    @Gavin Kelly: That’s a lie and you know it,I’m not agreeing with it but at least tell the truth,that is a major problem and why people will vote FF or FG,they can’t trust the other side,better the devil you know, maybe tell the truth.

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    Mute Eileen Kelly
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    Aug 30th 2023, 2:19 PM

    @George Vladisavljevic: You know the old saying ” All pigs are equal but some pigs are more equal”, Animal Farm.

    33
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    Mute Mick D
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    Aug 30th 2023, 1:11 PM

    5% and the rest. They having a laugh

    133
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    Mute Sean Brannigan
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    Aug 30th 2023, 1:20 PM

    Fuel rocketing back up as well since they put taxes back on ….this will lead to the increase of prices on everything

    127
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    Mute Rafa C
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    Aug 30th 2023, 1:08 PM

    Full shopping bags are down 50%! And the Price has increased by 25%!

    That’s just fact.

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    Mute Thomas
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    Aug 30th 2023, 1:31 PM

    Who ever compiled this,please let us all know where you shop.

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    Mute Wolfgang Bonow
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    Aug 30th 2023, 1:40 PM

    @Thomas: I shop in German supermarket and the numbers look about right to me, for the period over the last 12 months.
    Definitely not 25% or even +40% as claimed here.
    But maybe it’s my shopping habit – very little processed food on much meat either.

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    Mute Thomas
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    Aug 30th 2023, 1:45 PM

    @Wolfgang Bonow: me also,the numbers may not be as high as 25 percent in some cases,but nothing is near as low as 5 percent.

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    Mute Ian Cryan
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    Aug 30th 2023, 2:14 PM

    @Wolfgang Bonow: even the German supermarkets have increased prices big time way more than the 5% spoke abouts.
    They can no way still call themselves discount supermarkets

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    Mute ItWasLikeThatWhenIGotHere
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    Aug 30th 2023, 2:44 PM

    @Wolfgang Bonow: I do too.

    But I noticed bread had increased in price by 17% between my last 2 visits.

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    Mute Adam
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    Aug 30th 2023, 1:22 PM

    These so called “journslist” from the journal printing lies and spreading falsehoods for the irish government..
    Shame on you all at the journal,

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    Mute Thomas
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    Aug 30th 2023, 1:43 PM

    @Adam: I agree,the authors of this article obviously know this is way down on the reality,but go ahead and publish it anyway.

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    Mute Thomas Reddy
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    Aug 30th 2023, 1:16 PM

    Absolute rubbish. Inflation is really running at about 43% easily. I haven’t changed my spending at all and unfortunately for banks their apps are the real key to finding out just how bad inflation really is. My app had my spend at 43% higher than this time last year and I’ve actually cut back on certain things.

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    Mute Tom Newell
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    Aug 30th 2023, 1:57 PM

    5%??? try 15 or 20% with some of the price increases ive seen lately……greed greed and more greed

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    Mute Thomas
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    Aug 30th 2023, 12:59 PM

    They will most definitely need revision,

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    Mute Thesaltyurchin
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    Aug 30th 2023, 8:25 PM

    Brown Thomas getting a Lidl ‘middle isle’ this week apparently

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    Mute Dominic Leleu
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    Aug 31st 2023, 7:56 AM

    It can’t be that number…. Most of the prices have increased by 30 to 50 percent… That are lying.

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    Mute John Stevens
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    Aug 31st 2023, 12:48 PM

    5%? Do they take us for fools or what…And as a lot of comments state the fuel increases will add to inflation even more, not to mention the carbon tax coming in the budget.

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