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What is the future of Ireland’s property tax?

It hasn’t gone away, you know – and it’s not likely to either, writes Paul O’Donoghue, despite how much people dislike it.

WHO DOESN’T LOVE a good property tax?

In favour, we have: economists. Tax collectors. A very, very small number of politicians.

On the opposition we have: basically everyone else.

Property tax is probably one of the most universally disliked taxes in the country. It’s not hard to see why. Some 66% of people own their own home. They obviously don’t want to pay more than they have to in order to maintain it.

So that’s two-thirds of the population against it straight away. But it’s also one of the few taxes which has minimal popular support politically.

Introduced in 2013, the government has since been at pains to ensure that the tax does not increase in line with the value of a property – basically, the opposite of what is meant to happen.

The latest in this tale is the government confirming earlier this month that property tax payments will once again remain virtually unchanged this year.

There will be some small tinkering, which is expected to raise the tax due by between €5 and €25 a year for the vast majority of homeowners.

The upshot is that property tax rates have now been virtually frozen for 12 years, despite property prices doubling in that time.

This prompts a question – what is the point of Ireland’s property tax?

Ok, so that’s a slightly obvious question. The point is the same as any other tax – to raise money.

The property tax raises about €500 million a year.

But the twist with Ireland’s property tax is in the name – it’s a ‘Local Property Tax’, with the money to be ring-fenced to fund local authorities.

The charge was introduced in 2013 when Ireland was coming out of the worst of the financial crisis.

The good folk in the IMF led the push for introducing the charge, as part of the effort for Ireland to put itself on a better financial footing.

The logic for the tax is laid out pretty clearly in a few different papers by IMF economists.

Property taxes are “widely regarded as an efficient and equitable means of raising revenue”.

They do this by ‘broadening’ the tax base, meaning that the government is not reliant on only a few sources of income to fund public services.

The arguments in favour

The dangers of this can clearly be seen right now in Ireland, as corporate tax is single-handedly keeping the country’s accounts in the black. If just a few US companies move around their operations, Ireland could suddenly be in a very difficult place financially.

Measures such as property tax are supposed to mitigate against this. Property tax is viewed (by economists) as being a good measure for a few reasons: 

  • It tends to impact the better-off. In Ireland for example, homeowners own 97% of the country’s wealth, versus just 3% for renters.
  • It’s reliable and stable – the number of properties and their value generally doesn’t fall in a given year.
  • It’s hard to avoid. While multinational companies can move assets around between countries to lower their corporate tax bill, for example, a property is easy to identify, track and doesn’t move.

The same IMF paper also neatly lays out the general economist vs public view on the measure.

“Economists tend to strongly favor increased reliance on property taxes owing to their attractive economic properties.

“[But] there is widespread popular and hence political resistance to their increased use, stemming in part from their transparency and relatively limited scope for tax avoidance and evasion.”

This view proved to be borne out in reality when Ireland’s property tax was introduced in 2013 by the Fine Gael-led government under Taoiseach Enda Kenny.

Ireland’s politicians’ unusual stance on property tax

There were multiple public demonstrations, and Opposition figures were quick to point out how Kenny had personally spoken against the charge in the past.

This shows that even politicians responsible for implementing the charge rarely like it themselves. If it wasn’t for the fact that Ireland was broke after the financial crash and needed any way to raise some income, it likely never would have been introduced at all.

But if the crash gave politicians the political cover needed to introduce the charge initially, Ireland’s recovering economy since has made property tax increases impossible for them to stomach.

Because a recovering economy meant recovering property prices. Higher house prices should mean higher property prices. But Irish politicians have consistently gone out of their way to avoid this.

The level of property tax payments was originally meant to be reviewed every three years, so the first one up should have been in 2016. This was delayed to 2019. Which was then delayed to 2020. And then 2021.

The eventual change in 2021 was done in such a way that very few people ended up paying much more, as the government again feared a backlash from voters.

It’s understandable why this was a concern. It’s a tax people hate. Politics back and forth also doesn’t help. The whole point of the charge is that it will provide better local services.

But councillors consistently in areas such as Dublin vote to lower property taxes by as much as they can. This sends a message to voters that the money is better off in their own pockets than given to councillors to make improvements to their areas.

There are some arguments from councillors in areas such as Dublin city that funds actually aren’t being allocated locally.

But that isn’t why most politicians oppose property tax – they do so because it’s unpopular, and most say that there is an immoral aspect to charging people for properties they have already paid for.

This argument could be expected from the likes of conservative parties such as Fine Gael, which traditionally favour lower taxes on wealth.

But property taxes are also opposed by those on the left, such as People Before Profit, who argue that the charge does not help out enough locally and doesn’t function well as a wealth tax.

The overwhelming political opposition to property tax is all the more curious when you look at other tax increases, such as PRSI.

Increases in this charge will eventually likely see average workers pay an extra €300 a year, and yet there is barely a peep from opposition figures about it.

This is also despite the fact that it will hit younger and relatively lower paid workers more, unlike property tax, which impacts the better off.

Will the property tax ever change? 

So what does the future hold for Ireland’s property tax?

Despite house prices continuing to rise sharply, it seems unlikely the charge will ever be increased in line with it.

The government has continuously delayed any increase – the next revaluation isn’t due until 2029, conveniently after the next general election.

And when they do come, the increases are so minor as to barely be noticed by many of those impacted.

The government’s move fits in with a pattern of bringing forward measures which will be popular with homeowners.

These include mortgage interest relief, even though the idea is widely panned by economists.

And raising the inheritance tax threshold so people won’t have to pay it due to rising property values, even though almost no one pays it anyway as things stand.

But in Ireland, understandably, the family home comes first. Everything else, including most government policies, follows from that.

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    Mute Sean Flanagan
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    Nov 6th 2012, 10:15 PM

    This election worries me. Hope they realise a Mitt is for keeping hands warm and not Presidential material.

    Unless you’re a Muppet.

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    Mute Dhakina's Sword
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    Nov 7th 2012, 12:37 AM

    I’m glad you raised that point Sean. Mitt is a shortened version of mitten. A glove. When Mitt was asked to name his son, he chose the name Tagg. It sounds similar to name tag. Both names seem to objectivy a person, there are some people within society that view others as objects. These names seem to add evidence to this theory.

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    Mute Tomy Iona
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    Nov 7th 2012, 1:08 AM

    “As it stands: Obama 3, Romney 51, too early to call 46″

    According to BBC this “scoreline” never happened – currently Obama 56 Romney 40…….

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    Mute Tomy Iona
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    Nov 7th 2012, 1:12 AM

    Though I just see Sky news also just after going to Obamaa 65, Romney 82…….

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    Mute Sam Rhodes
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    Nov 7th 2012, 1:48 AM

    Wouldn’t trust Sky, it’s as reliable as Fox. I believe nothing until Dimbleby says it.

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    Mute Tomy Iona
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    Nov 7th 2012, 2:25 AM

    Funny you should say that Sam! Here’s a post I put out on FB just a while ago….

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    Mute Oskar Fritsche
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    Nov 6th 2012, 10:12 PM

    Coffee and chocolate sky control! Go Obama!

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    Mute Tomy Iona
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    Nov 7th 2012, 1:10 AM

    I’ve been sucked in – A lot of indications were that there might be 1 or several weeks of legal challenges (which could still happen) but I’ve been totally sucked in now!

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    Mute James Roche
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    Nov 6th 2012, 10:18 PM

    If they pick Romney expect everyone to be laughing at them in the morning

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    Nov 6th 2012, 10:18 PM

    I’d even take Bush over Romney and that’s saying something.

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    Mute Sean Flanagan
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    Nov 6th 2012, 10:24 PM

    Ah here… Let’s not get carried away…

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    Mute SnappyJ
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    Nov 6th 2012, 11:09 PM

    The worst part is so would I. I mean Romney believes in magic underpants for feck sake and any person who believes that and who could be put in such a position of power…… that frightens the bejosephsmith out of me.

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    Mute Michael
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    Nov 6th 2012, 11:12 PM

    Ad hominem is alive and well, it seems

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    Mute Joe Stodge
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    Nov 6th 2012, 11:12 PM

    Mormons and their magic underpants, such stupid people.

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    Mute SnappyJ
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    Nov 6th 2012, 11:15 PM

    @ Michael – Romney hasn’t told anyone what his actual plans are so ‘ad hominem’ is what we have!

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    Mute Ciaran Cronin
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    Nov 6th 2012, 11:24 PM

    Leave eh bleedin ouh…

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    Mute Tomy Iona
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    Nov 7th 2012, 1:25 AM

    @Joe, it only sounds stupid because there’s not a lot of them in Ireland. If there was a lot of any particular group around you you’d not think it was stupid.

    Just like any christian magic.

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    Mute Jennifer O Keeffe
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    Nov 6th 2012, 10:25 PM

    Vote in Obama …. He deserves another 4 years of no recession ….. To get the USA back on its feet again – USA suffer we suffer …. Vote !!!!

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    Mute atlantic soup
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    Nov 6th 2012, 10:40 PM

    I hope the coolest guy wins cos that would be cool, I like cool, mostly i like what the media says is cool.. this is going to be so cool..

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    Mute Mister Gooey
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    Nov 6th 2012, 10:45 PM

    Cool

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    Mute Patrick Colm Devaney
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    Nov 6th 2012, 10:53 PM

    It is extremely hard to understand that someone like Mitt is actually in with a chance of clinching this. The American electorate should know well he is a compulsive liar among other things.

    Then again, I’m sure an American looking at Ireland last year would have found it hard to understand how we voted Fine Gael into power! Seems there’s a lot of idiots in both nations. Hopefully they don’t form the voting majority across the Atlantic this time though!

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    Mute Dave Kelly
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    Nov 6th 2012, 11:14 PM

    Romney is dangerous – a Mormon isn’t just for Christmas!

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    Nov 7th 2012, 3:09 AM

    Brilliant Dave. Your comment speaks volumes.

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    Mute John Deane
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    Nov 6th 2012, 10:59 PM

    Barack Obama will win a second term.

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    Mute Tomy Iona
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    Nov 7th 2012, 1:20 AM

    Willing it doesn’t make it happen!

    To be fair, most Irish hope for Obama, probably mostly because we feel we could actually have a pint with him and curse at him in the way we do to all our pals…..

    The primary thing going on is about economy – people talk about other things that will separate this vote and yes, there are other things but for the most part, economy is the one that actually swings it.

    The real question about the economy is will people say that Obama has left it in sh*t or will they say that he inherited it that way from Bush? Will people realise that much of Obama’s promise for change hasn’t come to fruition not because he hasn’t followed through but because republicans have blocked him at every turn?

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    Mute THE GRINDER
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    Nov 6th 2012, 10:39 PM

    Yes we can, by god we better, Iran would be a great money spinner for Mitt and the lads

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    Mute Tomy Iona
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    Nov 7th 2012, 1:22 AM

    and let’s be honest, probably will be regardless….

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    Nov 7th 2012, 12:27 AM

    I really hope Tiger Woods wins.

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    Mute Eoin Dineen
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    Nov 6th 2012, 10:58 PM

    Obama won the in Guam. They don’t have any electoral college votes but have correctly picked the winner since 1984. Will be interesting to see if they’re right this time.

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    Mute Derek Larney
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    Nov 7th 2012, 1:36 AM

    There’s a saying in presidential elections -’Iowa picks corn while Ohio picks presidents’, the adage is true as no president in history has ever become president without winning Ohio. It is the bellwether of the entire US, once it falls to Obama then the game is up.

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    Mute Mitchell O'Gorman
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    Nov 6th 2012, 10:48 PM

    Minge Romney. Go on, say it. Minge Romney. Hee hee.

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    Mute Derek Larney
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    Nov 6th 2012, 11:15 PM

    This election is over, Obama has already won it. I say that as the most accurate method in political science at predictiing a Presidential race (Lichtman’s Keys to the White House) had already called this election for Obama as early as July 2010.

    Professor Lichtman has never been wrong on predicting a future president and it is highly unlikely this election will be the first occasion. He wrote in July 2010 that Obama met most of his criteria on governing over the last 4 years and would therefore retain the White House. For any politicos out there who like to beat the bookies I can highly recommend following this guy- his system has won me money on every presidential election since 2000 and given Obama’s higher polling numbers in 7 out of 9 swing states I expect tonight to be no different from his previous form

    http://www.aolnews.com/2010/07/12/professors-13-keys-predict-obama-will-get-re-elected/

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    Mute SnappyJ
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    Nov 6th 2012, 11:19 PM

    …… but the robots were picking Romney….. I can’t compute this? Human lies!

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    Mute Nichola Doyle
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    Nov 6th 2012, 11:08 PM

    Im still recovering after the Santos/McGarry campaign.

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    Mute colm connolly
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    Nov 6th 2012, 11:49 PM

    I was wondering how long til the west wing was mentioned

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    Mute somethingodd
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    Nov 6th 2012, 11:21 PM

    what I dont get is if the experts say this is too close to call, why has a bookies paid out on Obama winning already and all bookies have Obama at such short odds to win for the last few weeks, they can’t surely have their info so wrong.

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    Mute Derek Larney
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    Nov 7th 2012, 1:44 AM

    The bookies will turn out to be right- studies have shown that bookies odds are a better and more accurate predictor of a presidential race than opinion polls are. Opinion polls ask ‘who do you intend to vote for’ whereas bookies odds ask ‘who do you think is going to win’. People who bet on politics do so with their head, people who answer opinion polls do so with their heart and then they might not even bother to vote on the day. When you introduce the financial gain incentive to get it right is much higher.

    And as the bookies odds having been calling this election for Obama for several weeks now it is clear they’ve done their sums in the swing states an it is like a commentator said earlier “Obama has the math, Romney has the myth”

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    Mute Dylan
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    Nov 7th 2012, 2:04 AM

    What bookies? Masters of stunt marketing, Paddy Power? Bookies are bookies for a reason. Yes, Obama is probably going to win but either way it doesn’t matter. If Obama wins- free marketing for two days and bets are payed. If Obama loses Paddy Power pay for their marketing and punters think “I love Paddy Power, they’re idiots and give away free money, let’s bet there”

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    Mute Tomy Iona
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    Nov 7th 2012, 2:27 AM

    Plus some punters will throw a few quid at Romney winning just to hope they can beat the bookies both ways. It’s a kind of reverse psychology thing there.

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    Mute ITS Student
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    Nov 6th 2012, 10:32 PM

    America needs a new centrist party. I’m personally neutral on this election.

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    Mute mattoid
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    Nov 7th 2012, 5:37 AM

    As opposed to two right-wing parties?

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    Mute Eimear Smith
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    Nov 7th 2012, 12:17 AM

    Cmon O’bama. Don’t have me stay up for nothin!

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    Mute Dhakina's Sword
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    Nov 7th 2012, 12:57 AM

    My apologies for repeating myself, but Romney is not only a Mormon, but a Mormon bishop as well. Imagine a president of the USA being a bishop. Or, look at it another way, imagine a bishop becoming a president. I can’t quite articulate my misgivings, but then do I really have to?.

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    Mute Tomy Iona
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    Nov 7th 2012, 1:58 AM

    I’d be more concerned with the fact that he’s a bishop of a homophobic and historically racist cult.

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    Mute Michael
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    Nov 7th 2012, 4:10 AM

    Wow. Just throw the first amendment out.

    Typical Obama supporter, shredding the constitution over an over again.

    Patriot act, ACA, NDAA.

    This is awful

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    Mute Tomy Iona
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    Nov 7th 2012, 4:31 AM

    Do you want to shred the bit in the 1st amendment about freedom of speech too Michael?

    No problem with people practicing their religion personally though I do think it’s misguided. Unfortunately if you want to call in the 1st, you have to accept all that it entails.

    Calling in what you want as it suits your argument? Typical Romney supporter….

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    Mute Michael
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    Nov 7th 2012, 1:45 PM

    Hahaha he thinks I’m a Romney supporter.

    That’s cute.

    Romney wouldn’t fix any of these things either. Both candidates are horrible.

    My point is that you attack a man based on his religion. That’s just the same as doing it via race.

    We’re not bigoted or racist, are we?

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    Mute Lord Kennedy
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    Nov 7th 2012, 12:57 AM

    Bush! Romney! Crazy Mormons! Hates gays! Magic underpants! Booo republicans.

    Go Obama! Kittens. Yay Democrats.

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    Mute Michael
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    Nov 6th 2012, 10:54 PM

    If you care about the domestic economy, Romney.

    If you care about social issues, Obama.

    If you care about foreign policy, the NDAA, the ‘repeal the 4th amendment’ (Patriot Act), national debt, interventionism, freedom, against drone strikes, auditing the federal reserve and following the constitution by actually declaring war through congress, you vote for….

    Who??

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    Mute Richard Begley
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    Nov 6th 2012, 11:56 PM

    “23.37 –
    NBC says Obama’s been spending the day having basketball”

    I know when I’m having a stressful day, having some basketball really makes it better.

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    Mute Vincent Naughton
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    Nov 7th 2012, 1:06 AM

    Gooey, sweet sweet basketball. NOM

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    Mute Marilyn Maroney
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    Nov 6th 2012, 11:25 PM

    Bejosephsmith ….Love it!!!!!! My new word for the day …… No worries, O’bama has it in the bag

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    Mute Nicky Power
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    Nov 6th 2012, 11:33 PM

    Why does the media constantly say that the ‘electoral college system is “very complicated”‘? This drives me mad, it’s as simple as shit! All you need to understand it is basic addition arithmetic, or ‘math’…

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    Mute Ryan Hatfield
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    Nov 7th 2012, 4:20 AM

    Well done Obama

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    Mute reeveyshouse
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    Nov 6th 2012, 11:28 PM

    Obama and Romney don’t run their twitter or facebook pages – their campaign offices do

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    Mute David Clifford
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    Nov 7th 2012, 12:11 AM

    Yes but Obama tweets from those accounts every now and again.

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    Mute Liam Crowe
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    Nov 7th 2012, 4:55 AM

    Result!!! Congratulations America :)

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    Mute Michael Russell
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    Nov 6th 2012, 11:16 PM

    Everyone should watch the election explainer videos on YouTube by CGPGrey , he explains the electoral college (and how you can ‘technically’ win with just 22% of the populations vote) .. http://youtu.be/7wC42HgLA4k . He also explains what happens in the case of a tie

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    Mute Sarah West Keogh
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    Nov 6th 2012, 11:59 PM

    Thanks for that…easy to understand.

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    Mute James Patrick Smith
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    Nov 7th 2012, 1:34 AM

    So Mitt Has said he only has a victory speech written. Well I say get Writing Romney. Go Barack!!! 4more years!!!

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    Mute Carol Brill
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    Nov 7th 2012, 4:43 AM

    Well done to The Journal for the updates too. What a fantastic result for Obama :)

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    Mute John Deane
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    Nov 7th 2012, 4:29 AM

    Congrats Barack Obama on winning a second term.

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    Mute Eimear Fleming
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    Nov 7th 2012, 4:11 AM

    Obama is a sexy beast :-P

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    Mute Richard Begley
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    Nov 6th 2012, 11:59 PM

    Obama posted on Reddit again an hour ago, by the way:
    “I want to thank you all again for the reception you gave me in August for my AMA. Good questions. Definitely not bad.

    I’m checking in because polls will start closing in this election in just a few hours, and I need you to vote.

    Millions of Americans have stepped up in support of this campaign over the last 19 months, and today we decide what the next four years look like — but only if we show up.

    I ask that you go out there and cast your vote, whatever your political persuasion.

    You can confirm your polling location here:

    https://www.barackobama.com/lookup

    If you’ve voted already, don’t stop there — spread the word to your friends, roommates, and neighbors. Think of it as upvoting.”

    http://www.reddit.com/r/politics/comments/12r7yb/reddit_this_is_important/c6xgw22

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    Mute Tomy Iona
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    Nov 7th 2012, 2:02 AM

    If he posted on 4chan’s /b/ he might get a few votes……

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    Mute Tomy Iona
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    Nov 7th 2012, 2:02 AM

    ….over 9000……

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    Mute Pádraig McCann
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    Nov 7th 2012, 1:28 AM

    Fingers crossed for Obama.

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    Mute Cylon
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    Nov 7th 2012, 4:29 AM

    Thank The Gods. I can go to sleep now. Go Obama. So say we all!

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    Mute Oskar Fritsche
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    Nov 6th 2012, 11:55 PM

    All polls closed by CNN! More coffee time!

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    Mute Dave Kelly
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    Nov 7th 2012, 12:13 AM

    Game on!

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    Mute Ursula Ng
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    Nov 7th 2012, 4:37 AM

    Relief! Americans you did good!

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    Mute Deirdre Mac Mahon
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    Nov 7th 2012, 5:44 AM

    What a relief. Thanks Jen+ Gavan. Was worried to see 162:162 at 04:00. This is good news. Go on Obama and hope they get rid of the republicans in two years time to really implement change. Phew

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    Mute Michael Lee
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    Nov 7th 2012, 12:59 AM

    I recon it’s going to be A Very Long & interesting Election result’s Night. What Do U Think?

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    Mute Glen
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    Nov 7th 2012, 12:53 AM

    I want Obama to win, although I think Romney could make it interesting..

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    Mute Annette Kelly
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    Nov 7th 2012, 3:25 AM

    Just want to say that a man who can say that biologically a woman cannot get pregnant by rape…………..hmmmmm

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    Mute Barry Ryan
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    Nov 7th 2012, 7:37 AM

    Romney ran out of white folks. That’s what a one of the men said on CNN.
    OBAMA!!! OBAMA!!! OBAMA!!!

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    Mute Shane Rooney
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    Nov 6th 2012, 11:56 PM

    Re Fun Fact: Republicans haven’t won a US presidential election without a Bush or Nixon on ticket since 1928.
    Wasn’t Gerald Ford a Republican President in the 70s and I don’t think his VP was either a Bush or Nixon

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    Mute Andy Murray
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    Nov 7th 2012, 12:09 AM

    He was elected as Nixons Vice President. He only took office by default when Nixon resigned. He lost at the next election to Jimmy Carter.

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    Mute Shane Rooney
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    Nov 7th 2012, 12:11 AM

    Cheers Andy :-)

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    Mute Les Rock
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    Nov 7th 2012, 12:16 AM

    gerry ford was put in place after Nixon was forced to resign.

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    Mute Michael
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    Nov 7th 2012, 4:12 AM

    Let’s be honest here.

    This is SHOCKING, that it is so close.

    How could a panderer like Romney be even close in this election?

    Might just show you how bad Obama really has been and more of the same for another 4.

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    Mute Shane O'Brien
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    Nov 7th 2012, 1:08 AM

    Fox News website seems to be ahead of CNN in providing “results.”
    Nice graphic novel review of the campaign on the guardian website
    http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/interactive/2012/nov/06/america-elect-graphic-novel

    Wish I didn’t have to go to work tomorrow. Have to turn in!!

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    Mute Michael
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    Nov 7th 2012, 4:41 AM

    Scary to think Romney is more popular

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    Mute Glen
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    Nov 7th 2012, 4:29 AM

    Change !

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    Mute Maria Conroy Byrne
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    Nov 7th 2012, 1:55 AM

    A bit one sided here! Think I’ll stick with Twitter.

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    Mute Caroline Locke
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    Nov 7th 2012, 8:11 AM

    Congratulations on the re- election of Barack Obama.

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    Mute Alan Duff
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    Nov 7th 2012, 10:17 AM

    Over 6 Billion was spent on the U.S. political campaigns to tell the Americans how good they are with money and debt.

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