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Indicative view of Luas Cork through MacCurtain Street Luas Cork

Yearly passenger estimates for proposed Luas Cork cut by 30 million since it was announced in 2020

There is a 30 million reduction in yearly passenger estimates when compared with a 2020 transport strategy.

LAST UPDATE | 14 Apr

THE ESTIMATED NUMBER of yearly passengers on the proposed Luas Cork is 30 million fewer than the figure provided in a previous transport strategy.

In February 2020, the 2040 Transport Strategy for the Cork Metropolitan Area was published by the National Transport Authority (NTA).

This report estimated that the Luas Cork would come in at a cost of around €1 billion and carry 46 million passengers per year – or 4,600 per direction per hour at peak times.

2040 original estmates The Luas Cork estimates provided in the Cork Metropolitan Area 2040 Transport Strategy

However, the emerging preferred route published today is a considerable downgrade on these passenger figures.

Rather than a forecast of 46 million passengers per year, this has been reduced to 16 million.

And the figure of 4,600 passengers per hour per direction at peak times – with trams running every five minutes – has been cut to 2,300 passengers, with trams running every six minutes instead.

For comparison, current Luas Green Line services in Dublin can carry around 9,000 passengers per direction per hour and there are plans to increase this.

The 2040 Transport Strategy had also included an even more ambitious target of running trams every two minutes, which would have allowed for 11,400 passengers at peak hours.

key-features-benefits-infographic_web The updated figures included in today's preferred route Luas Cork Luas Cork

Transport Minister Darragh O’Brien last month estimated that Luas Cork could cost between €2 billion and €3 billion and today remarked that it’s “very difficult to estimate” how much it will cost.

Feljin Jose is the Green Party’s transport spokesperson.

He said the preferred route “is not future-proofed and Cork deserves better”.

Speaking to The Journal, he voiced concern that the preferred route published today is “significantly lower than what we were talking about in the strategy underpinning this”.

He added that there is “very little priority given to trams” in the preferred route, with “shared running on streets with cars”.

“It’s not like the Luas Green line where it has its own separate path and there’s nobody else in it,” said Jose.

“Obviously, the Luas shares space in Dublin city centre, but the priority for the Luas isn’t there in the Cork plan.

“If you have it sharing space with more cars and sharing the tram tracks, it’s going to slow the tram down.”

Jose also expressed concern about the journey time.

Luas Cork would deliver passenger from Ballincollig to the City Centre in 35 minutes, but Jose noted that there is a bus service that can do this in 20 minutes.

The 2040 Transport Strategy meanwhile estimated that this journey would take 27 minutes.

Ciarán Meers heads the Cork Commuter Coalition, which advocates for public transport in Cork City and the surrounding region.

While he said he was “very happy that this is finally at this stage and progressing”, he added that there are issues with the preferred route.

He told The Journal that the four-stop loop in Ballincollig is “really limiting” and noted that the tram line was initially projected to go through the Mahon Greenway.

lc-plan_test_artboard-3 The proposed Ballincollig route Luas Cork Luas Cork

“Instead, it’s taking a twisty route through suburbs which is going to involve a lot of turns, slower speeds and will bring down capacity.”

Meers also voiced concern that Luas Cork will have a lower capacity than the Green line of the Luas.

“Cork is one of the fastest growing cities in Ireland, so we really do need this capacity to fuel the growth of the city.”

The National Planning Framework 2040 stated that Cork will become the fastest-growing city region in Ireland with a projected 50% to 60% increase of its population in the period up to 2040.

He noted a recent study by satnav company TomTom which deemed Cork to be the 38th most congested city in the world – not as bad as Dublin (which ranked 10th) but worse than London and Rome.

“It’s absolutely insane how congested Cork is, and we need to demand better to ensure that Cork isn’t locked into the same thing for decades and decades.”

Meers also noted that the preferred route won’t extend to western Ballincollig but said he was “hopeful” that this could be “ironed out in the public consultation.”

In a statement to The Journal, a spokesperson for Luas Cork remarked that the transport strategy published in 2020 was “based on an assumption that the entire transport network was in place and that land use around transit was optimised”.

In this scenario, the forecast was that Luas Cork would carry 46 million passengers per year in 2040.

The spokesperson added that “conservative assumptions” have been made for the preferred route published today and that its modelling year is 2035.

Meanwhile, the spokesperson said the 2020 transport strategy assumed that longer trams with a capacity of 380 passengers would be used.

The trams associated with the preferred route published today are around ten metres smaller in length and have a passenger capacity of 300.

The spokesperson said Luas Cork will be able to increase capacity “by buying additional trams and adding more frequent services when the demand will require it”.

The spokesperson also noted that the Luas in Dublin exceeded all modelling expectations and that the Luas Cork modelling could be refined.

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26 Comments
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    Mute Fiona Fitzgerald
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    Apr 3rd 2017, 12:05 PM

    The producers are bluffing the EU, Ireland is doing it right. Aldi and Lidl do this here too – you can see exactly where the fish was caught, how it was caught and even the scientific name of the kind of fish. It obviously doesn’t cost Aldi and Lidl huge amounts to respect customers enough to supply information.

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    Mute Cloud Jellies
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    Apr 3rd 2017, 11:48 AM

    New law! How about enforcing the old laws that would be a start.

    38
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    Mute Tommy_Bannon
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    Apr 3rd 2017, 11:25 AM

    Closing the stable door after the horse has bolted.
    This is why intelligent humans choose vegetarianism.

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    Mute techman
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    Apr 3rd 2017, 12:08 PM

    @Tommy_Bannon: Closing the stable door after the horse was eaten , to be more precise

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    Mute Mick
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    Apr 3rd 2017, 1:21 PM

    Don’t forget there are plenty of intelligent people who eat meat too.

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    Mute Cosmo Kramer
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    Apr 3rd 2017, 11:34 AM

    If you want to be healthy try cutting animal products from your diet. Processed meat that comes in a packet can’t be good for you. Either can milk from another animal that full of hormones and puss..

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    Mute Mick
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    Apr 3rd 2017, 12:52 PM

    European milk does not contain hormones or ‘puss’. Every delivery from every farm is checked for temperature, antibiotics, bacteria etc. So stop spreading downright lies about the food we produce.

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    Mute Cosmo Kramer
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    Apr 3rd 2017, 2:05 PM

    @Mick: of course there’s hormones in milk. You do realise dairy cows are constantly impregnated to produce milk. Cows like women are full of hormones while pregnant and those naturally produced hormones go into their milk to help bulk up calves. Its not intended for human consumption.. If you’re happy drinking and eating another animals milk go ahead.. Each to their own i suppose

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    Mute Mick
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    Apr 3rd 2017, 2:24 PM

    I’m a dairy farmer myself. I understand completely the process works. What you are implying is false though. Natural, grass fed milk contains nothing untoward, we’ve been drinking milk for thousands of years. It’s when people start adding sugar and salt, E numbers and artificial chemical additives is when the trouble starts.

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    Mute Cosmo Kramer
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    Apr 3rd 2017, 2:33 PM

    @Mick: Mick im not implying anything false. Cows milk is full of hormones, hormones that nature intends to help calves bulk up hundreds of pounds. It is not intended for children or adults to consume.

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    Mute Mick
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    Apr 3rd 2017, 4:42 PM

    The natural hormones in milk are not in unusual quantities to cause any harm in humans. The levels of protein, butterfat etc in the 6L+ of milk that a calf consumes are responsible for growth. Generations of Irish people have eaten beef, dairy, eggs etc without issue. Obesity has only become an issue in this country since the 70′s, due to the advent of cheap, highly processed foods, the likes of coca cola with 30g+ of sugar per serving.

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    Mute Philip King
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    Apr 3rd 2017, 10:12 PM

    @Cosmo Kramer: backtrack much?

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    Mute Niall Donnelly
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    Apr 3rd 2017, 1:04 PM

    What about products labelled as Irish but brought down from the Uk?

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    Mute Jho Harris
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    Apr 3rd 2017, 4:33 PM

    No mention of take always etc imposing their religious beliefs on you, if you buy a ham pizza at many hundred placed you may be served dyed turkey NOT ham because these people don’t have any respect for you, nor your freedom to eat what you choose. It is often written on menu boards but often it won’t; it is dishonest but not illegal make sure your ham is not turkey meat dyed pink a common practice these days but The EU respect our rights on these issues.

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    Mute Andrew Swaine
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    Apr 8th 2017, 12:20 PM

    Any particular reason a Lidl own-brand product was chosen to illustrate the story? Is there something we should be told?

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    Mute Maurice Dodd
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    Apr 3rd 2017, 11:34 PM

    Anybody .anywhere.here or abroad held accountable for putting shit into our food in the form of un regulated horse meat?anyone..

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